Keith Alan

@XPattonBea No offense taken. Agree that Options Expiry is valid. Can you give us some insight to what that data looks like?

@KAProductions No no, non volevo offendere la tua professionalità… Ho soltanto sottolineato che venerdì scadono le opzioni. Non penso che quella scadenza sia da ignorare. Non offenderti.

Seems like a buy the rumor sell the news kind of event.

@Edgargg88 @follis_ According to your analysis, this puts us in the redistribution phase. 🤝

@KAProductions @follis_ i want to participate too :) this is my weekly analysis

If this doesn't play out I will simply delete the post and claim that I was bullish all along $BTC

Don't believe the hype from EL TACO, @SenLummis, or anyone else trying to talk you into longing $BTC in a bear market. They aren't close to passing the Clarity Act. Props to @coinbase CEO @brian_armstrong for holding firm on stable coin yield.

@XPattonBea Not sure how that relates to the announcement of a Congressional meeting, but since you mentioned it, please enlighten us. What's the ratio of calls:puts and where's max pain?

@KAProductions dimentichi però che questo venerdì scadono opzioni Bitcoin e Eth

Whether it's true or not, the market seems to like the idea of @JDVance and @marcorubio negotiating with Iran, and that sentiment can be seen in $BTC order flow over the last 18 hours or so. Would like to see a rally to $78k, but we're starting to see ask liquidity stack just below $72k where there seems to be a bit of profit taking.

BITCOIN CHAOS… BUT THE STRUCTURE HASN’T BROKEN x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

It is really difficult to trade when the market is as chaotic as it's been, unless of course, you have a direct line to the Manipulator-in-Chief. What occurred on Saturday and Monday was unfair play by everyone's standards, but we're all playing on the same game board, so your choices are to either step away, or simplify. At this stage, priority one is capital preservation. During times like this it's smart to reduce position sizes and frequency of trades as a simple way to mitigate some risk. Resist the urge to over trade and react to every headline, because they can change sentiment - FAST. Sometimes it's better to take a beat, let the chaos calm down and focus on the basics ... Structure. Liquidity. Order Flow. The good news is, despite the blatant market manipulation $BTC price has managed to respect the structure. In this case, the bear flag which is the structure within the macro structure. Additionally, FireCharts binned CVD has been giving great insight on order flow. Local support remains at the bottom of the bear flag ~$67.5k The Q2 2024 Timescape Level ~$71.3k is currently serving as resistance. I'm expecting to continue to range through the end of the month which could bring $76k back into focus as we approach the Monthly close, however, the Death Cross that formed on the weekly chart a couple weeks ago is still in play. Time will tell if it's marking a bottom or sending us on another leg down. My guess is the latter, but that's speculative, so I'll wait and let the charts tell me. A move above $76k would invalidate the bear flag and bring the top of the MACRO structure ~$81.5 into focus. A bear flag breakdown sends Bitcoin and the broader crypto market down to Bearadise. First stop where the Q3 2024 Timescape Level has confluence with the MACRO structure around $62.8k. If the doesn't hold, there's a lot of sentiment for the 200-Week SMA ~ $59k. If price falls through the 200-Week SMA, I'm looking for a measured move from the bear flag to take price to the mid $40s range. If EL TACO actually does stop the war this month, that could send markets soaring, but one has to question if that will really happen considering the fact that he's got thousands of @USMC troops on their way to the region, and Hegseth is asking Congress for another $200B. Ignore what they say. Watch what they do.

@Borg_Cryptos And @SECGov isn't going to do a f#cking thing about it.

THIS IS THE MOST FRAUDULENT MANIPULATED MARKET OF ALL TIME

@CryptoJelleNL #winning

The bear market may slow progress down a little, but I keep working towards the same goal: A simpler lifestyle, no debts hanging over my neck, and the freedom to do whatever I want. The past cycle got me a lot closer to where I want to be. Bought my first home in rough condition about 2 years ago, and now that we're approaching summer, I'm finally wrapping up the renovations. It's been hard work, I've learned a ton - and it's paying off in the value of the property as well. In the meantime, my stock portfolio is growing rapidly (DCA + Dip buys), and the war chest is ready for $BTC reaccumulation as well. Plan for this year is to slow down a little; enjoy the fruits of my labor, recharge, and prepare for the next bull run that's approaching. Once that's moving, I kill the remaining mortgage on the house (about 30-40%), and start looking for the end-goal property; even further from civilisation and all its quarrels, with acres to raise babies, animals & crops on. Bear markets are for building. This one is no different.

What happens if this "pause in hostilities" is just a way to stall the fighting until the Marine ships arrive? 🤔

@CryptoJelleNL The little yellow guy and the big orange man are wreaking havoc on markets.

I'm afraid that little yellow guy has a trick up his sleeve $BTC

@unusual_whales Probably nothing. 🙃

BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains. Unusual.

@Kapralblack1 The structure is still very much intact. My analysis will flip if the structure is broken and the bear flag is invalidated with W candle closes above the structure.

@KAProductions What do you think now? Does your opinion still stand? x.com/KAProductions/…

$BTC had a perfect support test to the bottom of the local range on Sunday. Sitting at structural support had bears anticipating a breakdown, and that set the market up for a nasty Monday Morning liquidation hunt. That candle ripped 4% up to the Q2 2024 Timescape Level in 5 minutes. Now the liq hunters are going after all of the late longs that chased price. Pro Tip: Don't chase price.

@adamscochran We see this in plain sight consistently.

5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!

@SecRubio EL TACO strikes again.

EL TACO strikes again. Is anyone surprised by the fact that markets move profoundly, just before he posts?

@Cointelegraph EL TACO strikes again. Notice how the market moves just before he posts.

🚨 BREAKING: Trump orders 5-day pause on strikes against Iran after “productive” talks. $269M of shorts rekt in 60 mins

@mattr908 @BobLoukas

@BobLoukas @KAProductions Feeling more and more likely that there’s a date with destiny at the 200 day. 4-4250 is the back up the truck zone for me

Nothing unusual about gold selloff. Profit taking a 3yr move and raising cash as we go risk off. Think it spends most of the year building the next base.