TomServo2

Let me take you through a thought experiment about what “the Iranian regime” actually is right now. Imagine a country like Iran, where familial and tribal loyalties run in parallel to the centralized authority. A place where patronage is built into the system. The US and Israel have decimated the leadership of both the Supreme Ruler and his clerics as well as the IRGC command. Factor in the mosaic strategy of spreading the IRGC out across all 31 provinces, plus constant attacks and degradation of Iranian infrastructure used by the IRGC: communication, roads, bases. In such a world the issue of succession becomes a problem, even if the regime thought they had prepared for it. New positions of authority are not being delegated from above, but rather are being assumed based on some hierarchy or org structure that may or may not still exist one month into the war. The IRGC leadership is not nearly as ideologically aligned as maybe the mullahs or the rank and file are. We are seeing reports of the relatives of high level IRGC living lavish lifestyles in the United States. We also know that the IRGC operates like a sort of organized crime syndicate within Iran, whereby they control large parts of the economy. Leadership is continuing to be killed on a near daily basis. It does not appear that the mullahs are even in charge anymore. The IRGC imposed the new supreme leader, even though all accounts say that he is badly injured and not conscious. There is probably some sort of coup whereby the IRGC has assumed power and decision-making without announcing it publicly. And there are reports of the president complaining that he has no real power and that the IRGC are pulling the strings. Now we get to the final point where it’s not even entirely clear who is negotiating on behalf of Iran. The actual situation within Iran in terms of their leadership is most likely something resembling this: authority is no longer flowing downward from Tehran. It is being claimed locally by surviving provincial commanders, rival IRGC factions, and patronage networks. Iran has become a loose confederation of armed power centers held together by shared hatred of the US and Israel, residual revolutionary ideology, and the IRGC’s economic mafia networks…but those same networks are also pulling in opposite directions. Logical conclusions from all this: ceasefires and diplomatic agreements become extremely fragile because the people signing them may not actually control the people with the missiles and drones (as we saw with the Kuwait strikes hours after the truce announcement). Further leadership killings will likely create even more autonomous warlords rather than weaken the resistance. Negotiating any lasting deal has become incredibly difficult because there is no longer one single lever of control. The regime is effectively fighting two wars at once…externally against the US and Israel, and internally against itself. That is likely what “the Iranian regime” actually is right now…and the US/Israel know this reality full well. They see and hear everything that’s happening. And what we, as the public, know is almost entirely controlled by what the US, Israel, and “Iranian regime” is telling us publicly. There is no independent reporting from inside Iran. The fog of war is nearly absolute and we are being told only a small part of what is actually going on. But if you look closely and deep enough, you’ll find enough crumbs to support (at least partially) the logical conclusions of this thought experiment. What would I be trying to do if I were Trump? Divide and Conquer is the name of the game. So take everything that you hear and see with a grain of salt…there’s lots of smoke and mirrors.

@jlonga1 @NancyRPearcey Almost comical, since it’s actually Britain, Germany, and the other net zero cultists that are industrializing in actual fact.

@NancyRPearcey A different point of view.

Astonishing: This is from the Washington Post editorial board -- not some conservative opinion writer. "Argentina’s rapid transformation from nearly a century of socialism to free market capitalism continues to prove the superiority of the latter. It is rare that we get to witness such a radical experiment in real time. It is no surprise, however, that it’s working."

@bonchieredstate @DavidStrom Albanese hid under the bed the entire time,. His opinion meand less than nothing

They’re all siding with the idea that Hezbollah is Iran, but also definitely don’t say Hezbollah is Iran.

@Savs63825475 @madbeatboy @ChrisMartzWX Credited to Chesterton - “a man who believes in nothing will believe in anything..”

@TomServoTwo @madbeatboy @ChrisMartzWX There is seemingly a correlation, between the western worlds move away from organised religion, to groups & ideas, that need just as much faith; which the adherents also hold the tenants of these groups and ideas, with religious fervour. Question their religion & they go mad.

I have never met a climate alarmist that isn’t a raging leftist. This the only proof that I need that their house of cards is built on their ideological worldview, not real science.

@crymorelib1 @VigilantFox Oh let’s get real. Ms. Lindsey is a sad gay twink who pretends to be a Warhawk because he thinks it will make people think he’s”tough” and not just some sad old perv who wanders around Disneyworld by himself watching the kids.

@VigilantFox I never thought I would EVER say this... Chris Cuomo is right. Lindsey Graham is a Warhawk plain and simple.

This might be the only time you ever see Chris Cuomo score a win on cable TV. Bill O’Reilly tried to pass Lindsey Graham off as a reliable source—and Cuomo made him pay for it. He even laughed in O’Reilly’s face. O’REILLY: “When you have experts like Grassi and other people coming out, and I use one of them, Lindsey Graham.” [Chris Cuomo laughs] O’REILLY: “Okay, you laughing at Lindsey Graham, but that’s—” CUOMO: “Yeah. In his face. In his face! You won’t use Pete Hegseth [as a source], but you use Lindsey ‘Bomb first, check second’ Graham?” “That guy wants to bomb every country every five minutes, Bill!”

@TheMiddleborne @ingelramdecoucy I remember when BlackAdder was excommunicated by all three!

@ingelramdecoucy And it’s not like it was the only schism. I seem to recall something like three popes at one time

Seeing a lot of people talking about the Avignon Papacy and the Western Schism who clearly have no idea about what they were or what went on during them this evening

@gummibear737 Doesn’t bother me!

