Arvind Srinivas

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Arvind Srinivas

Arvind Srinivas

@arv9293

Standard career by day | Investment explorer by night (~$100K portfolio) Discussing global stocks, AI/semiconductors & value investing. Not financial advice

India ↔ Germany Beigetreten Mayıs 2012
797 Folgt90 Follower
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
A few years ago, I moved to Germany for work. It was (still is) a career win, but a financial puzzle. I’d been investing in the Indian markets for a decade and planned (lazily) to stick with what I knew. I didn’t explore the US or European markets until about a year ago—but the volatility of "Liberation Day" was an entry point too good to ignore. 🇩🇪🇮🇳 #Investing #GlobalMarkets
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@alexw19851 @babyfolio In US markets less than a year but have 10 yrs investing!! In past 6 months, this strategy has worked a treat! I have slightly complicated background!! I have explained it in my Profile! Do check and follow if possible!
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alexw
alexw@alexw19851·
@arv9293 @babyfolio This looks like a good strategy how long have you been doing it and what is the results. Thank you for sharing
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Babyfolio
Babyfolio@babyfolio·
If you're young, have less than $50k and want to make money, having more than 5 positions(and that's a stretch too) is limiting your ability to make money. Yes, it's riskier, but that's the point, you're not at a point that you can afford being careful, take as much risks as possible. How many stocks do you own?
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@gabz_investing $INFQ is one of the few quantum names that actually has meaningful revenue! Their team is filled with amazing people and their roadmap is one of the best out there! I am waiting for the float to increase as once it happens the chances of stock rerating seems very high!
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Gabz 🇪🇺
Gabz 🇪🇺@gabz_investing·
Nobody is talking about $INFQ. That's exactly why I looked into it. The biggest opportunities in markets are always in the places nobody is looking. I did a full deep dive. The results surprised me. Is this a mega opportunity or a trap? Read it free on trial — link in bio. Tell me what you think. Full post here: patreon.com/posts/infq-inf…
Gabz 🇪🇺 tweet media
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@babyfolio Overall it has been a good year! Have had ~50% YTD return! Had some good wins in selling CSP in $SOI $NBIS and $EWY! Used those winnings to invest in $LPK $CIFR and $SIVE. Currently still have healthy margin remaining as contingency!
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Babyfolio
Babyfolio@babyfolio·
@arv9293 That's a nice strategy, how is it working out?
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Seb Johnson
Seb Johnson@SebJohnsonUK·
BREAKING: Anthropic is in talks to buy AI Chips from a UK startup! The startup, @fractile_ai, is one of the UK's most exciting companies at the moment. Its chips rely on a different kind of memory technology to Nvidia’s GPUs, which is called static random access memory or SRAM. It is meant to improve the speed and cost of AI inference. The supposed deal comes as @AnthropicAI is looking to reduce its reliance on Nvidia. Fractile is currently raising $200m at a $1bn+ valuation, and no doubt this news will help. We've seen a lot of news recently about Anthropic and OpenAI expanding their london offices which is GREAT, but it doesn't compare with seeing UK startups going toe to toe with Nvidia. LETS GO (story from @theinformation which I'll link below)
Seb Johnson tweet media
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
It never ceases to amaze me how great Japan are with the strategic vision and long term technology execution They have some amazing business like Hamamatsu Photonics, Nitto bosekki who occupies critical space that not many can fill in easily. Closely following how 2027 pans out
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Alpha
Alpha@AlAlphaResearch·
70% of Japan Inc. just reported profit growth. AI is the reason. 🇯🇵 About 70% of the 155 listed Japanese companies surveyed by Nikkei reported profit increases last fiscal year. Advantest and Hitachi led the way, both posting all time highs driven by AI semiconductor demand. The Nikkei crossed 60,000 yen for the first time in history. Advantest’s full year numbers tell the real story. Net sales 988 billion yen, up 46.8% year over year. Operating income 405 billion yen, up 86.7%. Net income 301 billion yen, up 80.6%. Every one of those is a record. And for FY2027, they’re guiding to net sales of 1.42 trillion yen with operating income of 627.5 billion yen. The semiconductor tester market is expected to hit its largest scale ever, driven by AI chip complexity and volume. Advantest doesn’t make AI chips. They make the equipment that tests whether AI