Tim Fidgeon

338 posts

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Tim Fidgeon

Tim Fidgeon

@timfidgeon

London, Germany, Spain Inscrit le Aralık 2011
39 Abonnements2K Abonnés
🇦🇺Craig Tindale
I try not to get involved in moral absolutes , my observation is folks turn themselves in knots trying to define what’s moral and not , the current habit of pronouncing folk immoral and themselves moral appears to have pragmatic purpose other than conflict - whereas the world has kept behaving exactly the same as it always has
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🇦🇺Craig Tindale
This presentation by Erik Prince is outstanding , his logic is extendable conceptually by “ unrestricted warfare “ principles to other targets including energy , financial markets , metals , materials . What we need to do in this era is continually refresh our conceptual frameworks of what is possible , because what is possible has become a fluid moving target/s
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen

@TFL1728 What is wrong about it Tom? Please include any thoughts on why Erik Prince, former Tier 1 operator and head of Blackwater is wrong in his assessment, as his views influenced my thinking on the matter: youtu.be/WsKtfLRSo2c?si…

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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
@cchen06 Decoupling. The goal is to prevent China from continuing to gain relative military strength. Taiwan was never the main factor. Just a potential catalyst.
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
I have no problem with the Canadians and Europeans in my comments scolding me when I talk about decoupling. I have a serious issue with the Americans who are rooting for Trump to fail simply because they don’t like his politics despite the obvious negative repercussions losing hegemony will have on our collective children and grandchildren. We are in the shit. Suck it up and vote him out at the polls. Until then STFU if the best you can do is publicly hope that Iran turns into a dumpster fire for our military or that France further undermines our leverage over Europe. If this is too much to ask you don’t deserve to benefit from the fruits of the hard men of the prior century who tirelessly worked to fortify the dominance and lifestyle you currently enjoy.
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Wolfgang Munchau
Wolfgang Munchau@EuroBriefing·
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the long-term consequences of Europe's decision to deny US requests for the use of joint bases and overflight rights for its war against Iran. This, plus the repeated assertion that “This is not our war” has given Trump a catchy political narrative that his political opponents may struggle to counter. eurointelligence.com/Podcasts
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John Hulsman
John Hulsman@JohnHulsman1·
So much for your editing process. Is there anyone literate left at your paper? Or is competence an oppressive construct?
NYTimes Communications@NYTimesPR

@sissenberg @nytimes A correction will appear in tomorrow's print edition: "A headline with an article on Friday about President Trump’s threats to leave NATO misstated the full name of the body. It is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, not the North American Treaty Organization."

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SightBringer
SightBringer@_The_Prophet__·
⚡️Modern people are aging differently because age itself got re-coded. Fifty used to mean social seniority. Now it means prolonged competition. The old deal was decline into respectability. The new deal is permanent visibility. Better medicine, lower smoking, more fitness culture, more cosmetic intervention, hormone optimization, better dentistry, better clothing, and higher image pressure all combine into one result: middle age no longer gets to disappear into softness and anonymity by default. The deeper change is civilizational. The body used to be allowed to age into role. Now the body is forced to age inside the market. Sexual market, status market, professional market, social media market, image market. That changes behavior. Men train longer. Women preserve harder. Everyone manages appearance more aggressively because visual relevance lasts longer and is punished harder when lost. There is another layer. Older generations looked older partly because they lived older. More sun damage. More smoking. Worse food. Worse skincare. Worse dentistry. Less exercise for aesthetics. More stress worn openly. Less pressure to remain camera-ready. They were not failing. They were inhabiting a different contract with time. The modern face at 50 is also more synthetic than people admit. Grooming, whitening, surgery, injectables, retouching, hair work, photography, tailored clothing, better sleep tracking, better supplementation, better medicine. The culture calls it natural aging when it likes the result. But a lot of “aging better” is just higher investment in fighting visible entropy. So the clean truth is simple. People do not just age slower now. They age under surveillance. That is the real change. Forty years ago, fifty meant you had moved beyond the arena. Now fifty means you are still in it.
Modern History@modernhistory

Age 50 in 1986 vs. age 50 in 2026. What has changed in 40 years?

