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ChainObserver

@ChainNarratives

Supply chain journo, trying to write as humanly as possible before the bots take over.

Barcelona, Spain Bergabung Ocak 2025
68 Mengikuti15 Pengikut
Laura Jedeed
Laura Jedeed@LauraJedeed·
This is the real masculinity crisis, by the way
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Laura Jedeed
Laura Jedeed@LauraJedeed·
This soft man is trying for a specific archetype and failing hilariously Cigarette in mouth vs pipe in hand Rugged stubble vs patchy beard Lined face vs IG filter Tanned vs Mom's-basement pale Crotch bulge and rope vs impossible-to-draw gun strapped chastely to chest
Laura Jedeed tweet mediaLaura Jedeed tweet media
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John Michael Greer
John Michael Greer@JMGreerWriter·
The shift under way in US foreign policy is all about ditching empire in favor of a US-centric system, similar to India’s relative neutrality (which is the policy we used to have before we got into the empire business) combined with a Putinesque fixation on regaining control of our near abroad.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@janeisginger @firasmodad Because it's fake news. Not even The Guardian, which takes its orders directly from Whitehall, has reported it
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@BennG_22 @firasmodad It is fake as far as I can see. It only takes one newspaper to write about some batshit crazy idea for everyone to start talking about it as if it's a done deal
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Dredgen Shaxx
Dredgen Shaxx@BennG_22·
@firasmodad That sounds fake. Our Navy would never agree to such a task. They are underfunded and politically correct, but they aren't stupid.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@ripplebrain Any decent sources for this? I don't consider The Times to be a valid source. They will report the ravings of any random social media account if it's aligns with what they want to believe
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Amerikanets 📉
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain·
Beautiful euro newslop. Set to develop a plan to lead an effort. But it needs the Americans. So ambiguous and so many escape hatches no one will notice when nothing happens.
Faytuks Network@FaytuksNetwork

BREAKING: The Royal Navy (UK) is set to lead coalition efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to The Times A plan led by the UK and France is under development to ensure the safe passage of merchant ships, but it will require the Americans, according to an official.

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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@firasmodad Seems like the US, UK, EU always choose the path of escalation rather than de-escalation now.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@philippilk Tbf the food crisis will not "literally" destroy the world. We will just wish it had.
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Philip Pilkington
Philip Pilkington@philippilk·
Fertiliser analysts are now saying the world faces a monumental food crisis. The US will be hit hard too. People elsewhere will starve. Trump’s war appears to be about to quite literally destroy the world. Insane. 🌽
Philip Pilkington tweet media
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@admcollingwood Wouldn't surprise me if the mighty EU armies, led by the Baltics, decided it was time to take Putin's gas supplies by force... or at least create a committee to talk about doing so
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Collingwood 🇬🇧
Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·
Important: a big chunk of Qatari gas output and LNG train expansion was designed to feed European demand. There was a big investment programme to increase LNG supply by more than 50% by 2027. Not coincidentally, this was the date that Europe was going to ban completely the purchase of Russian gas. In other words, the Iranians are smashing Europe's entire energy plan, such as it was. The big question now is will Putin stick to form and provide Europe with the energy it needs to stave off economic disaster, or will he finally twist the knife by banning sales to Europe in anticipation of the EU ban in 2027? This is the gamble European leaders are now making. Relying on the Russians to play nice after everything. Breathtaking incompetence.
Globe Observer@_GlobeObserver

🚨🇶🇦 BREAKING: Qatar Gas CEO says 'We incurred a $20 billion loss at the facility we built for $26 billion two years ago.'

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Vance 501
Vance 501@vancouveroid·
@ripplebrain I've heard Rhodesia suffered demographic collapse once their airport was attacked. It seems this isn't even possible here
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Amerikanets 📉
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain·
Already posted this in another thread but here's a very interesting Ynet article describing how Ben Gurion is still in a state of (severely disrupted) operation despite regular drone, rocket, and missile attacks on it from Iran and Hezbollah. Here are the changes they've made: - 80 aircraft were immediately evacuated from the airport at the start of hostilities - Ynet's tour began with an immediate descent into a shelter within the airport due to a real air alert, which happens multiple times a day - Specialized vehicles constantly clear the runways of debris - Check-in and screening for passengers has been moved to locations in close proximity to air raid shelters - Only one cafe and one duty shop is open, all other shops and restaurants in the airport are closed - Only one commercial concourse is open - Commercial aircraft only stay at Ben Gurion for the minimum window required to land, pick up passengers, and depart - Each time there's an air alert, any plane preparing for takeoff returns to the terminal so the passengers can run to a shelter. If there's not enough time, the passengers evacuate the plane through emergency exits and lie flat on the runway while covering their heads until the alert is over - Only 2,300 people (including staff) are allowed in the airport at any given time, so evacuating all of them to shelters is possible - Only 100 passengers are allowed on a plane - Only two flights are allowed per hour - ATC is fully integrated with the IAF to allow US and Israeli military planes to conduct operations, which take priority, - Planes regularly have to circle the airport or turn back entirely due to air alerts - No foreign airlines are operating out of the airport - New bomb shelters are being continuously added in the hopes of expanding capacity for passengers ynetnews.com/travel/article…
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@philippilk @lizzy_davies Of course she didn't "happen to check" . Checking is for losers and reactionaries. The Guardian takes things on faith if they come from a source they agree with.
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Philip Pilkington
Philip Pilkington@philippilk·
European editor @lizzy_davies this story looks really dodgy and your journalist blocked me for asking questions. Did you happen to check if the Hungarian government actually possesses “KGB truth serum”? It should be pretty easy to check government inventory data. Due diligence.
Philip Pilkington tweet media
Philip Pilkington@philippilk

