More🅰️nt

I will never understand folks who continue to doubt the usefulness of TA, within the context of fundamental DD. My guess is that the haters are bitter that they can't do TA for themselves. I myself have zero charting skills, but I am skilled enough to identify, follow, and learn from successful TA accounts such as: @Reformed_Trader @Omnislash4k2 @KUEHCK1 @Staudinger333 @Chartradamus @tuff_4r These names aren't new to most in SpaceMob, but to newer investors just learning about $ASTS, I can't recommend following these accounts enough. Their analyses have helped me significantly in the timing of getting more defensive / aggressive around my core position. Of course it's not perfect, but I've seen enough (and profited enough) from the content in these TA accounts over the past 15 months that I'm definitely a TA believer. In my humble opinion, anyone who ignores these accounts is making decisions with incomplete information, and is at a disadvantage.

@BrendanCarrFCC @AST_SpaceMobile is the future of broadband

Good morning from beautiful West Texas ! The FCC’s Build America Agenda is helping providers unleash new Internet infrastructure builds in communities across the country. Look forward to visiting with some broadband builders today. #CarrTrip

$ASTS quietly just made a high-level move. They hired a Launch Director with experience from Blue Origin and $LMT. This isn’t just a hire. This is infrastructure. This is execution. This is what happens when a company transitions from building the story… to delivering it. The pieces are quietly falling into place for @AST_SpaceMobile!

Fits the $ASTS spectrum holding company theory @thekookreport

@JoeTipton @TransferPortal @On3 @Edge_Sports 🏀🐢 Come to UMD!

Buffalo guard Daniel Freitag plans to enter the @TransferPortal, he tells @On3. 

The 6-2 sophomore averaged 19.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game. Former 4⭐️ that began his career at Wisconsin. Represented by @Edge_Sports. on3.com/transfer-porta…

$ASTS is currently trading cheaper than it was before any of these things happened. Before BlueBird 6 launched. Stock was ~$70. Before BlueBird 6 unfolded its array in orbit. The largest commercial communications array ever deployed in LEO. Stock was in the $80s. Before Golden Dome. Before the US Missile Defense Agency named $ASTS a prime SHIELD contractor. Stock was trading around $100 when that news hit. Before the $30M SDA HALO contract. Before $3.9 billion in cash was on the balance sheet. Before 50+ carrier agreements covering 3.2 billion subscribers were signed. Every single one of those things has happened. They cannot be taken back. The company is permanently further along than it was at any of those prices. The stock is at $77 today. You can buy $ASTS right now for less than you could before BlueBird 6 was even in orbit. The war spooked markets. High beta names got hit hardest. Investors are selling the future to pay for today’s fear. None of the catalysts ahead have changed. BB7 launch coming. Batch launches next. Beta testing with AT&T and Verizon starting now. Full commercial service activation late 2026. The business is not worth less than it was before any of this happened. The price just says otherwise. That is the opportunity.

@AntiFeminismGuy Still 100% believe in the thesis. The delays have been disappointing, but I keep reminding myself that space is hard, and that the delays are explainable, and in the most recent case, not AST's fault. AST at $75 today is a less risky buy than AST at $2 in early 2024.

@pluggingaway For the record - I'm hoping you're right.

This has aged well. Pennies away from tagging the 74 handle today (so far). The ride up to to $167 is gonna be fun. Launch date of NET April 10. The party is about to start! $ASTS

I do agree the New Glenn launch is a (somewhat) non-event, or possibly even sell the news, but I believe that batch shipment news is coming before (or at) next earnings call. Who knows is we reach $167 before May, but we will reach it, and sometime within the next year it will look cheap at $167.

Just to keep expectations in line - This launch matters not (unless it goes wrong)... What matters is batch shipments, launch within 1 month of receiving said shipments (not 3+) and regularity. 2 launches in 1.5 yrs ... we're lucky to be priced even at 75.... Otherwise no incoming (meaningful income ramp), and shorts will continue to feast on any pumps...

@smeev4 LOL... might have to unfollow. This TA is trash. /s/

$ASTS sorry i was off on the first leg i'll do better next time

@Tin_Man67 @Mayhem4Markets Taxes go both ways. Lots of folks getting refunds and will be excited to buy shares on sale.

@Mayhem4Markets Few are forced to sell yet. Once those March statements go out via snail mail and the boomers see a negative quarter, there will be some liquidation. Tax payments on April 15 too

Many people have asked why this market isn't down a lot more with everything going on. I keep saying the same thing. This is a well-hedged environment. Here's yet another chart that demonstrates it. The global long/short ratio is at its lowest level in 15 years, per Goldman.

$ASTS Doing my part. Now onto some push-ups.