There is an interesting phenomenon that I’ve noticed My followers do not like it when I am rude to people that they agree are POSs They don’t mind if I criticize them…in fact they agree…but I need to do so respectfully And they’re probably right for doing so

@madbeatboy @ChrisMartzWX “Global Warming” is a Hellfire and Brimstone Religion for people who think they’re too smart to fall for a Hellfire and Brimstone Religion. REPENT YE O REPENT OR YE SHALL ALL PERISH IN FLAMES!!!

@ChrisMartzWX I’m be never met a climate denier that isn’t a crazy right wing nut. It’s so obvious that their ideology is why they reject climate science (or most science and expertise in general). They’re anti-intellectuals.

@HowardAulsbrook @citrusnewsMO @RodDMartin You just made that up.

@TomServoTwo @citrusnewsMO @RodDMartin It was shown to have a seat from an F-35, plus an Israeli F-35 systems engineer’s ID was found in the C-130 wreckage.

My friend Craig Bergman offers a brilliant take: Unless you live under a rock or are intentionally obtuse, let me explain things. There is no cease-fire. The reason there is no cease-fire is Iran no longer has a functioning government. Trump negotiated with one of the larger factions. There are 24 factions Not all of them want peace. Not all of them will even negotiate. So what is Trump doing? It should be completely obvious to anyone who is not intentionally not wanting to understand. He is pitting the factions against each other with competing interests for money and power and safety. And when one of them betrays the other, they will take care of the bad one. If they don’t, then Trump will randomly target them again and blame them all as if they are one government. That will frustrate them greatly, causing them again to turn on each other because there is no longer any single central authority. This is absolutely brilliant, but if you think it’s gonna mean peace, if you think the Strait is really going to be open, and if you think Iran has surrendered and decided to play nice, you are delusional. If you think Trump wants to murder 90 million people you are beneath delusional: you are intentional. So chill out and watch the show: it is a master class. And yes, I’m not predicting it. I am telling you what is happening. This is not a guess. This is not an informed opinion. I am speaking fact. Watch it happen.

@RealJamesMJr @ComicDaveSmith It’s always amazing what people will do for money.

@TomServoTwo @ComicDaveSmith Dave has good raw processing power. The CPU is good, but his software is buggy so his output is bad. It’s just so obviously bad that I’m surprised he allows himself to say the things he says.

I can’t believe how hard Tucker just went at Trump and he is legitimately a modern American hero for doing it.

@citrusnewsMO @HowardAulsbrook @RodDMartin Some grunt with a MANPAD hit an F-15 flying low so he figures half the country must be off limits.

@HowardAulsbrook @TomServoTwo @RodDMartin Yeah, and who made you the expert on the situation?

@HowardAulsbrook @RodDMartin Well then Iran should just call off the cease fire, right? Why are they scared to do it?

@TomServoTwo @RodDMartin They can try, but the US lacks air superiority east of the Zagros Mountains, and they are running strategically low on standoff weapons.

@nimbledick2026 @dosegenderos @VanessaChaseOG Nothing wrong with tube tops and short cutoffs!

@dosegenderos @VanessaChaseOG Look at 70s fashion. Sober people wouldn't do that.

OMG, what a hot mess of a show. Kaptain Kool And The Kongs (1976)

@dosegenderos @VanessaChaseOG Sid and Marty Kroft absolutely were.

@VanessaChaseOG Was literally everyone on drugs during the 70s.

@HowardAulsbrook @RodDMartin Well if Iran is unhappy they can shoot missiles at some ships and we can launch all of our B-52’s again and blow up all their power plants.

@RodDMartin The reason there is no ceasefire is that Israel stated it would not include Lebanon, and that was 100% part of the deal.

@VanessaChaseOG @iowahawkblog I had to look that up - oh of course, it’s a Sicd and Marty Kroft production !

@RealJamesMJr @ComicDaveSmith Obviously Dave is NOT a smart person and this represents his intellect, what little there is of it, perfectly.

@ComicDaveSmith You’re a smart person, Dave. This is beneath your intellect. Tucker’s commentary is largely incoherent nowadays. He’s playing to a massively ignorant audience and it’s obvious.

@jammiemcgrath13 @ShawnRyan762 Someone might have found Amelia Earhardts plane, too. But despite rumors, no one yet knows where Jimmy Hoffa’s body really is.

@TomServoTwo @ShawnRyan762 Because Pat Tillman DESERVES the truth be told about his story!!! There’s no expiration on the truth!

“There’s speculation that he was killed, that he was murdered, and she didn’t know because the Army lied to her. It took them 35 days from the time Pat died to tell the family — including the brother who was in the platoon — that Pat was killed by friendly fire. The original story that was embedded and told via the Silver Star narrative was that he was shot while charging uphill to counter an ambush. Once you’re lied to once, then lied to twice, and still know no truth, you don’t believe anything you’re told.”

@DavidStrom @NickKristof It’s so idiotic - these are people who only understand the world through video games. Not only is it an incredibly stupid idea, there is no military need to use any. Meaning there’s nothing they can do that can’t done with conventional weapons.

This is the new psyop: Trump is going to use nuclear weapons. Suddenly EVERYBODY on the left is saying it. Was there a memo, @NickKristof ?