Wise Mountain Ape
13K posts
Monsieur le Ministre, L'hypocrisie demeure une marque de fabrique de la culture politique française – un vice qui, comme Molière l'a si justement observé dans son chef-d'œuvre de 1664, Le Tartuffe ou l'Imposteur, « est devenu à la mode ». Vous êtes resté silencieux – vous vous êtes même fait complice – tandis que des villes iraniennes étaient sauvagement bombardées et que des Iraniens innocents étaient brutalement massacrés à #Minab, Téhéran, #Lamerd, Ispahan et ailleurs. Et pourtant, aujourd'hui, lorsque cela sert les intérêts politiques de votre régime, votre conscience sélective s'éveille soudainement et vous prétendez donner des leçons au monde entier sur les droits de l'homme.
Quel tartuffe !
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@sunsfan678 @eghtesadnia Lmao I’m a cracker from Mississippi
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@sunsfan678 @eghtesadnia Nah. We touched the stove and got burnt.
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@eghtesadnia They are gona air campaign u back to the stone ages after the mid terms you idiot just watch
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@jaketapper -Illicit nuclear program (only with actual bombs)
-heavily armed with conventional weapons it uses to attack its neighbors
-supports armed proxies
-destabilizes the region
-“Lebanon delenda est”
Why isn’t Israel under sanctions, let alone “maximum pressure”?
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Israeli National Security Minister Ben Gvir, an anti-Arab racist zealot, says “all of Lebanon must burn.” That’s almost 6 million people. Hideous.
איתמר בן גביר@itamarbengvir
על כל דמעה של אמא ישראלית, אלף אמהות לבנוניות צריכות לבכות. לבנון כולה צריכה לבעור! עם כל הכבוד לאמריקאים, ישראל חייבת להבהיר לעולם כולו שדם בנינו וביטחון אזרחנו איננו הפקר. לבנון כולה צריכה לבעור. חובתנו העליונה היא להגן על אזרחי ישראל ועל חיילי צה״ל, והמחויבות הזו קודמת לכל שיקול אחר. אמרתי לראש הממשלה, גם בישיבות בינינו: על כל דמעה של אמא ישראלית, אלף אימהות לבנוניות צריכות לבכות. מספיק עם הפינג־פונג. במזרח התיכון לא מנצחים בתגובות מדודות ובהכלה - צריך להשתגע. למחוק. להכריע את הטרור.
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@AnalyticaCamil1 Something I’ve always wondered about: what happened to the working class bulk of those white Protestant New Yorkers? Are there any of them left? Seems like when you see white New Yorkers it’s always either Ellis Island stock or Whit Stillman-type WASP elite. 440,000 was a lot!
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Corey, this is an embarrassingly hackneyed take. You ever bother to ask yourself “why is it called New York City instead of New Amsterdam?”
In 1900, ‘85% of NYC’s population’ was composed of first or second generation immigrants (Anglo and Dutch-Americans were in the “white-American” category here).
Even when it was a predominantly Anglo town, the majority of its residents weren’t from there.
The people who built New York’s skyline were overwhelmingly immigrants, because NYC was a city of immigrants, and it always will be.
Corey Walker 🇺🇸@CoreyWriting
NYC was built by the Dutch. NYC was not built by people who moved there from Pakistan in 1998.
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@JHWeissmann @SpecialPuppy1 Schumer said if Congress gets a word on the final deal Dems won’t help. I think it would deeply divide the caucus if he tried to whip the vote (remember, Schumer was the lone hold-out on JCPOA) but people aren’t irrational to worry when the minority leader is Schumer.
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Has a single Democrat besides Fetterman said we should keep fighting this war? The main argument is that starting it was wildly stupid, and it has resulted in a shitty deal we probably have to live with because we taught Iran that it did in fact have an economic trump card.
Nathan J Robinson@NathanJRobinson
I am absolutely begging Democrats not to run to the right of Trump on Iran
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@GeehadiJohn @UnboundedVoice @adamemedia1 @RhondaGarad Palestine was not at war with one of the teams playing. I’m not saying I agree with the decision, but it’s not at all difficult to find the limiting principle here
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@andreas_krieg The meltdowns from the usual suspects are going to be glorious when Trump threatens to put sanctions on Israel if they don’t behave
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“The Iranians have asked for guarantees that hostilities in Lebanon will end, as outlined in the signed agreement, and mediators are currently working to resolve the issue,” a diplomat with knowledge of the matter said.