Today $ASTS received a monster off-balance sheet litigation asset from a US District Judge. Ligado is moving forward, and so too is a large damages lawsuit against $VSAT. $VSAT had blatantly violated a confirmed bankruptcy plan, since cured after getting smacked by multiple courts. Today we heard the judge rule in favor of $ASTS AND specifically hold back $100MM, which is viewed as conservative, for potential future damages in favor of $ASTS.

I think we bottomed. If not today then tomorrow. *NFA

$ASTS - Price is back to the uptrend line during another 40% decline. Only the tuff survive.

Absolutely --- it is coming. The arrow is pointing up. Disappointing year to say the least, but Jim Smith is a difference maker. Pharrell Payne staying next year, on top of a top 5 recruiting class and the bones are there for a tournament team in 2027. Even if Buzz leaves after 5 years as has been his pattern, I think we'll be a consistent annual Sweet Sixteen team by that time, and the HC job will be much more attractive than it is today. Better (much better) times are ahead.

@MikeSteveRitter We had a glimpse of it with the crab 5. As soon as this program gains its momentum back, it’ll get scary. This fanbase is starving

Those Maryland crowds back in the day used to be on par with some European soccer crowds. Look at this shit lol

$ASTS is getting crushed with the rest of the market right now. The war is real. The fear is real. The selling is indiscriminate. Here is what is sitting directly in front of this stock. What’s already done: • $3.9 billion cash. Fully funded. Zero dilution risk. • BlueBird 6 deployed. Largest commercial array ever put in LEO. • Deals signed with AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, Rakuten, TELUS. 50+ carriers. 3.2 billion subscribers. • US government contracts. Pentagon is already a customer. • 3,800+ patents. The moat is built. What’s coming: • BlueBird 7 launch. Encapsulated and ready to go. • BB8 through BB29 in production. Batch launches every 1 to 2 months through year end. • AT&T and Verizon beta testing starting first half of 2026. • Full US commercial service launch late 2026. Revenue turns on. • SpaceX IPO. When the most valuable space company on earth goes public at a $1.85 trillion median valuation, every investor on earth starts asking what else is in the sector. The stock is down because the market is down. Not because anything broke. 45 to 60 satellites by end of year. Commercial billing starting. $3.9 billion in the bank. This is what catalyst season looks like. So much company for a company that has already completed so much.

$ASTS soooo close

$ASTS For BB1-5 the NomadBets Hotel Launch Indicator (NHLI) was spot on. A 2-day slot booked up at Marriott Titusville for 11-12 April. Can we do it again?

$ASTS FALSE BREAKDOWNS TRAP SELLERS WHILE THE TREND REMAINS INTACT What you are describing is precisely the distinction between structural breakdown and a false breakdown in technical analysis. The chart alone does not resolve that question. The follow-through does. A false breakdown, sometimes called a bear trap, occurs when price moves below a well-defined support or channel, triggers selling or stops, and then fails to sustain downside acceptance. Instead, it reclaims the level and reverses higher. The key concept is acceptance versus rejection, not the initial break itself. From a TA standpoint, a valid breakdown typically shows three characteristics. First, expansion in volume and range as price leaves the structure. Second, continuation with lower highs and lower lows after the break. Third, inability to reclaim the broken level on subsequent retests. That sequence signals real supply entering the market and a change in structure. A false breakdown looks different. You often see a quick violation of the channel, followed by loss of downside momentum, then a reclaim of the prior support or trendline. That reclaim is critical. It indicates the move below the channel was not accepted by the market and that liquidity below support was harvested rather than initiating a new trend. Applied to this chart, the lower channel line has been breached, but the interpretation hinges on what happens next. If ASTS reclaims the lower boundary and holds above it, the prior breakdown becomes a failed move. In that scenario, the market has effectively trapped shorts and weak hands, which can create asymmetric upside pressure as positioning unwinds. There is also a macro overlay here that is relevant. When broad risk assets are under pressure, correlations increase and technical levels break more easily across the board. In those environments, single-name breakdowns have a higher probability of being context-driven rather than thesis-driven. That aligns with your point about oil, geopolitical stress, and general market weakness acting as exogenous pressure. The level to watch is not where it broke, but whether price can re-establish acceptance back inside the channel. If it does, the structure is not destroyed. It has been temporarily violated. If it fails to reclaim and instead builds structure below, then the breakdown transitions from false to confirmed. In practical terms, this is a decision point, not a conclusion. The break itself is only step one. The market’s response to that break is what determines whether the trend is actually broken or simply undergoing a liquidity-driven shakeout.

@SickosCommittee Duck fook

Well, I think we got the answer to this in our replies and quotes now…