Guy Stables retweetet
Guy Stables
444 posts
Guy Stables
@stables_guy
Just a group of guys looking to win the derby. @photofinishgame
Beigetreten Eylül 2021
433 Folgt221 Follower
How do LD majors net out after qualifiers? Here is a breakdown of how stables have performed over the past 12 seasons including net qualifying costs. Just some data for anyone curious about the economics behind LD majors.
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@ThirdTimeIan @awscloud Have the bad actor sign the appeal as well. I assume the virus doesn’t want to kill the host.
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Below are the top 25 studs in LDF and LDS and the current stud fee for each going into this seasons breeding cycle. This is ranked in order by a combination of race performance, attributes, prefs, ml odds (scaled by season and competition).
Note: Stud fees subject to change.
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Guy Stables retweetet
EST. 2023.
OPOS.
🏇🏽 @toly
Solana@solana
No two weeks are ever the same in crypto, but one thing remains constant: Solana ships. 🚢🚢🚢 In another historic week, neobanks and exchanges converged on Solana, sleepless devs rushed to submit to hackathons, and generational apps tested the internet capital markets thesis. Breakpoint is just 25 days away. Time to pull yourself up by your bootstraps and become inevitable. 📰 Headline News - Cash App USDC payments powered by Solana are coming in 2026 - SoFi became the first regulated US bank to offer SOL trading direct from checking - @Figure created $YLDS, a registered public debt security, natively on Solana - @dupe_solana, an AI deal finder app, climbed to #1 in the App Store - @incubator opened applications for Cohort 4 in NYC - Solana spot ETFs recorded 14 consecutive days of inflows since launch 📰 Launches - @okx made all Solana tokens tradeable - Super Group debuted the first Rand-based stablecoin for South Africa - @Loopscale introduced RWA credit alongside @securitize starting with ACRED - @gauntlet_xyz deployed vaults on @kamino for institutional yields - @AxiomExchange enabled instant private trading with @VanishTrade - @racer_dot_fun, an F1-themed racing game, launched the Solana Grand Prix - @dflow integrated @ManifestTrade - @ExponentFinance Core's source code is now open-source - @unruggable_io unveiled a Solana-native hardware wallet - @supabase added Solana as an identity provider for auth - @TrustWallet launched gas sponsorship for swaps - @Decaf_so shipped a global card for spending directly on Solana - @audius dropped Kodak Black's coin-gated track - @moomoosingapore enabled SOL trading - @triton_one made the RPC benchmarking tool Thorofare open-source - @ZapApp went live, offering fast and easy token purchases on Solana - @wasabi_protocol integrated @Titan_Exchange for Solana trades - @Pumpfun kicked off Mayhem Mode to help early projects gain visibility - @LuckyHashXRPL released scratchcards on Solana - @indiedotfun hackathon went live with a 10K+ prize pool - @solflare is hosting the Community Spotlight awards at Breakpoint 2025 - @GetPyra unveiled V3 featuring asset swaps and ROI projections - @harmonic_gg demoed its blockviz tool for more accessible chain data - @Ryder_ID added support for SPL tokens - @drip_haus shipped Posts to stay connected with creators; Solana joined - @JupiterExchange integrated with @RobinhoodApp 📰 Milestones - Cypherpunk Hackathon drew a record 1567 submissions - Solana's x402 Hackathon received 400+ submissions - Solana projects raised $211M in Q3 2025, marking a 70% QoQ surge - NYSE opened options trading for BSOL and GSOL - @ranger_finance acquired @voltrxyz to integrate advanced yield strategies - @photofinishgame reached $25M in sales - @multisig now secures over $2.2B in stablecoins, an all-time high - @Kamino reported over $100M in PYUSD available to borrow - @solomon_labs cleared its $2M minimum raise in under 24 hours on @MetaDAOProject - @fittedcloset an AI stylist app powered by Solana, hit #19 on the AppStore - @HoloworldAI topped daily volume on @x402scan with $130K+ volume - @Helium hit record revenue and burns in Q3 2025 - Jupiter added 50 new @kalshi prediction markets If you enjoyed this week’s newsletter, please share it with an RT. If we missed your news, drop it in the replies below! (This week's newsletter art hand-drawn by @foursixsix)
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@YourGlockness 174, he was ok on the track and his ML odds were not that great relative to peers.
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@stables_guy Where does Italian Herpes fall on this list? Seen some nice reports from him
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Below are the top 20 studs in LDF and LDS and the locked stud fee for each going into this seasons breeding cycle. The ranking is based on a combination of factors we think are important in selection. grade, preference, ranking within its distance preference and consistency.