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Tim Fidgeon
Tim Fidgeon@timfidgeon·
@vtchakarova Yes, but the EU has a pretty flag and pretty words to protect it :/
GIF
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Velina Tchakarova
Velina Tchakarova@vtchakarova·
Europe’s primary vulnerability is structural, not cyclical: the continent has replaced Russian pipeline gas dependency with Qatari and American LNG dependency and 17% of Qatar’s LNG capacity is now offline for the next years. The EU started 2026 needing to inject 60 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas to reach its 90% storage target by December. At 28% storage (Germany 22%), the summer refill season which starts tomorrow (5 April) under the Summer 2026 delivery contract is the next critical battleground. The EU has already cut its storage target from 90% to 80% in recognition of structural supply constraints. The April 6 Trump deadline is Europe’s most immediate binary decision point. If the US strikes Iranian power plants and oil infrastructure (Kharg Island), Brent could move toward $150–200/bbl. If diplomacy produces even a partial Hormuz reopening, prices could correct 15–25% within days. Europe is entirely exposed to this binary as a price-taker with no independent military role in the Strait.
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Chris Marcus
Chris Marcus@ArcadiaEconomic·
Trump’s started taking action, that according to CNBC, over 100 legal experts say would qualify him as a war criminal…
Chris Marcus tweet media
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Hiro Protagonist
Hiro Protagonist@HiroPro79750486·
@GringoInvesting @bullbearlovech1 @TMTLongShort I’m with you on countering the Chinese, of course; I’m an American and I also know what being an American should mean. I take China very seriously. I worry about Trump’s approach to our allies. Yes they are a bunch of free-loaders, but there is such a thing as going too far
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
Before we fully turn the screws on Europe we will annihilate Canada. Full medieval shit. No prisoners. It’s going to be a bloodbath. And Europe is going to watch in horror and confusion. And then they’ll ask themselves “if he could do this to Canada what might he do to Spain” Elbows up, USMCA will be fun 🫡
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Hiro Protagonist
Hiro Protagonist@HiroPro79750486·
@GringoInvesting @bullbearlovech1 @TMTLongShort I would ask you to consider - as one American with his eye on the Chinese to another - that Trump’s style / how far he goes is very risky for actually breaking the alliances rather than artfully maneuvering the allies into greater burden-sharing and alignment (with us).
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Blizio
Blizio@blizio645·
@TMTLongShort This is from 2023, being neutral between China and the US has been a policy being floated in Europe for a while now. Even when Biden was willing to contribute $113 billion to Ukraine from 2022 to the end of 2023
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
Now you are starting to understand why decoupling was chosen as the optimal strategy. By forcing Europe to choose a sphere it removes the possibility of them betraying us at the worst possible time. And no I am not using the word betray in the moral sense. I don’t believe in morality. I believe in realpolitik. And we are about to realpolitik the shit out of them until they beg to be vassals again.
Just Loki@LokiJulianus

If China invaded Taiwan, Europeans would say it wasn't their fight, shut down our overflights, and try to cut a deal with the PRC.

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Michael Every
Michael Every@TheMichaelEvery·
It *could* be, as I’ve been arguing for weeks… which is why escalation to try to deescalate on US terms is still the most logical path ahead. If that then works, 2026 opens up all kinds of ‘reverse perestroika’ possibilities (and necessities).
Niall Ferguson@nfergus

American Suez. A doleful essay for Good Friday. "There is now a rising probability that Trump’s war backfires on him much as Eden’s did—economically, politically, and geopolitically. Which raises the question: Is this the American Suez?" 1/5

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ZenYogiZen
ZenYogiZen@GeoffreyGo94064·
Blaming people who don't vote for the mess that others voted for is the height of madness. Put the blame where it belongs with the political process, with the politicians & the voters who take part in it. @TalkTV @jkyleofficial
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Tim Fidgeon
Tim Fidgeon@timfidgeon·
@EuroBriefing Europe has risked hanging itself from a tree of virtue and not even realised it :/
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