David O'Donnell

11.8K posts

David O'Donnell

@brecko

Husband, Father, Grandfather, Native Texan, Outdoorsman

Texas Inscrit le Ağustos 2009

416 Abonnements651 Abonnés

Tweet épinglé

David O'Donnell@brecko·15 Şub

@grok For the Eemian can you confirm: This is the previous interglacial to the current Holocene? That models indicate a Summer ice free Arctic? That the Greenland ice sheet lost 1,300 ft and Summer temperatures were over 14 F higher at NEEM? That for the Antarctic WAIS retreated significantly and may have collapsed? That all of this lead to a 20-30 ft sea level rise compared to today? That this is not at all unique and interglacial MIS 11 shows even more pronounced polar and global wide ice reductions with sea level 40+ ft compared to today?

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David O'Donnell@brecko·51m

@Osint613 I don't think the plan to phase into clearing and preparing to open the Hormuz was expected to happen until week 4-5.

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Open Source Intel@Osint613·1h

Quick last thought before I go to sleep. As of now, the Islamic regime is still holding leverage, choking the Strait of Hormuz and putting global energy flows under pressure, with traffic nearly frozen and oil markets rattled U.S. and Israel knew this was coming. A Hormuz disruption was always the predictable move. If you think this ends here, you are misreading the board. Something is building, and when it comes, it will be powerful. It’s now the U.S. move.

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David O'Donnell retweeté

Ted Cruz@tedcruz·7h

The SAVE America Act is policy so simple even a baby would support it!! 🤣🤣🤣

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David O'Donnell@brecko·1h

@alilarijani_ir I didn't realize Hell had internet access.

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Ali Larijani | علی لاریجانی@alilarijani_ir·8h

"TODAY WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT THEY HAVE NEVER EXPERIENCED BEFORE." 2026/03/01

Ali Larijani | علی لاریجانی@alilarijani_ir

YESTERDAY IRAN FIRED MISSILES AT THE UNITED STATES AND ISRAEL, AND THEY DID HURT. TODAY WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT THEY HAVE NEVER EXPERIENCED BEFORE.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·4h

The A-10s have been unleashed on the fast attack boats.

Status-6 (War & Military News)@Archer83Able

Chairman of the JCS Gen. Dan Caine: "The A-10 Warthog is now in the fight across the southern flank and is hunting and killing fast attack watercraft in the Straits of Hormuz."

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David O'Donnell@brecko·4h

@MT_Anderson Any evidence the 2 LCS in Penang are joining?

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MT Anderson@MT_Anderson·6h

ARG TRANSIT: Likely spot of the USS New Orleans Mar 19 imagery caught a San Antonio-class LPD operating ~109 km North of Banda Aceh (6.545, 95.538), right on the edge of the satellite pass. Based on the last known AIS ping, and speed of the USS Tripoli (19 knots on her last AIS ping), this is almost certainly the USS New Orleans (LPD-18). The ARG is officially clearing the Strait of Malacca.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·6h

@Osint613 @grok can you analyze the video and comment on the perfect unison between the targeting reticle and the targeted aircraft silhouette and the fact that the silhouette never changes shape at all? Does that indicate real or fake?

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Open Source Intel@Osint613·6h

Iranian regime releases footage claiming its air defense hit a U.S. F-35. According to CNN the plane landed safely, this video shows a different story and I am on the assumption it is FAKE.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·6h

@sentdefender This is clearly not real. The targeting reticle is jumping around as expected, but the supposed targeted aircraft is jumping around in perfect unison with it.

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OSINTdefender@sentdefender·8h

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has release a statement, accompanied by video footage, which claims to show the targeting of an American F-35A/B Lightning ll with a surface-to-air missile in the skies over Iran. This claim by the IRGC follows reports that a F-35 was damaged and forced to make an “emergency landing” at an air base in the Middle East due to hostile fire over Iran.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·7h

@Osinttechnical If real no way the F-35 survives that. I call BS.

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OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical·8h

Iran just released footage reportedly showing one of its air defense systems successfully hitting an American F-35.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·9h

@zerohedge WTI just popped over $100

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zerohedge@zerohedge·9h

*US WILL NOT IMPLEMENT CRUDE EXPORT BAN: POLITICO

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David O'Donnell@brecko·9h

@zerohedge What others have said, plus refined products are traded globally so would have done nothing for actual prices at the pump possibly even increasing them since it would widen the WTI Brent spread. This was always just an attempt at market manipulation.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·9h

Without the Biden Administration's regulatory pause on US LNG delaying numerous projects, we would be ahead right now by 3-8 Bcf/d. In context the 17% Qatari LNG loss for the next 3-5 years is 1.8 Bcf/d.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·9h

@Grok Give the full impact of Qatar LNG shutdown completely near term and partially next 3-5 years: which countries win bidding wars, what will prices be and what will the economic impact be on all countries and regions affected?

