Zaphod

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Zaphod

Zaphod

@MinvstrD

Lever it, just a little bit. Vol. 4x Dad. Identify as a fitter, slightly younger version of myself. Guitar, music, peppers and hot sauce.

Keeping it Weird Bergabung Nisan 2015
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@Merridew__ Recently, markets have shown an extreme unwillingness to do what everyone says it always has, price in future expectations. Instead it doesn't budge until the events occur. Covid, tariffs, this, it's basically the new paradigm and not going to assume otherwise until its not.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@conorsen @kylascan Loyalty be damned, unions have been extracting value and benefit at the sake of the public for decades now. They're a problem now.
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Conor Sen
Conor Sen@conorsen·
-The public has shown it didn’t like the Biden economy -Unions and the climate people weren’t loyal to Dems in 2024 -The Spirit/JetBlue thing really bothers me -The 2020 Dem platform doesn’t address the economic conditions we have in 2026 -General lack of humility from people who screwed up
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Conor Sen
Conor Sen@conorsen·
Perhaps like a lot of people my age there were Dem ideas in the late 2010s I was open to after a decade of ZIRP and low inflation, but after the lived experience of the past 5 years I’ve really soured on the unions and antitrust pieces.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@Merridew__ @citrini If AI capex stops, which I guess if we harken back to the days of the metaverse, will be when FB err...META is forced to stop blowing cash on it, it may get very interesting. 75% of Q1 gdp? For now its ride until die, hopefully get off before implodes.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@choffstein @lhamtil Same. I read 3 chapters of dragon masters to the kindergartner last night, maybe up the rate tonight.
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Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️
Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️@choffstein·
@lhamtil i didn't read a single adult book in 2025. i must've read about 2000+ children's books to my kids though. does that count?
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@arjunmanrai Wouldn't even make sense that they would because that isn't how the emergency department works. Their job is contacting the right specialist, it's nice if they get the dx right but they just have to get it to the person that does. This ends their job, they start over.
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Arjun (Raj) Manrai
Arjun (Raj) Manrai@arjunmanrai·
9/ The potential here is real. Our results suggest that AI second opinions may help, but whether they actually do in practice was not studied here. We desperately need rigorous, prospective trials to test this and studies of AI-human interaction in real clinical workflows.
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Arjun (Raj) Manrai
Arjun (Raj) Manrai@arjunmanrai·
🧵1/ Our new study on AI and physician reasoning just came out in @ScienceMagazine. As co-senior author, I'm excited about our findings, and I do think AI will reshape medicine. But after seeing some of the discussions, I'm also worried about how our findings may be misinterpreted.
Arjun (Raj) Manrai tweet media
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@VXO150 He hedged with "catastrophic panic".
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KEERAT
KEERAT@VXO150·
This is going to age even worse than his tweet about ‘’de-platforming Trump’’.
KEERAT tweet media
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@Jesse_Livermore What was that? Announcers just like we don't even know? Not nothing gets called? That was something else.
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@ActuallyFinance @MinvstrD Honestly… not sure if that’s a super power of yours or a curse to care about random people seemingly as much (or much closer than most people) as your family, but you can probably do a lot of good with that
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ActuallyFin
ActuallyFin@ActuallyFinance·
People miss that the framing of the red/blue question changes how *other people* will answer it. Your answer *should* depend on how you expect others to act. Different framing leading to different answers doesn't reveal bias. The answers change because you changed the question.
Cody Libolt@CodyLibolt

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ActuallyFin
ActuallyFin@ActuallyFinance·
@MinvstrD @EconomPic I mean, assuming you dont get to coordinate ahead of time, most likely some of your immediate family would be at risk.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@ActuallyFinance @EconomPic Again the biggest issue is this is made up totally unrealistic and applies to nothing. I cant take it any more seriously than what it is.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@ActuallyFinance @EconomPic Reality is the only people I'd be willing to risk it for would be my immediate family. Maybe I've interacted with too many people. Am too cynical. Most of us don't matter myself included.
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ActuallyFin
ActuallyFin@ActuallyFinance·
@EconomPic @MinvstrD Small probability of impact × huge magnitude of (negative) impact ≠ zero impact
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@ActuallyFinance @EconomPic For an individual the choice is, chance to die but save some possibly vs. No chance to die. It's actually insane.
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@ActuallyFinance @EconomPic Blue gives the world/society possibly higher benefit, red is your personal benefit. Too jaded to think it actually matters. I'd rather live and spend y life in dystopia world with my loved ones.
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ActuallyFin
ActuallyFin@ActuallyFinance·
@EconomPic And my point w.r.t. answering the original-phrased question is that i think blue gives you a higher expected net benefit.
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ActuallyFin
ActuallyFin@ActuallyFinance·
@EconomPic In general i see where you are coming from, except "zero benefit". How can there be zero benefit? Is there, ex ante, zero benefit for an individual to vote in a president election?
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Zaphod
Zaphod@MinvstrD·
@EconomPic @ActuallyFinance Exactly. Anyways I agree with the cartoon. It's dumb on its face, forgive me if I can make myself pretend it has more gravitas than that. Press red.
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@ActuallyFinance The proper framing is “you have no idea how anyone voted and your vote won’t matter on its own… how do you vote?” because that’s the economic impact of your vote on the final answer and on your life irrespective how its framed
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Jelajahi

@Merridew__ @DadInvest @WBuffettII @GreenMonsterah @conorsen @kylascan @GRoditiD @choffstein