Patchie
70 posts
@Saints2death I’m a big believer. Looked really important towards the end of the year. My most drafted player on dk
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Devaughn Vele is one of the best Round 18 picks you could be making right now.
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BREAKING - Josh Jacobs has been arrested on five charges.
- Battery/domestic abuse
- Criminal damage to property/domestic abuse
- Disorderly conduct/Domestic abuse
- Strangulation and suffocation
- Intimidation of a victim.
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@ffdataroma I think a lot of people just aren’t considering that Waddle may be focal point that Peyton’s been waiting to get for this Broncos offense and how much potential that has from a fantasy perspective
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I think there’s a good bit of context missing to this Waddle/Sutton comparison.
The Dolphins offense and Tua have been absolutely awful the last two years. In 2024, the OL was so bad they had to just throw short and quick all game (5.9! aDOT), a role being taken by 3 other players (Jonnu, Tyreek, Achane). In 2025, Tua was just so bad and the Dolphins offense was a disaster which hurt production, yet Waddle’s efficiency was still really strong.
Waddle has been playing a ton of X these past couple years, a role both not most beneficial to his skillset and to the remaining ability Tua had. And he’s still remained more efficient/the better target-earner than Sutton despite this (0.26 vs 0.22 TPRR last year). Kick this comparison back one more year (last time MIA offense was competent) and the numbers look drastically different.
Courtland Sutton has been facing zero target comp the last 2 years in a much better offense, and he still managed to fade out for parts of 2025. He’s a fine player but has never really been a target-earner (0.22 TPRR since ‘21) despite mostly poor tgt comp.
I’m of the opinion that Waddle will thrive in the Z/slot role in Denver, a role more conducive to his skillset and in a much better environment. I think the Sutton price is fine enough, but Waddle has demonstrated much higher upside (elite efficiency, multiple 15+ hppr FP/G seasons). I’m betting he realizes that upside in a much improved environment
Kyle@KyleM_FF
Are we so sure that Jaylen Waddle is that much better than Courtland Sutton? Are we certain he's the better Best Ball pick at cost? Here is how they've compared over the last two seasons (per @FantasyPtsData) - Waddle was the more efficient WR, barely, but Sutton was more productive and effective in terms of separation ability We've seen some hype for Waddle's move to Denver, under the assumption that he is the bona fide WR1 right away, but I think people are underestimating Sutton - I expect the #1 target in this offense to fluctuate weekly (Sean Payton has also confirmed as much) Waddle is moving to a better, more pass-heavy offense and will likely see a more favorable route tree, but I am not fully convinced he has WR1 upside - He's still a solid pick at his ADP, but I am not "all in" on drafting him significantly more than I am Sutton at his lower cost Sutton has recorded the 4th-most performances of 13.0+ 1/2 PPR points over the last 3 seasons (25 total) - Yes, season-long ceiling is lowered with the addition of Waddle, but I still like his spike-week upside, thanks to his usage in the red zone
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@ffdataroma Im scooping up the exposure now that hes in the 50’s
I still think theres some risk given the nasty nature of the shoulder and the goal line usage but its worth the risk a lot more in this range
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The Gainwell buzz + Bucky Irving injury fear is pushing him into a very comfortable range of drafts, behind Skatt and just ahead of TreVeyon/Montgomery.
Gainwell is a career backup that got spammed targets by a 40 y/o QB who can’t throw downfield anymore. He’s a fine player but by no means a difference maker, should likely play a similar role to Rachaad White. And there’s a world where Sean Tucker takes goal line work again, but TB does have a new OC, minimal investment in him, AND that trend didn’t start until after Bucky’s 2-month injury absence.
Bucky is 1 year removed from an incredible rookie year (RB7 in back half of season, top of league efficiency), and dealt with injuries for the majority of the 2025 season. Prior to his 2025 injury, he still had an elite role too (RB9 in XFP/G per @FantasyPtsData).
Now going in the range of drafts where RBs all have a lot more uncertainty, I feel much better about clicking him in this late 4th range rather than late 3rd/early 4th. That uncertainty of Gainwell taking too much receiving or Tucker even taking GL work is much more palatable in this range. He’s going to be a pretty big target of mine if he remains a late 4th round (RB20) ADP or later, we've seen a much higher ceiling than that and the set-up is relatively similar.
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I am so incredibly IN on Chris Olave this season
Possible darkhorse overall WR1 imo
RotoBaller NFL@RotoBallerNFL
Jordyn Tyson on a "Maintenance Plan" During Offseason Workouts rotoballer.com/player-news/jo…
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@Jbird582510 @RotoStreetWolf Ff community is a lot more sure Loveland makes a huge year 2 leap. What if that just doesn’t happen?
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@RotoStreetWolf It's gonna be funny if/when Loveland outscores them both. The ff community is so sure those 2 will finish 1 & 2, but things don't always work out that way.
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I was planning to rank Trey McBride as the TE1 in 2026 Fantasy
And then news broke that he’s competing against “a football robot from heaven”
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@RonStewart_ Minimal ligament damage for the injury he had, offense better than last year, OL improvement, coach speak commitment to run first offense
I mean I get that there’s risk but based on last years production I don’t get the pessimism. He should smash end of year
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Man I loved Skattebo last year but the guy turned his ankle at a 90 degree angle 6 months ago and hes in a potentially shitty offense at a much steeper price
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Trey Benson to the Minnesota Vikings for a 5th?
I am IN on this
No doubt about it - Benson is going to get traded at this point from ARI. I think MIN would be a dream landing spot with Aaron Jones taking a pay cut, Jordan Mason on final year of contract and hasn't shown much as a Viking and only drafting a 6th rd Demond Claiborne.
