Jake

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Jake

Jake

@EconomPic

An optimist who assumes everyone is full of shit or lazy. Smart because he forgets. Fuck everyone against sensible gun reform. 👨‍👩‍👦‍👦👶🏻🐶🍔🍺🏀⚾️📊🤘

East Bay via NY via PSU via NJ Katılım Şubat 2009
586 Takip Edilen43K Takipçiler
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
Short-term: trend > value > fundamentals Long-term: fundamentals > value > trend Investors need to be aligned with process AND time horizon
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@fed_speak 0% or 100% depending on whether CEOs can still blame it on McKinsey AI as easily if the recommended strategy doesn’t work out
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@FiSurgi I learned this in b school… some great folk there, but a material part of their (Ivy league then grad school) success was the starting on first stuff.
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SurgiFi
SurgiFi@FiSurgi·
@EconomPic I can't believe I used to think that way. The reality is that a lot of them are just putting on airs for the masses.
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SurgiFi
SurgiFi@FiSurgi·
You weren't born on third base or like some sliding into home. You built yourself up from an entry-level position without any handouts. So why tf are you listening to billionaires who were born with a millionaire networth?
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newthrash
newthrash@newthrash·
@EconomPic @GestaltU is it truly his opinion though? everything he says about elon coincidentally helps pump valuations and retains his access to future deals. Would be hard to find any criticisms coming from his mouth or twitter account
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
Good counter to my starting belief that SpaceX valuation makes no sense in this interview…
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

This is my sixth conversation with @GavinSBaker. As always with Gavin, the conversation covers a lot of ground, but we spend the most time on watts and wafers. We discuss: - Why the wafer shortage may prevent an AI bubble - Data centers in space (reframed) - Elon's Terafab and the new chip companies challenging Nvidia - Usage-based pricing - The disaggregation of GPUs - DRAM, frontier tokens, and open source Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 7:55 Anthropic and OpenAI Valuations 12:58 Watts, Wafers, and Infrastructure 14:39 Orbital Compute and Data Centers in Space 22:49 Avoiding the AI Bubble 28:26 Terafab and the Future of US Manufacturing 32:16 Returns to the Frontier 37:23 Continual Learning 42:03 New Chip Companies 48:52 Extending GPU Lifespans and Private Credit 51:22 The Application Layer 57:32 The Token Path and Open-Source Dynamics 1:01:37 Cybersecurity 1:05:46 Diversity Breakdown 1:11:59 Assessing the Big Tech Players in AI 1:19:02 Geopolitics, Personal Safety, and the AI Horizon

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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
Steadier than I would have guessed…
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@GestaltU To me he comes across as very knowledgeable and up to listener to connect the dots on that knowledge
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@GestaltU Fair points… still not on board myself, but interesting sci-fi possibilities. He did lose me at the “Elon should be trusted because he’s made past shareholders money”.
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@AdviserCounsel 99% of what they should be doing is buying BTC and their shares back
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Max Schatzow
Max Schatzow@AdviserCounsel·
@EconomPic Do principles have experience operating a public company or an investment company?
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
I cannot figure out what is going on with $BRR. -Raised via SPAC at $10 -NAV reported at $3.82 after Q1 repurchases -Stock at $1.63 today (true NAV probably closer to $2.50, but they seem to have stopped disclosing) Yes, I know there is an operating business attached, but that only makes the math worse. So if this is effectively a BTC holding vehicle: -What has negatively impacted the NAV to this extent? -Even on that low NAV, why is the discount this wide? -Why aren't they selling BTC to buy back shares as fast as humanly possible (free money for remaining shareholders)?
Jake tweet media
Anthony Pompliano 🌪@APompliano

We officially closed the ProCap Financial deal today. The company will start trading on Monday, December 8th on Nasdaq under the ticker $BRR. Bitcoin is the new hurdle rate. Let’s go!

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Upslope Capital
Upslope Capital@UpslopeCapital·
Companies with combative CEOs that I’ve argued with on this site: RICK CWH FUV ABXX-TO
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Jake
Jake@EconomPic·
@cullenroche 100% agree... further uncertainty around how this may impact demand without new policy IF it creates short-term job loss
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Cullen Roche
Cullen Roche@cullenroche·
This isn't my view at all. We're in a two phase AI build out. Phase 1 looks inflationary because the build out causes harsh bottlenecks as we scale super fast and wealth effects impact market prices. Phase 2 is the legacy of Phase 1s build out. It will result in a supply side boom when robots are making things 24/7 and unit labor costs collapse. This is hugely disinflationary in the long run. We're still in Phase 1, but Phase 2 is coming. It's not if, it's when.
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart

"AI is inflationary and it's only a matter of time before Warsh is forced to hike rates" is becoming a completely conventional wisdom view among money managers. Here's part of @ozanktarman's summary of his latest macro dinner

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