According to the diplomat, the Iranians’ message was: “We held Hizbollah back, the US is unable to hold Israel back. Until they do we won’t come.”
ft.com/content/9cd814…
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Wise Mountain Ape retweeté
Oh fuck you. There is no way the guy who got the no-bid contract for using bottom shelf Home Depot sealant on the reflecting pool looks like this. Come the fuck on
CBS News@CBSNews
Paint was seen peeling from the floor of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool in Washington, D.C. on Thursday, weeks after a $14 million renovation that included a new color President Trump called “American Flag Blue.”
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@clashreport Omnidirectional bellicosity will continue until morale improves
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Israeli Diaspora Affairs Minister Amichai Chikli:
What we are seeing before our eyes is not the strengthening of Iran. In my view, Iran will need a very long time to recover and rebuild itself.
What worries me much more is the axis that put this agreement together: Qatar, Türkiye, and Pakistan.
What we are seeing is the rise of a new axis — a new Axis of Evil.
A new Axis of Evil, a radical Sunni axis that is extraordinarily dangerous.
Saudi Arabia chose to enter a military alliance with Pakistan and also chose to join this axis.
This Qatari-Pakistani-Turkish-Syrian ideology is Hamas on steroids.
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@mattyglesias Good points but the coalition *will* be divided on this so long as you’ve got important people like Schumer threatening to torpedo the negotiations (and worse, saying *Drmocrats*, not just he personally, will do it)
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If Trump gets away with this narrative, the incentive is to always roll the dice on more wars.
The truth is he signed an abject surrender at Versailles, same as the defeated Germans and complete with reparations payments — his policy failed.
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No Democrats are running “to the right of Trump” on Iran.
But pointing out that he is settling the war on objectively terrible terms rather than just praising him for ending it is important to the politics of deterring future absurd wars.
Nathan J Robinson@NathanJRobinson
I am absolutely begging Democrats not to run to the right of Trump on Iran
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@mattyglesias @HistoryBoomer I think Schumer might be. He’s demagoguing the $300 billion, which is private funds, not tax dollars, and is a genuine win-win that will open up a huge market for American trade and a huge, educated population for American investment. And he voted against JCPOA.
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@matthew_petti @weary_liberty We just had to evacuate Iraq because it’s honeycombed with Iran-friendly militias didn’t we? I don’t think you can say we got what we want out of Iraq War without reckoning with the fact that its outcome increased Iranian influence in the region.
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@weary_liberty They took an unfriendly power off the chessboard and replaced with easily controlled fiefdoms.
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The US government got what it wanted out of the Iraq War, they’re just not honest about the goals.
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller
Here's a question: when was the last time a great power won a war?
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@policytensor Note the specific countries mentioned: UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain. Oman from the beginning, and then Saudi and Qatar made their separate peace with Tehran. UAE dragged their feet but followed, after desperate chest thumping. Bahrain and Kuwait were still getting punched last week.
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The Arabs need to grow up. No power on earth can constrain Iran’s missile arsenal. Not unless the Israelis agree to disarm, which is not going to happen. They’ll have better luck pushing against the Iran-Oman administration of Hormuz and demand participation along with right of transit.
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la
The Gulf State leaders are happy the war is ending. But are deeply unhappy with the MOU. This is why: 1) The MOU is silent on the only weapons that ever hit the Gulf. Iran's nuclear program never cratered an Emirati airport. Its missiles and drones did. Iran now holds them hostage in the future. 2) UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait officials say they were sidelined, with little hand in a deal about a war fought on their soil. Israeli officials feel the same way. When both blocs feel cut out by the same patron, that's not an accident. 3) The Gulf states took damage from Iran and the one compensated is Iran while leaving its strike capability intact. 4) They are mad at Vance for pretending they like this deal. He reportedly said they "love it." The officials leaking to reporters say otherwise. 5) They are shocked the US is defending the Iranian missile program. Trump said "Missiles aren't the problem. Missiles, they hurt a little location, but they don't blow up the planet." That line plays very differently in countries hit by missiles. 6) The Gulf states are, unlike Israel, not trying to sabotage the deal because walking means facing Tehran alone. Loud enough to complain, too dependent to veto. 7) Watch whether the Gulf gets written into the next round over the coming 60 days. The real demand was always a seat, not just missile caps. If not involved, this will have long-term implications for US-Gulf relations. Israel and the Gulf hate the same deal for opposite reasons. Israel because it stops the war, the Gulf because it isn't involved. doesn't finish the job. Vance keeps insisting the Gulf is happy. It isn't. It's just trapped.