Let's get it done, Viks!
Vikings Territory@vikingterritory
4 Vikings Trades We’d Like to See This Summer dlvr.it/TShQpY #Vikings #NFL #Skol
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@JoeOrrico Hes not better than marv but hes GOOD and clear chemistry with brissett
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@smitchell17 I am pretty bearish on the eagles offense but smitty is by far the best receiver on that team and even when they were very run heavy in 2024 he was ultra productive
His ADP is too high but Hurts will throw and all signs point in favor of smitty over the rookies and FA signings
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I’ve seen plenty of OCs (especially 1st year) come in and NOT be great for an offense. We still have to think about the offense as a whole. If their run game is great, guess what? They don’t need to throw as much. If they can’t get more than 1-read in passing game? Who knows who will be that guy? There just as much ambiguity with a first time OC (without a guy like Brown) as trying a new brand of clothing. Some may fit great, some may fit absolutely awfully.
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One of the most flawed narratives is “vacated targets”
I’ve seen so many DeVonta Smith will be a darkhorse WR1 since A.J. Brown [looks] to be gone in trade.
Yea, and folks think Smith is just going to be out there with a Jahan Dotson or Darius Cooper?
They drafted Makai Lemon. He WILL command targets. What if Smith becomes the sacrificial X in an offense that really doesn’t want to throw much in their offensive scheme? They do have Saquon Barkley?
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@c_farrell47 @extramicrowave Hes the reason they beat the chargers in his first game and also absolutely stomped on the eagles.
Both in his rookie year.
Yall just come on here to chat shit huh?
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@extramicrowave He’s Justin Fields in the sense that they both give you hype moments & aura to trick you into thinking they’re good but are unable to actually win games or lead an NFL offense
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Man I cant believe people think Jaxson Dart is any good
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@smitchell17 I mean, yeah
But the eagles have had 4 OC’s in the past 5 years and Devonta has been productive with all of them
If anything, he’s probably the best example of a player you can feel confident in regardless of OC. There’s more reason to be excited than concerned
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@patch_dfs And there is no indication of how the new OC will use them in this offense either, right?
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@FFMichaelK Both ETN and Javonte were victims of severe injury tax on ADP and hopium another less talented back would take their place
I don’t really see that talent disrepency in C. Rod or really any other late rb this year aside of maybe Bill
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@Thebuckestmofo9 @UncleKoolaid @KyleM_FF Mike McDaniel has a hard on for Mitchell and you saw what kind of production a player with a similar skillset had in his offense 📈
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@UncleKoolaid @KyleM_FF Everyone said the same thing with Achane I’m not saying I expect it to happen immediately. Hampton has first dibs but I’m not as confident as everyone else Mitchell can’t turn his career around. If I’m buying in this backfield I’m buying Mitchell he’s the cheapest best option imo
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I think these are some excellent points to consider when arguing the bear case for Omarion Hampton in 2026
That being said, when Hampton faced two of the best run defenses in the league last season, he averaged 22.4 FPG (RB2)
This was pretty much solely due to the following: receiving work and goal-line touches
- Hampton recorded 5+ receptions in 4/9 games last season
- He earned 80% of the rush attempts inside the 5-yard line
The goal line-role alone should create a relatively safe, high-end floor, in what is likely to be a high scoring offense next season
- This makes me less worried about some of his poor efficiency metrics last season
Do we think that Keaton Mitchell or Kimani Vidal are going to threaten either of those roles in a significant way?
- Mitchell has had an extremely low-end route share over his entire career
- Vidal is playing on 1-year, $1 million exclusive rights free agent tender contract
Hampton also saw 1.70 YBCO/Att over the span where struggled efficiency-wise (RB40)
- If we remove the game against the Giants, and only look at his other 4 healthy starts, he averaged an abysmal 1.02 YBCO/Att
Dataroma@ffdataroma
Omarion Hampton when simply not facing the worst rush defense in the NFL as a rookie, per @FantasyPtsData: + 3.68 YPC (*would be 37th of 43 RBs) + 2.03 YACo/Att (*30th) + 4.4% explosive rate (*20th) + 45.1% success rate (*37th) I get the allure in a theoretically better offense, but feels like there's some revisionist history going on with Hampton's year 1 performance. Although the rookie year sample wasn't too large, Hampton was mostly bad as a rookie both pre and post-injury, and didn't stand out at all relative to Kimani Vidal's play. Seemingly lacks a lot of lateral movement ability that makes some of the league's best RBs special (ie: Gibbs, Bijan, Achane, etc.). I think both Keaton Mitchell and Vidal play a real role in this backfield (Mitchell at the very least for outside/change of pace runs). Hampton is way too bolstered on theoretical situation and role for me rather than talent, not the type of bet I want to make in early-mid round 2.
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Can someone please explain to me why in the world these WRs are all going before Romeo Doubs right now?
Quentin Johnston — 93.6 ADP
Jakobi Meyers — 96.9 ADP
Josh Downs — 99.4 ADP
Ricky Pearsall — 101.5 ADP
Xavier Worthy — 105.1 ADP
Michael Pittman Jr. — 105.8 ADP
Matthew Golden — 107.4 ADP
Doubs is sitting there at ADP 113 as the projected WR1 (as of now) the guys above him are all WR2s on their team. Will the AJ Brown trade happen? Maybe? If it does he’s now a WR2 like the rest but would argue he’s the best out of the group above…If the AJ trade doesn’t happen you now have the only WR1 one of the group
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