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@stables_guy Nice, do you also run it for other archetypes? Asking for a friend 😅
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@EvilEmpireX Its actual_wins vs expected_wins. Expected_wins is based on Morning Line odds (ML).
A higher z-score means the horse won far more than expected given its ML odds. I believe its measuring aging \ peaking.
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Im not aware of the math…
But Syndicate having Elite Peak 🔥 as his final grade seems appropriate.
🫡
Guy Stables@stables_guy
Below are the top 20 studs in LDF and LDS and the locked stud fee for each going into this seasons breeding cycle. The ranking is based on a combination of factors we think are important in selection. grade, preference, ranking within its distance preference and consistency.
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@photofinishgame @solana Love the game and definitely addicted. Looking at my horses is like watching the roulette wheel spin in Vegas.
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We're proud to consistently represent @solana in web 3 gaming's global top 10.
The fastest chain deserves the fastest horse.
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2/2 - at a high level big brain has 93% more top 5 finishes than ml would expect. My stable has 73.4% less.
rugged_count = how many times you you got weather rugged
rel_diff_pct = how far your Top-5 results deviated from what the ML predicted, in percentage terms.
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1/2 - Being a stats guy I love to use numbers and metrics to determine how i'm stacking up to the competition... and there's no better race to compare against than the majors with prize money is handed out for the top 5 spots. The below shows all LD majors since season 20.
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@mikesowerss @photofinishgame Amazing horse. Was looking at her after this race and she sure is a monster
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She dared alright... on what I'm now terming "cut day" @photofinishgame Dare to be a Monster locked her position into the twins spires gallop with a whopping 226 pts.
photofinish.live/races/season00…
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@ThirdTimeIan @mikesowerss @Consulate_ @photofinishgame Can this kind of automated breeding be stopped reliably? Since the requests are authenticated, how can the system distinguish between a normal breeding request and one coming from a bot or script?
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So, the changes we made were to limit this bot-aided turbo breed unfairness. We found that tools are pushing 20/30% of that traffic via scraping / auth'ed requests through 'burner' accounts, choking out real users.
So, some folks are trying to "breed via API" without using the official API.
That's why we went systemic and not just only specifically ONLY at the PFL PRO API route.
But I literally just turned it off for good now - just because it's not a fit for current breed system and I'm also really pissed.
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Hello PFL faithful.
The breeding system yet again fell to server load. We paused it immediately once latencies started to climb, but yet again, some folks got breeds in while others didn’t. We made a ton of upgrades but were nervous it was enough going to hold up…it wasn’t.
The ~200 breeds that slipped through (again, ew…) will be reverted (again) and some services may be down during the rollback. Ugh, max pain. We are so sorry.
We did find and fix a limited connection size that we believe is the ACTUAL culprit, but to be safe though and not be under the gun, we are going to delay breeding until NEXT WEDNESDAY. Same time.
This gives us one full week to write a full set of stress testing tools to ensure we know exactly what’s going wrong and prevent it from falling over.
Thanks again for your continued support and many apologies for the inconvenience.
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@ai_paddock @photofinishgame how do you know attributes or some other factor is not skewering results. the fact 0 star dominates on yielding seems off. if 2 horses have 3 stars direction and surface, but one has 3 stars firm and other has 0 stars firm why would 0 stars firm be better on yielding
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How do conditions preferences work in @photofinishgame? a. linearly b. weirdly (check out 0 fast stars performing worst across all types on fast tracks). Also 3 fast stars become a big hinderance on sloppy tracks. Finally yielding is not a mid-point, its a different multi-verse where 0 stars live and thrive (fast and slow don't get say half their usual bonus - stars are bad at yielding).
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@abs_HP Ready for the Money might have been good but was given up on. Too untested for me. Good ML but since it wasn’t great at 2 and first race at 3 were poor you might be pushing your foals peaking to 4+
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@CryptoCrown12 i think time is a better indicator. progeny record compares against competition in a narrow scope. only horses the same age and who happen to enter same race. time compares a much broader scope across every horse that ever ran in the same distance and condition.
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@stables_guy Thanks for sharing. Just one question -Shouldn't progeny racing record be an important criteria to qualify any stud as top stud?
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These are the top 20 studs in LDS as rated by a combination of the following attributes along with their associated stud fee:
- Grade
- Prefs
- Race performance
- Race times
- Consistency
- ML odds
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I missed one horse on the LDS list. This horse should be #3
photofinish.live/horses/edfe1ab…
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