Atalas
2.4K posts

Atalas
@atalas
If you can't be nice, be clever yet devastating. I try to make sense of things that interest me here: https://t.co/phVDPnvp1w
Se unió Haziran 2011
486 Siguiendo143 Seguidores

🚨 Musk vs OpenAI's lawyer — the cross-examination exchanges
William Savitt — Wachtell Lipton's lead defense lawyer, Supreme Court clerk, trained to break witnesses.
Savitt opens with a misleading premise.
Musk: "You're being misleading. What you're saying is false."
Savitt tries again with a different loaded frame.
Musk: "Your questions are not simple. They are designed to trick me."
Savitt demands a yes or no answer to a complicated question.
Musk: "If you ask a question where there is no possible simple answer, I must give a longer answer because any simple answer would be misleading the jury."
Musk reaches for an analogy: "The classic answer to a yes or no question is not so simple. For example, if you ask the question 'will you stop beating your wife?'..."
Judge Gonzalez Rogers cuts him off: "No, we're not gonna go there."
The courtroom laughs.
Savitt apologizes for the question.
Musk: "I find it funny you saying it wasn't an unfair question since you're only asking unfair questions."
Savitt: "I'm doing my best."
Musk: "That is not true."
OpenAI's lawyer came to break Musk.
Musk wasn't having it.

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Atalas retuiteado

Yesterday, I spoke with the CEO of a mega fleet, who said most of his truckload business was doing well, except for one segment: food & beverage.
He called the lack of volume from this segment "unusual."
I told him we believed GLP-1s were causing a significant slowdown in food and beverage shipments, as we had just completed a market study on GLP-1's impact on freight shipments.
Our study, now published in a SONAR Sitrep, available online, estimates that 851k truckloads have been removed from the market due to GLP-1s, and this number could ramp to 1.95m by 2030.
Not only are Americans getting skinnier. Their truckloads are as well.

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@mcnick12LoL @AaronBlake I think it’s a fair argument to say he wasn’t literally threatening the presidents life.
My original point about claiming ignorance or an alternative explanation for the meaning of “86” still stands.
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The main problem with indicting Comey over "86 47" is that it's not self-evidently a threat. "86" has plenty of non-threatening meanings. During Biden years, it was used to mean impeachment.
The second problem is that recent Supreme Court precedent means prosecutors need to show Comey had "some subjective understanding of the threatening nature of his statements."
When informed of the potential threatening meaning, Comey said he didn't know that and deleted it.
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I never said that was fine.
That’s your prerogative to believe that everyone is a partisan hack. I hold everyone to the same standard.
That being said, I don’t know where the line is on free speech and calls to violence.
But I absolutely believe the former head of the FBI should be held to a different standard than any lunatic with a truck.
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@atalas @AaronBlake I'm confused why this is allowed and fine, but seashell numbers is "Danger!"

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@SwipeWright I hear it’s quite soothing.
It won’t even seem like a job at all!
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@AIHighlight This is the same one from March.
Curse these BREAKING posts
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🚨BREAKING: Anthropic just published a study mapping exactly which jobs its own AI is replacing right now.
The workers most at risk are not who anyone expected. They are older. They are more educated. They earn 47% more than average. And they are nearly four times more likely to hold a graduate degree than the workers AI is not touching.
The argument is straightforward. Anthropic built a new metric called "observed exposure." Not what AI could theoretically do. What it is actually doing right now in professional settings, measured against millions of real Claude conversations from enterprise users.
For computer and math workers, AI is theoretically capable of handling 94% of their tasks. It is currently handling 33% of them. For office and administrative roles, theoretical capability is 90%. Current observed usage is 40%. The gap between what AI can do and what it is already doing is enormous. The researchers are explicit about what comes next. As capabilities improve and adoption deepens, the red area grows to fill the blue.
The demographic finding is what makes the paper uncomfortable. The most AI-exposed workers earn 47% more on average than the least exposed group. They are more likely to be female. They are more likely to be college educated. This is not a story about warehouse workers or truck drivers. It is a story about lawyers, financial analysts, market researchers, and software developers. The exact group whose education was supposed to insulate them.
Computer programmers showed the highest observed AI exposure at 74.5%. Customer service representatives at 70.1%. Data entry keyers at 67.1%. Medical record specialists at 66.7%. Market research analysts and marketing specialists at 64.8%. These are not predictions. These are measurements of work that is already happening on AI platforms right now.
Then there is the pipeline finding nobody is talking about loudly enough.
Anthropic's researchers found a 14% decline in the job-finding rate for workers aged 22 to 25 in highly exposed occupations since ChatGPT launched. No comparable effect for workers over 25. Entry-level roles were never just jobs. They were the training ground where junior analysts became senior analysts, where junior lawyers learned how arguments hold together. If that layer disappears, nobody has answered the question of where the next generation of senior professionals comes from.
The detail buried in the paper that most coverage missed: 30% of American workers have zero AI exposure at all. Cooks. Mechanics. Bartenders. Dishwashers. The technology reshaping professional careers is completely irrelevant to roughly a third of the workforce. The divide is no longer between high skill and low skill. It is between presence and absence.
The company publishing this study is the same company selling the AI doing the replacing. Anthropic had every commercial incentive to soften these findings. They published them anyway.
If you spent four years and $200,000 on a degree to land a white collar career, the company that builds Claude just confirmed your job is more exposed than the bartender pouring drinks at your graduation party.
Source: Anthropic, "Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence"
PDF: anthropic.com/research/labor…