chips actually work before they ship. Every Blackwell, every HBM stack, every custom ASIC going into AI data centers has to pass through test. You can’t skip it. The more complex the chip, the more test time it needs. That’s the business. What’s also quietly happening is that Japan’s AI infrastructure supply chain runs much deeper than most people track. As I mentioned the other day, TOTO making electrostatic chucks for NAND etching at 40%+ margins. Advantest running test systems at record volumes. Hitachi building out AI data center infrastructure. These aren’t disconnected stories. Same wave, different parts of the same industrial base. The headwind is real though. Chemical and materials companies are getting hit by oil prices from the Middle East situation, and the Bank of Japan flagged that oil-driven cost pressure could slow broader 2026 growth. Not every part of Japan Inc. is winning this cycle. But the companies sitting in the AI semiconductor supply chain specifically are having a genuinely historic year. And the guidance numbers suggest 2027 could be bigger
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@babyfolio Agreed, I am waiting for that to play out because SK Hynix is trading with Korean discount which might narrow post ADR listing. But both trades are no brainers.
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Babyfolio
Babyfolio@babyfolio·
@arv9293 SK square has been performing better over the last 5 years. Even if discount is the same, it's still better. When Hynix lists, we'll see what happens
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@_prashantnair Ya this has been amazingly rewarding. With memory, the bottleneck has already moved to next layers. Photonic names have already made lot of big moves. Names like $LITE $COHR have moved significantly. Wonder what is next in line (Maybe CPU $INTC $AMD $ARM)
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Prashant Nair
Prashant Nair@_prashantnair·
If you invest in global equities & your strategy has been to identify & invest behind the bottlenecks in the AI buildout theme.. you have done amazingly well ! One big bottleneck has been memory. Did you know that the Sandisk stock is up 5X YTD. Marketcap is now $175 billion. No matter what happens next - this is already the most persistent & dramatic investment cycles of all-times ! #Nifty #BankNifty #Trump #India #Technology
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
I am still amazed how these names are seen with traditional boom / bust lens! There is no way their valuations are at these levels if the underlying demand structure changes for these players. And undeniable signs are starting to show up Samsung, SK Hynix, MU all have started getting into long term agreements which was not the case in the past (quarterly). Another instance is Apple who is a very strong buyer for obvious reasons was allegedly forced move to Samsung from sony for camera sensors to secure memory priority
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Cole
Cole@StockOptionCole·
SK Hynix is one of the biggest Memory manufacturers in the world They reported: - Demand for AI Memory (HBM) is far exceeding supply - Supply/Demand imbalance expected to persist multiple years (3-5) Memory Market is now a sellers market. They expect -Prices to continue rising through 2026 and beyond - DRAM up significantly - NAND rebounding hard Tight supply across ALL memory - DRAM inventory shrinking (even old inventory) ($MU) - NAND inventory tightening as well ($SNDK, $MU, $LRCX) Capex Spending is rising but not enough to fix supply They said we're nowhere near peak of cycle yet. Do not stop investing in these hot names in the multi year cycle $NVDA $AMD $INTC $MU $SNDK $WDC $LRCX $AVGO $TSM
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@NotA_Bull I think $VIVO has all the strctures to be 10x. They have ~350 MW power, exposure to sovereign AI. But they have next to no execution background! At current levels, if they start showing some execution nous, they can become 10x. Their underlying asset to Mkt cap ratio is a joke.
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
Which stocks do you think could 10x over the next 5-10 years?
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@MarcosMillaYT Only downside is EWY also includes ~40% of other cos. Considering how little coverage these have compared to SK group (SK Hynix) and Samsung group (SDI, electronics, C&T), $DRAM offers higher exposure to memory theme and also known cos ( $MU, $SNDK, $WDC)
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
The response to yesterday’s thread was a great start—now, I want to be transparent about where this is going. Before we move along: I want to reiterate that I’m not a millionaire or a fund manager or a financial advisor. I’m managing my personal sub-$100K personal portfolio—balancing a decade of experience in India that includes a newer, sub-$20K "Global" portfolio I started after moving to Germany. #FinTwit #Investing My goal is to grow it through risk-managed, global investing—and I’m just trying to bring you all along the ride. My main aim to share my journey to people for two reasons. 1. To help fellow professionals who are in the same boat (as new expats or new investors) 2. To get audited. I want your feedback to see what I’m missing or further improve.
