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SPC Nation⚡️ The job's not done until we bring back a High Risk! 🟪
I'm staying home!🌪
DMs are closed Please respect my decision 🙏
-Lyons
#AGTG✝️
#blessed
#stayinghome
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TwisterKidmedia
8.6K posts
TwisterKidmedia
@TwoDogsWx
fcstr. Opinions are my own. https://t.co/0wxuEYdkPs https://t.co/HKIZQfBKBl
参加日 Mart 2011
1.6K フォロー中5.5K フォロワー
TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
Introducing “This Week in Chasing” and the WSCO. For a long time, folks have desired a non-official but consistent outlook that was specifically designed for storm chasers. Well here it is! open.substack.com/pub/jhomenuk/p…
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
This is a cool update from @WxByte with their SatSquatch app! You can draw your own fronts, add pressure symbols, distance tool, pull HRRR sounding at ASOS stations, and add locations.
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
It was really great getting to finally meet @ryanhallyall in person and meet Andy (@BluekandyWX) again! We spent hours talking to the SPC and discussing everything from weather forecasting to broadcast communication. It was an amazing experience, and we built new bridges and new connections we never thought would be possible!
Ryan Hall, Y’all@ryanhallyall
When you see a Tornado Watch on your phone, this is the room it came from. Got to visit the Storm Prediction Center in Norman and talk about the future of weather forecasting with the team for hours. Unreal experience with Andy @BluekandyWX
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
It was a pleasure hosting Ryan and his team today. Fruitful discussions toward a common goal of protecting lives and property. Really cool to hear what they are working on and a great opportunity to share how our operations works.
Ryan Hall, Y’all@ryanhallyall
When you see a Tornado Watch on your phone, this is the room it came from. Got to visit the Storm Prediction Center in Norman and talk about the future of weather forecasting with the team for hours. Unreal experience with Andy @BluekandyWX
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
When you see a Tornado Watch on your phone, this is the room it came from. Got to visit the Storm Prediction Center in Norman and talk about the future of weather forecasting with the team for hours. Unreal experience with Andy @BluekandyWX
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
We literally stood in a circle with these meteorologists and talked for 2.5 hours, and could've kept going. How cool is that?? These avenues of communication are what I live for I think, my mind is racing with so much potential. I'm genuinely excited
Ryan Hall, Y’all@ryanhallyall
We had an absolute blast geeking out with NWS Springfield today with @BluekandyWX
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
What a neat little tornado today a few miles southwest of Stuttgart. It was on ground for about 7 minutes or so. #arwx #tornado #arkansas @NWSLittleRock Full hd video including full life cycle time lapse is on my fb page here facebook.com/share/v/1Dwukq…
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@oldscarf1stweek It does to me as well. A good reminder to stay humble!
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Most weather influencers and storm chasers should consider joining me in the Valley of Despair instead of the Peak of “Mount Stupid” on various social media platforms
TwisterKidmedia@TwoDogsWx
Not trying to hijack Jordan's thread but to hammer home the point; the average shift at SPC has over 100 years of collective severe weather forecasting experience. 250-300 severe weather events worked each year for 30+ years. There are only 28 of us, on the entire planet...
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
First guess for CIG1 is anywhere with a STP>1 Nov-May. And EF2 tornadoes w/ STP<1 are HSLC.
So yes, most every tornado probability will also have CIG1 this spring
Tornado intensity is strongly influenced by shear. And shear is almost always moderate to strong this time of year.
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@WeatherNowKY @PettusWX It'll take some getting used to but coverage != intensity. So what we are saying here:
A lot of blue dots, most not 75 mph but a few could be that high.
Same with tornado. Higher chance of tornadoes but probably not much stronger than ef 2.
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@PettusWX Makes sense, suppose I need to adjust more. I was simply shocked to see that level on the risk maps, but not on the general outlook. Just feels so weird!
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I must still not understand the new SPC system if a 10# Tornado risk + 45# wind risk doesn't equal a Moderate Outlook.
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Taking my grandma on any storm chases near home has become a tradition of mine over the last few years. When I was 18 and did not have my own chasing vehicle, she stepped up to the challenge and would drive me around in her own Rav4 if I wanted to go chasing. Fast forward 4 years and now she has seen 11 tornadoes including this monster wedge shaped tornado near Kankakee, IL this past Tuesday.
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@TwoDogsWx Yet still some people will criticize the forecasts because 18z RRFS simref tells a different story.
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Not trying to hijack Jordan's thread but to hammer home the point; the average shift at SPC has over 100 years of collective severe weather forecasting experience.
250-300 severe weather events worked each year for 30+ years.
There are only 28 of us, on the entire planet...
Jordan Hall@JordanHallWX
I’m actually getting very annoyed with every new age chaser always attacking and going after the SPC for outlooks. Just because the last 3 years of chasing has been bonkers tornado wise doesn’t mean you are all forecasting geniuses. It’s not always as simple as a HRRR/RRFS run to show you a squall line and call it trash for putting a 10% hatch. Thank you for coming to my TedTalk
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@greg_mcneal_32 @Cdunlapweather @wxKobold Incorrect. That doesn't apply to tornadoes that pccur from June to October nor does it apply when stp is less than one. Mathematically the probability of a sig tor in these conditions is 1/5 which is why it is cig1
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@Cdunlapweather @wxKobold That’s the case in literally any tornado-favorable environment. what is the point?
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@willardsharpwx @JordanHallWX @BrandonCopicWx Got plenty of opening coming up. For some context the last opening had over 100 applicants. We selected 1.
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@JordanHallWX @BrandonCopicWx My feeling is if the young folk think they have the chops to forecast and put out better product than what is coming out now apply for the next open position at the SPC and let’s see how that works out.
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I’m actually getting very annoyed with every new age chaser always attacking and going after the SPC for outlooks. Just because the last 3 years of chasing has been bonkers tornado wise doesn’t mean you are all forecasting geniuses. It’s not always as simple as a HRRR/RRFS run to show you a squall line and call it trash for putting a 10% hatch. Thank you for coming to my TedTalk
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TwisterKidmedia がリツイート
For those who haven’t seen it yet, might be a good time to review the modified Derecho definition.
We are working on an updated webpage, but in the meantime this is the most comprehensive article explaining the changes.
BLUF: Serial no longer counts.
spc.noaa.gov/publications/s…
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