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@Funkjamzz @Cernovich That’s why I said “equal application and enforcement of the law” though perhaps that wasn’t clear.
They already pursue rightwing extremist groups with vigor. Perhaps more is necessary.
I’m suggesting we go after all extremists and their benefactors.
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@atalas @Cernovich The extremist groups you mention are on both sides though. You should see the right extremist group in Florida within The Villages area that are funded. It's wild to say the least.
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Just read through Cole Allen’s manifesto. Fairly light on ideology. Found his absolution of Patel to be curious.
The fact that he had the time to pen a post script to the manifesto moving the SS is quite something.
Outside of shutting the entire hotel down and clearing it in advance, I don’t know what else they could have done. No background check would have flagged him.
The internal perimeter check point served its purpose.
I know it’s a talking point to point at Cole Allen’s assassination attempt to justify the ballroom, but still.
Opposition to the ballroom was never anything other than opposing Trump.
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Hey, @nikitabayer
How would you feel about making the standard character visibility more dynamic?
It’s an unpleasant experience to be reading a post, click on “Show more” only to discover a few extra words.
If total character count is within X% of the base, then show all text.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!
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I get the instinct is to reach for education and intelligence as an explanation. I really do.
But most people aren’t lacking education so much as lacking interest.
We have a crisis of apathy.
People are not involved in the political process because they aren’t interested.
They aren’t interested because none of the issues feel relevant to them.
They aren’t relevant to them because many people only pay attention to federal elections.
They only pay attention to federal elections because that’s all that makes the news.
Thats the only time politics pierces their bubble, so they cast their vote for president, vote blue down the line, and collect an “I Voted!” sticker at the door.
When noting changes and the news cycle ramps up for the next election, they figure they’ll stick with the status quo and choose the candidate or party most closely aligned with their bubble.
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I was on FaceTime with a close friend of mine since childhood, while she had six of her girlfriends over. They live in NYC and are “corporate girlies” in their late 20s. They’re all college graduates, very pretty, normal, dress well, go to Pilates, enjoy their $10 matcha everyday. They’re MAHA (without knowing it).
They were asking me about my social media and all claim to “not be political” but I know every single one of the votes left or doesn’t vote at all.
One of them said my social media is crazy and I have some insane takes. I asked for an example so maybe I could help expand on how I reached whatever conclusion I did. There was no example provided.
I started asking about what they knew about our political climate. I started basic and asked if any of them know who our VP is. NOT A SINGLE ONE OF THEM COULD NAME OUR VICE PRESIDENT!!!!!
I asked more questions, and was equally disappointed in their lack of knowledge. They said they just don’t like getting involved in politics. Yet they all voted for Kamala.
They don’t know how laws get passed, they don’t know the branches of government, they don’t know why we’re at war with Iran, they just think it’s “unnecessary”, I could go on.
We have a major education crisis in our country.
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The result is interesting.
I think many people choose blue because they don’t understand the phrasing.
Others choose blue because they want to feel good about themselves.
I suspect far fewer people would land on blue if the consequences of their choice were real.
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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