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
Then, I intend to open my books on my Derivative strategy Two portfolio : 1 primarily in India and 2nd across the globe (w/o India). Once the "base" is shared, I’ll move into active stock discussions, global themes I am following (Photonics, Glass Substrates, Power), and my reaction to market shifts in my portfolio. What else should I cover? If there’s a specific part of the investing puzzle you’re stuck on, drop it in the comments. Let’s build. #StockGains #FinanceGoals
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
Over coming days and weeks, I will breakdown the following: Investment goals : The “Why” is the most essential part. How I drilled down my specific goals. My philosophy : Personal and custom made guide that drives my decision making. Investing setup : Brokerage account type to handle global markets - what and why. Not to delve too much focus only on “concepts”. I want to share actionable steps I took. My first $10K investment Why I started with “Big Tech” ( $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $NVDA ) and “usual suspects” ( $TSM, $ASML, $NVO, $VOO) Logic behind the portfolio structure and setup.
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@SimonsInvests Hey Simon! I also am in a similar journey and would like to follow the journey! Really am interested to see how you are going about Tik tok and fintwit journey
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SimonsInvestments
SimonsInvestments@SimonsInvests·
I want to network on here with other stock market investors. I want to follow all your individual journeys throughout the years. Comment and let’s connect🤝
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
@NoahOptions Ya initial days were amazing and frankly overwhelming to see so many amazing names flush with numerous trading options!! Always wanted to be a “global” citizen! Enjoyed the 6 months I was in during my semester abroad program! A great opportunity came through and here I am!
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NoahOptions
NoahOptions@NoahOptions·
@arv9293 Nice move on the career front! Yeah, sticking with familiar markets makes sense at first, but US options liquidity is pretty wild once you get into it. What made you finally explore outside India?
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
A few years ago, I moved to Germany for work. It was (still is) a career win, but a financial puzzle. I’d been investing in the Indian markets for a decade and planned (lazily) to stick with what I knew. I didn’t explore the US or European markets until about a year ago—but the volatility of "Liberation Day" was an entry point too good to ignore. 🇩🇪🇮🇳 #Investing #GlobalMarkets
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InvestorFromEurope
InvestorFromEurope@TheDealMakerGuy·
Everyone's been waiting for "the European Amazon" for 20 years. Turns out it might be a discount grocery chain. Dutch Central Bank just picked Lidl as its cloud provider. Not AWS. Not Google. Not Microsoft. Lidl. The reason: trust in US tech is eroding across European institutions. Data sovereignty rulings, the political climate, tariff drama. Every quarter the case for sitting on top of US infrastructure gets harder to defend. So Europe is decoupling. Quietly. Contract by contract. While everyone watches the political theatre. Lidl pulled in nearly €2B from cloud last year. All infrastructure built inside the EU. The "European alternative" people have been waiting for? Turns out it's a grocery chain that's been quietly investing for years. If a discount supermarket can win central bank cloud contracts, is US big tech's moat in Europe thinner than anyone admits? Last place anyone was looking. First to deliver.
InvestorFromEurope tweet media
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Arvind Srinivas
Arvind Srinivas@arv9293·
One of the great opportunities which makes sense over short term and mid term! All memory cos have slowly moved to LTAs resisting the boom and bust nature of memory supercycle over next 2 years at the very least! No better way to play than $DRAM. Especially if you are into options, the ETF presents the perfect opportunity as either their holdings have high prices (making options prohibitvely expensive for small investors) or doesn't have options (Koren stocks). Their IV still hasnt caught up fully yet too!
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Micro2Macr0
Micro2Macr0@Micro2Macr0·
The trailing P/E for the $DRAM Roundhill Memory ETF, ticker DRAM, is 5.49. <-- it's a little higher now but not much. $MU $SNDK
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