The fake news peddlers in Budapest are ramping up the crazy. The Guardian actually printed a story claiming that the Hungarian government injected one of the Ukrainians involved in the cash-and-gold scandal with “KGB truth serum”. This is cartoonish. 🤡

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Mountain
Mountain@sharpeleven·
How can the media, particularly Starmer HQ at the @guardian, get away with this blatant and brazen inversion of the truth. Extraordinary propaganda.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@GeromanAT I wonder if the Ukrainian drone crews will ever go home or if they'll just end up preferring life in the Gulf
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Alan MacLeod
Alan MacLeod@AlanRMacLeod·
An absolutely insane start to a story.
Alan MacLeod tweet media
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@philippilk The Western press will only realise there is no off-ramp when they are told to realise it.
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Philip Pilkington
Philip Pilkington@philippilk·
The next phase of the war is when, first, the Americans and then the Western press realise that the Trump administration has absolutely no control over the war whatsoever. That’s when normies look off the cliff and see just how long a way down it is. 🇺🇸🇮🇷
Philip Pilkington tweet media
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@JeffWellsRigInt Iran might have saved us from Trump trying to do the same to Russia or China two years down the road though.
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Jeff Wells
Jeff Wells@JeffWellsRigInt·
If only Maduro's security hadn't sold him out then maybe Trump would have had second thoughts about setting the world on fire.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@philippilk Probably doesn't make sense for the US as China may provide a lot of the same Intel. That said there's little for them to lose as Trump would probably break the agreement straight away. More fool anyone who thinks they can do a deal with this administration.
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ChainObserver
ChainObserver@ChainNarratives·
@policytensor That theory relies on the increasingly questionable assumption that the US, Israel govts are rational actors.
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Policy Tensor
Policy Tensor@policytensor·
The war is already lost. There is no “coming battle of the Persian Gulf.”
Chamberlain's Ghost@RSA_Observer

I see Netanyahu is still talking about a ground operation in Iran to overthrow the state. Maybe, but it feels like an increasingly faint - indeed, remote - possibility. If you ask me, it seems that the question is now no longer who will be running Tehran when the dust settles but who will be in control of the Strait of Hormuz and it's surrounding seas. I recognize that the US military (still) has unequalled capability to deal with specific point issues that rely on power projection but I suspect that the probable coming amphibious operation may be quite difficult. Not that I think the Iranians are in any way going to find it easy either. The thing is that the question of who ends up holding the gateway to the heart of the world's petroleum energy markets is absolutely determinative of what the geopolitical future of the globe looks like. It is in many ways "the" question of our time. If it is held by Iran and it's backers - including China - the entire world shifts on its axis. Europe for one will likely be significantly weakened and US influence will be severely diminished across the globe as a whole. It will then truly be a fully multipolar world and quite possibly the Petro dollar will be fully and finally dead. It's hard to overstate the significance of the coming battle of the Persian Gulf. It's probably far more significant than the war for Ukraine. I don't know what the US and it's partners plan. But I do know that in their own self interest they had better not screw it up this time. Far too much turns on it for them.

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The Capital Mind
The Capital Mind@Capital_Mind_·
@pati_marins64 We are watching the speed of a probabilistic event horizon. When the alliance hits the floor of its ammunition and political capital, the "unthinkable" becomes the only rational exit. Let’s hope cooler heads can prevail.
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Patricia Marins
Patricia Marins@pati_marins64·
The Israeli Strike Near Iran’s Reactor is an Ominous Signal The US and Israel find themselves cornered with dwindling options and growing desperation. This is evident in their attacks on Iran’s electrical grid and their calculated attempt to shift the Overton Window toward the nuclear threshold. The statement by Trump advisor David Sacks, suggesting Israel could escalate the conflict with nuclear options, coincides with a missile strike landing just 350 meters from the Bushehr reactor. This isn’t just a warning; it’s a veiled threat. It’s a trial balloon designed to gauge the global reaction to such a catastrophic possibility. A direct hit on an Iranian reactor would inevitably force Iran to retaliate against Dimona, leading us into a spiral of nuclear escalation, but what if Dimona be empty? As global opinion is being tested, this "window" is being meticulously shifted and calibrated. Currently, US-Israeli options, beyond aerial bombardment, include sector-specific ground operations. But what if these operations end in disaster? Even a NATO intervention might change nothing. In Libya, European NATO forces depleted their ammunition in about 10 days during a low-intensity conflict. Today, Rheinmetall claims European stockpiles are bone-dry. While I usually take Rheinmetall’s claims with a grain of salt, this time it actually makes sense. We are looking at a scenario of severe ammunition shortages against a heavily entrenched and well-armed Iran. Any landing operation would be a bloodbath. I believe that, faced with mounting internal and external failures, the US and Israel will gradually push the Overton Window to a choice between total defeat or the use of tactical nuclear weapons, in the event of a catastrophic failure of ground operations. Tactical nuclear weapons are strictly forbidden for use, yet their radiation dissipates within weeks in the current environment. Even so, it would constitute a grave war crime. I do not believe the U.S. would embark on such a path, but I cannot say the same for Israel. Ending the war with Iran still possessing enriched uranium would be equivalent to admitting that Netanyahu, instead of increasing his people's security, did the exact opposite. The internal pressure would be immense. If nothing goes as planned and the death toll rises, I feel this window can shift much faster.
Patricia Marins tweet media
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