It’s about seats not votes

@PolliticsUK @techneUK How on earth does restore even register? Cant remember last time I heard a radio /or saw a tv report about them. But I guess everyone is glued to these things now. Sad world we live in

🚨 Westminster Voting Intention: ➡️ REF: 26% (-1) 🌳 CON: 18% (=) 🌹 LAB: 17% (=) 🟢 GRN: 16% (-1) 🔶️ LDEM: 13% (-1) ☑️ RES: 3% (NEW) From @techneUK From 27th April Changes with 12th March

@BritainVotesNow That is absolute nonsense and you know it. A green hype will stop many LibDems beating reform.

🔔 Portland Underhill (Portland Town Council, Dorset) By-election result: 🟢 Grn: 265 (36.7%) - ELECTED ➡️ Ref: 252 (34.9%) 👤 Ind: 133 (18.4%) 🌹 Lab: 73 (10.0%) Turnout: 729 (26.8%) Date: 30 Apr 2026 Congratulations to Cllr Lucy Hardwicke

@StellaOShea1 @reformparty_uk 100% .. and the LibDems will still have more seats on May 8th. This (in this article) could happen but will the green surge rob the libs? Won’t forgive the greens if that happens theguardian.com/politics/2026/…

@reformparty_uk Absolute fucking lies! The Lib Dems have won hundreds of local council elections in the past. You people just make up things that you hope your thick-as-pigshit supporters will believe. Your not fit to run a whelk stall, let alone a local council.

12 months ago we made British political history. We became the first party that wasn’t Labour or Tory to win a local election. Now we are ready for May 7th 2026. ✅

@charlotteukcity @reformparty_uk Yes an absolute disgrace

@reformparty_uk REFORM WANT TO MOVE TO AN INSURANCE SYSTEM RATHER THAN THE NHS, SO YOU’LL NEED MONEY IF YOU GET ILL!

@BritRightWatch @reformparty_uk @ZiaYusufUK Real change to what?

@reformparty_uk @ZiaYusufUK Reform UK is shaking up the establishment and delivering real change. From that historic first local win to 677 new councillors, 10 councils, 2 mayors, and your first MP, massive momentum! May 7th 2026 is going to be huge. Keep fighting for Britain! 💪

@reformparty_uk But you still only have 10 councils despite the media hype. And you’re running them all badly. You will come unstuck big time in time. God help us all

@LukeTryl You’ve been writing the narrative for months Luke, it’s a bloody self fulfilling prophecy

Handy guide! My one caution is can you ever describe eg for Reform on this what would be well over 1000 gains as a disaster, by any measure it’s a good night. Why I prefer language of high, mid and low expectations or “relative to polling this would exceed/under perform”

@JamesMarshcz3o @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects That’s what you think will happen in the law of self fulfilling prophecies. Keep saying something long enough and loud enough in the uk and it’ll happen. People & media are like sheep. Very predictable

@SeatsNotVotes @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects Correct in the short term because the seats are going to reform and green. Lib Dem’s aren’t making any significant gains or losses. But as time progresses and greens and reform gain more seats Lib Dem’s will go back to 3rd place.

‼️NEW | Projected result for local elections: ➡️ Ref: 1,689 (+1,689) 🟢 Grn: 1,087 (+926) 🔵 Con: 754 (-608) 🟠 Lib: 741 (+57) 🔴 Lab: 616 (-1,941) (Source: @BritainElects)

@JamesMarshcz3o @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects You’re clearly very anti LibDem - hence calling them an irrelevance. I’m not denying my interest in the LibDems and other progressive parties. Not sure quite what we’re arguing about here accept doing the usual thing on social media. Wasting each others time living

@SeatsNotVotes @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects You’re clearly extremely biased and want Lib Dem’s to do well. They may well be the largest party for a few months or even a year until more elections take place. But given their gains it’s almost certain they won’t be the largest local party at the time of the next GE

@jimbocrofts @JamesMarshcz3o @LeftieStats @BritainElects And what do you know that no one else does? It’ll only be scuppered by green hype.

@SeatsNotVotes @JamesMarshcz3o @LeftieStats @BritainElects Unlikely.

@JamesMarshcz3o @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects The LibDems are likely to become the second largest party of LG.

@SeatsNotVotes @jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects The full picture is that the greens and reform are gaining the majority of seats and if the trend continues will be the 2 largest parties in local seats. The Lib Dem’s are an irrelevance

@JoshHousden And where would that leave the parties in total councillors each after May 8th? . Who would be the biggest parties of LG ? Not who made the most gains!

I'll stick my neck out and make a personal prediction for May 7 ➡️ RFM +1600 🟩 GRN +600 🟧 LDM +200 🟦 CON -700 🟥 LAB -1600

Could @LibDems become 2nd party of Local Gvmt next week? Well not if the electorate let @TheGreenParty hype get in the way. @ZackPolanski not the challenger everywhere! theguardian.com/politics/2026/…

@19AVFC92 @LeftieStats @BritainElects What’s obsession with ‘news’ not everything is about ‘news’. more interested in people being fully informed of the big picture. They may become the second biggest party of local gvmt (see article) but regardless of ‘news’ (not a science btw) a broad knowledge is better than spin

@SeatsNotVotes @LeftieStats @BritainElects They’ve always been bigger than both of those parties combined so it wouldn’t be news them staying in front (for now) that could change next year

@jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects You can’t cope with a nuanced non binary view of the world I see. Never mind!

@SeatsNotVotes @LeftieStats @BritainElects That is the perspective. Gains and losses.

@jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects I’m not everyone else. Get over it

@SeatsNotVotes @LeftieStats @BritainElects Everyone else cares about the story.

@jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects You can repeat over and over again what the story is. Perspective is really important and we never get it. It’s time to give more information so people are better informed not spin.

@SeatsNotVotes @LeftieStats @BritainElects But the story is the swing, the change. If it’s repeated next year and the year after, they will have more councils.

@jimbocrofts @LeftieStats @BritainElects I don’t care about ‘the story’ I care about perspective and our electorate never gets the full picture. Get the full picture and they can decide for themselves what matters

@SeatsNotVotes @LeftieStats @BritainElects The story is the swing. Not that the Lib Dem’s didn’t lose any.