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@SenSchumer It’s an investment fund pledged by businessmen who want access to a huge market and expect to turn a handsome profit, not taxpayer dollars. But you know that, you’re just a hawk who voted against the JCPOA because Israel should be the only ME country with power to act.
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Trump is claiming there is no $300 Billion Dollar payment to Iran by the U.S…
These are his handwritten initials. He should read his own memo of understanding.
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@MouinRabbani Israel broke rule number one: it got high on its on supply
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People are understandably skeptical and even dismissive of the latest spat between the US and Israel.
It is after all no more than a war of words, with no serious indication it has or will result in a change of policy by Washington towards Israel. Certainly not as of today.
This notwithstanding, what we are witnessing this week is fundamentally different than yet another article by Barak Ravid that the US leadership is furious with Israel. This time, the message is coming straight from the horse’s mouth, most prominently from none other than Trump and Vance.
This is already politically significant for an important reason. It may not directly affect US policy towards Israel, but for decades Israel has very successfully traded on the image that it is all-powerful in Washington, that the road to the White House runs through Tel Aviv.
Many governments accordingly make nice with Israel and acquiesce to its every demand not out of any loyalty to or affinity with Israel, but because they have successfully been persuaded by Israel that if they disobey it, they will incur the wrath of Washington and get nothing from it.
When such governments witness not only the various statements critical of Israel by the most senior US officials, but just as importantly the hysteria of Israeli leaders that they have been abandoned by Washington and that the US has become a Saudi-Qatari colony, they will factor this into their foreign policies.
If, in the coming weeks, the US forces Israel to withdraw from Lebanon, for example, and engages seriously with Iran over persistently loud Israeli objections, it sends a very clear message. That message is that relations with the US can be pursued bilaterally, or even via other governments, and Israel can be safely ignored.
Israel’s leadership seems to have become delusional to the point of believing that it is the senior partner in the relationship with the US. If it continues to act this way, it will ultimately reveal itself to be a paper tiger, with the consequences this entails.
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@BrettErickson28 @policytensor Yes. The real bonanza will be when/if the final deal is signed, at which point several European countries have already pledged to lift sanctions
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@policytensor We have a recent comparison under GL-U that didn’t see significant increases in oil sales or exports. Many jurisdictions will still have sanctions and terror designations regardless of what the U.S. does.
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Iran is still able to sell oil with sanctions on, they just sell it as a discount to China. Under GL-U, it rose from an $8/barrel discount, to a $2/barrel premium, so a shift of $10/barrel. Now however, Iranian oil is selling at a $0-$1/barrel discount. On the high end, it may reach as high as $7/barrel, thus the “sanctions premium” of $7-$8/barrel. Under GL-U, Iran didn’t sell notably more oil than they did compared to when sanctions were imposed. Assigning “full sales value” to the sanctions waivers would not be a honest depiction. It’s primary the shift in discount to premium attributable to the waivers. Assuming a sales volume of 2.0Mbpd over 60 days @ $8/barrel premium, you land at a figure of $960M.. There are also factors like insurance, banking waivers, transport waivers that will drive up the “realized revenues” but optimistically again, maybe $8/barrel profits increase. So ~$1.92B.
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@AGHamilton29 “Random at their Arab neighbors” is so dishonest
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Apparently we are supposed to pretend that the regime that was just launching random missiles at their Arab neighbors a few weeks ago while also having their terror proxy launch regular missiles at civilians is now full of rational actors totally seeking peace and co-existence.
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@SenSchumer Fuck off, Chuck. Your (and, heretofore, Trump’s) preferred Iran strategy has been a disastrous failure. It’s time to try a different path—a 25 year Democratic voter
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The U.S. is worse off because of Trump’s incompetence, his ego, and his inability to listen to facts.
If Trump wants to send hundreds of billions of dollars to Iran, he’ll need to do with Republican votes.
Democrats will not be helping Trump send $300 billion to Iran.
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@WhiteBoySabbath @borzou No, we were in checkmate. The cost of “winning” was so prohibitive that it forced a recognition that the interests of the U.S., the region and the world have fundamentally diverged from Israel’s self-perceived interest.
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@borzou The US could and WOULD have won, if not for our pusillanimous president!
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There were analysts and journalists who used data and facts to correctly predict that Iran would be able to outlast the US, and those who ignored the data and facts to stupidly predict that the US would be able to outlast Iran.
For the life of me, I don’t understand why the people who were wrong on this basic matter are still taken seriously at all.
Like, why are they still quoted on television and in newspaper articles? Shouldn’t they at least be grilled about their profoundly incorrect assessments?
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