Regarding Semi

Using the Divergence Map on regardingsemi.com, you can see QoQ changes in institutional positioning across four quadrants, tied directly to company fundamentals. The early contrarian bet quadrant shows institutions, or “smart money,” placing bets in struggling semiconductor companies. It helps you see which beaten-down semi names are being accumulated before the market catches on. $WOLF is a great example. On paper, it looked like a dying power semi foundry, yet institutions were accumulating shares before the run-up over the last few months. Just a small piece of the alpha we’re trying to surface with Regarding Semi. There's so much more too.

I’m very much a believer that this party is still just getting started. Any meaningful dip should be bought. There’s too much uncertainty and speculation for anything to be priced “correctly.” There’s so much opportunity. This is a once in a multi decade market environment. “Bears sound smart, bulls make money.” - Someone

During the dot com melt-up of 1995-2000, Nasdaq put up gains of 572%. To date, from the 10/13/22 bear market lows, Nasdaq is up just 162%. Listening to bears calling this a bubble top could cost you a lot of money.

Token prices

@wallstengine Someone please tell me the difference between this and OpenRouter

Factory is launching Factory Router, an automatic model-selection layer for its CLI & Desktop App It picks the best model for each task instead of defaulting to the priciest frontier model, cutting costs by 20%-25% while keeping near-frontier performance

@SportAllNight @MasterDaMarket Bernie Madoff beat the market for 20 years 🤣

@MasterDaMarket @regardingsemi No one can consistently beat the market. VOO and funds like that are not actively managed they just follow a particular part of the market like the S&P 500. You did 20%? S&P is up about 20% on the year When the market turns down be careful out there.

Closed my $ORCL position. It may continue to move higher, but I believe the bulk of the easy gains have already been made. Raising some cash here.

Wanted to follow up on this post since it went crazy viral and blew up my account. My day job is as a developer doing mostly data visualization and BI work. Although we don’t use $SNOW at work, I’ve been trying to get them to buy it for months. I’ve used it plenty in the past, and I know it’s an incredible product. I also know what’s happening in the world of BI, which is why I was so direct in the post, and probably why it went viral. To all the new followers here, I’ve been trading for the last decade, with a heavy interest in semis over the past few years. I started regardingsemi.com a few months ago, mostly as something to mess around with because I was looking for this type of information. I figured if this kind of data interests me, it must interest other people too. Regardingsemi.com is a semiconductor data visualization platform. This account is meant to visualize data in the AI and semi trade. I’ll post my opinions and thoughts on the market, but I’m not a professional trader, and I’m not an engineer. If you want to follow a brilliant engineer, follow @insane_analyst. If you want to follow a brilliant trader, follow @labubu_trader. Both of them provide a ton of alpha in their lanes. I like to learn, dive deep, and form opinions. That’s investing for you. Yes, the site is $10 a month. Sorry, not sorry for the paywall. I’m paying hundreds of dollars a month in API calls, hosting, and development costs. What I’m planning to add in the future will cost hundreds of dollars more. The database of semi data is 100GB+ and growing daily. We’re currently only serving 12GB of it. If this thing can pay for itself, awesome. If not, that’s fine too. I don’t really care. I’ll keep building it out daily, with new features every night, until I lose my mind. Once I’m happy with the layout and presentation, I’ll start onboarding companies in other markets like Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and more. To all the new followers, welcome. Let’s all make some money together!

@MasterDaMarket Playing earnings lotto tickets is one of the fastest ways to lose your money in the markets. If you want to do that, just go to a casino and play slot machines. Just buy good companies and hold them.

@regardingsemi I see I see. Any thoughts on $AVGO and $CRWD earnings tomorrow?

@MasterDaMarket The market is likely pricing in something like $SNOW to happen which is why $ORCL is up 35% on the month.

@regardingsemi Earnings are dropping soon? You don’t think we will see something like $SNOW ?

@loshmi Why trade crypto when you can trade AI?

@regardingsemi any good stocks you're eyeing right now? makes me feel sidelined seeing all the stocks gains and i'm out here trading crypto lmao

Labubu is a much better trader than I am. I try not to trade much. I look at positions with a two month time horizon. If I buy today, could there be a catalyst within the next two months that could make the position profitable? As for $ORCL, just taking some chips off the table after a big run.

@regardingsemi Reducing high beta like Labubu? x.com/labubu_trader/…

@CapstackCapital Thank you! You haven’t seen anything yet! Stay tuned.

@regardingsemi Awesome website you created!

Using the Divergence Map on regardingsemi.com, you can see QoQ changes in institutional positioning across four quadrants, tied directly to company fundamentals. The early contrarian bet quadrant shows institutions, or “smart money,” placing bets in struggling semiconductor companies. It helps you see which beaten-down semi names are being accumulated before the market catches on. $WOLF is a great example. On paper, it looked like a dying power semi foundry, yet institutions were accumulating shares before the run-up over the last few months. Just a small piece of the alpha we’re trying to surface with Regarding Semi. There's so much more too.

@RehanYawar84469 Agreed, but a foundry in bad shape is still a foundry. The same concept holds true for $INTC

@regardingsemi But their foundry business is in a vet bad shape Although it is recovering but still it has a long way to go

My largest portfolio position is Samsung $005930.KS. I think it’s one of the most obvious investments in the market. You get: • The world’s largest memory manufacturer (DRAM + NAND). • A top-three global foundry business. All for the low price of a $1.5T…a bargain.

@ScroogeCap Every jump from 400G to 800G and eventually 1.6T means more content for $SMTC. As bandwidth rises, so does the need for retiming, creating a 2-5x increase in revenue opportunity with each step up.

$JPM has an interesting call today on Mediatek. Their channel checks indicate $GOOGL is scaling its TPU a lot higher. Recall Aletheia and Susquehanna had notes last week on MTK gaining share in TPU vs $AVGO, but looks like the simple way to play it is to buy $SMTC. They supply the analog optoelectronic chips (like laser drivers and TIAs) that go into the high speed optical modules used to connect the TPU clusters together. There is a rigid ratio of roughly 1 TPU to 2.5 - 3 optical modules. To get your number, you have to forecast the total TPU cluster size, multiply it by the 1:3 optical module attach rate.

@huskies20001 Interactive Brokers

@regardingsemi The catch is it’s nearly impossible to own for people in the US

@Ericattias Love to hear that, Eric! Tonight’s update will bring a lot of refinement, and I think you’ll notice the difference. There’s a ton of value hidden within the Institution and Language pages that I’m working to bring front and center. Please please please provide feedback!

@regardingsemi Thank you @regardingsemi. I am signed up. Love the site.

🚨 I’m officially releasing regardingsemi.com. I’ve been working on this with my friend Opus over the last month. It’s not vibe-coded slop, I swear. There’s powerful and useful data in here. The goal is to visualize semiconductor data to help make better investing decisions. Right now, we’re tracking 89 U.S. semiconductor companies. Once I’m happy with the UI, I’ll start adding Japan, Taiwan, and other markets. I’m going to use this thread to go through screenshots and showcase some of the features. I’m adding to it every day.

Anthropic has confidentially submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Pending completion of SEC review, this gives us the option to pursue an initial public offering. Read more: anthropic.com/news/confident…