Nyx Barrette
1K posts
@SnowAndSteady
Writer, show watcher, Nature walker, Adventurer, Pkmn player (no home) Trans etc... :P *look forward to "Cursed: the ones who bear it", my upcoming novel!! 💖*
Great example of where abstract game theory breaks down. Normal people will push blue, normal people won’t jump into a wood chipper!
Honestly this survey is an enormously strong cutting point against both right-libertarian economic views and "offensive realist" foreign policy views. The world just does not correspond to their beliefs about how it "should" work from theory. People are too damn cooperative!
People somehow don’t realize that posting about how you’d pick the blue button online is totally different than picking the blue button in real life There is no actual downside to posting online about how you’d press the blue button But if this example were made real life, pressing the blue button means actually risking your life Everybody can pick the happy chungus meme option when there are no consequences, but if you think the results wouldn’t change substantially if people were actually staring down the barrel of the gun you’re just retarded
Blue voters are so full of shit on so many levels. 1. The question is not over whether you are selfless its whether you think most people are. Even the most holier than thou lib believes most people are selfish and thus would not press blue. 2. If everyone just presses red no one dies. blue adds unnecessary death. 3. They are moralizing the experiment to ask “what is the good person answer” rather than honestly reflecting on what theyd do if it really happened. I guarantee you that you put any person in that room and say “if you vote blue but most people dont, we will SHOOT YOU” that not one single person will take that risk, especially given #1.
Amazing how lots of self appointed game theory experts confidently asserting that blue is the stupid choice. But every time this poll is run blue wins. Not only is the “game theory” answer predicting the wrong outcome, its explanatory power is based on it being able to predict the right answer. So it’s doubly wrong.
@TiltAtGiants You can’t guilt me into thinking I’m wrong about that prediction. You have to actually show me how it could happen otherwise.
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
last thing i’ll say about the button is that it’s pretty strange how few red voters change their position upon learning there is a substantial contingent of blue voters
@basedball_ Some will press blue. I just don't think it's worth risking my life to to save them unless: 1. I believe there's a good chance my blue button press puts the blue votes past the 50% threshold or, 2. I massively value other peoples lives over my own. I don't believe either.