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David O'Donnell retweeté

Zeek Arkham 🇺🇸@ZeekArkham·1d

Dear Kathy Hochul, Thanks to some kind and benevolent conservatives, I was able to learn what a computer is and type this out to you. I had to resist the urge to stop at a liquor store while sitting and learning, but I made it. Anyway, back in 2022, you made comments where you urged conservatives to leave New York and go to Florida. We did. We took our money with us as well, because that’s how those things work. Now you want us back? Nah… See, you’re in the “FO” stage of “FAFO.” It’s pretty glorious to behold. Good luck with all your social justice programs without the capital to fund them. Don’t blame me, I voted for Lee Zeldin. No hugs. Too busy exploring this thing called “grok.” Computers are awesome. Can someone get me a cup of Ripple? Zeek

Based Jessica@RealJessica

New York Gov Kathy Hochul is begging wealthy people who have moved to Florida and Texas to come back to New York and pay taxes. 🤣 "I need people who are high net worth to support the generous social programs that we want to have in our state. Now, there are some patriotic millionaires who stepped up. OK, cut me the checks if you want to be supportive, but maybe the first step should be go down to Palm Beach and see who you can bring back home." "I have to look at the fact that we are in competition with other states who have less of a tax burden on their corporations and their individuals. And I would say remote work changed everything." "There were people who could only work in an office in Manhattan and work in New York state. And they were captives to our state, they were going to stay. We saw that that's not the case. Wall Street businesses looking at Texas, they're not going there because they have a nicer governor. They're going there because of the tax rate."

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David O'Donnell@brecko·10h

@Faytuks Not true. The strike on March 2nd halted LNG production and caused Qatar Energy to declare force majeure on contracts. It's been shut down since. These new strikes added damage, but it was already damaged long ago well before Israel hit S Pars.

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Faytuks News@Faytuks·10h

"Based on prewar market estimates, Iran managed to destroy ~3.5% of global LNG capacity in a single strike" x.com/Osinttechnical…

OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical

Iran’s strike last night wiped out 17% of Qatar’s natural gas export capacity, repairs are expected to take three to five years -Reuters (Based prewar market estimates, Iran managed to destroy ~3.5% of global LNG capacity in a single strike.)

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Faytuks News@Faytuks·11h

BREAKING: Iran’s attack last night knocked out 17% of Qatar’s natural gas export capacity with repairs expected to take three to five years, according to QatarEnergy's CEO - Reuters reuters.com/business/energ…

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David O'Donnell retweeté

FinancialJuice@financialjuice·11h

QatarEnergy CEO: We may have to declare force majeure on long-term contracts for up to five years for LNG supplies to Italy, Belgium, Korea, and China.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·11h

@lamps_apple European benchmark Dutch TTF Gas is now over $19 The Asia Japan / Korea Marker is just over $20. The US remains insulated at $3.175 So the rest of the world is paying 7X what the US pays for Gas.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·1d

@lamps_apple It's not just oil. It's even worse for Natural Gas / LNG - Price spread in $ / MMBtu: US $3 Europe $15-17 Asia $20-25 and it will get worse.

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Apple Lamps@lamps_apple·1d

The Strait of Hormuz was supposed to end Trump’s presidency. Iran blocked it. Oil spiked. Gas prices surged. The plan was simple… crush the American worker with inflation until the political pressure forced a retreat. But the trap inverted. The oil market has fractured into two tiers. $100 in America. $150 in Asia. China, India, Japan, South Korea… the nations that refused to send warships when Trump asked… are now paying 50% more per barrel than the country that launched the war. Demand destruction has started across Asia. Schools closing. Workers sent home. Petrol pumps running dry in Southeast Asia. Meanwhile American refineries are actually increasing output, running on light sweet crude that never touches Hormuz. Trump told them to help open the Strait. Every single one refused. NATO said it wasn’t their war. China negotiated selective passage from a destroyed regime. Japan declined. Australia declined. Now the Strait is doing to them what it was designed to do to Trump.

John Ʌ Konrad V@johnkonrad

What have I been saying for three weeks?! (Yes three) IDC what the price of oil climbs to, as long as it remains global. The real danger is it starts to fracture between nations and regions.

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David O'Donnell@brecko·11h

@zerohedge This is truth. US can take out Kharg Island anytime it wants. We are still less than 3 weeks into this and any attempt to open the Strait wasn't going to happen until week 4-5. So Kharg Island has a definite shelf life.

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zerohedge@zerohedge·12h

*BESSENT: WE'VE ALLOWED IRAN OIL TO CONTINUE OUT OF THE GULF

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David O'Donnell@brecko·11h

@JoshYoung An export ban would fail spectacularly for the simple reason that refined products are sold on a global market. All this talk is just manipulation. US Producers aren't going to drill more with this kind of talk floating around either.

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Josh Young@JoshYoung·12h

WTI oil is trading at a large discount to Brent. This reduces the impetus for a US oil export ban.

Energy Headline News@OilHeadlineNews

ZeroHedge: The market is largely pricing in a US oil export ban: Brent less WTI spread is the widest in decades (ex the negative WTI print). Export ban would landlock US oil, sending it sharply lower while sending Brent soaring

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David O'Donnell@brecko·12h

@Osinttechnical I’d just like to point out that before Israel hit South Pars, Iran very early in the conflict had already hit Qatar’s Ras Laffan and Qatar Energy shut down production declaring force majeure for LNG deliveries on March 2.

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OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical·16h

The Middle East descended into a series of strikes on oil and gas facilities over the past 24 hours after Iran responded to Israel's attack on the South Pars. The Iranian response scored varying hits, including ones that caused "severe damage" to Qatar's Ras Laffan gas complex.