Darvas Boxed

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Darvas Boxed

Darvas Boxed

@DarvasBoxed

Amateur trader trying to outperform the legacy of Nicolas Darvas. Occasional political junkie.

Canada 가입일 Şubat 2026
303 팔로잉15 팔로워
Shane Migura
Shane Migura@TheSqeakyMouse·
The S&P 500 has now broke down out of its 6 year long ascending wedge.
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John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
I think I finally solved the stock market.
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DeepValue Signals
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals·
$SILVER I’m still getting a lot of questions on my target. For those who read my silver update before the big plunge began: I already said that yellow scenario was rising sharply in probability. I have consistently said sub-72 was very much in play, and here we are. Now, after a drop this vertical, let me restate this clearly: the 37 scenario I posted a week or two ago is still not my primary. I mentioned it so people could be emotionally prepared if we do get a deeper flush or a nasty wick. That is not the same as saying it is my base case. My primary remains a more normal backtest in the 48–56 region. And yes, that lines up with the 0.5 Fibonacci, which is a very normal retrace after a move like this. In fact, that would also be a pretty textbook backtest from a structural point of view. You can call that crazy if you want, but then you may want to spend a bit more time studying Fibonacci levels before doing so...
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Resource Alpha
Resource Alpha@SpeculatorPL1·
Today, $Silver options officially expire on the COMEX. Here is what that actually means for the price, without the financial jargon: Big institutions sold thousands of "bets" (call options) to retail traders hoping the price would go up. If Silver goes up, those institutions lose millions. So, all week, they aggressively shorted the paper market to force the price down. Their only goal was to make sure those retail bets expire completely worthless today. What happens next? After today, that massive artificial selling pressure stops. They no longer need to hold the price down, and they must buy back their short positions. This mechanical buying usually triggers a sharp upward rally. At the exact same time, we are seeing the formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the chart—a classic trend reversal setup. Do you think this pattern will confirm and launch the next leg up? #Silver #COMEX #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #Trading
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Derek Quick
Derek Quick@derekquick1·
@DarvasBoxed I bought at the $230 lows and been buying recently in the 260s again ;)
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Derek Quick
Derek Quick@derekquick1·
$UNH UnitedHealth Group just quietly dropped another major catalyst that the market is not pricing in yet. “Avery,” a generative AI companion now rolling out across millions of members, with plans to scale to 20M users this year. MCR% is really going to drop a lot and this years MA% with coding upwards of 7% will make earnings beat every quarter. -Avery will reduce administrative friction across claims, scheduling, benefits navigation -90% of interactions don’t require a human advocate boosting savings -Guides patients to lower-cost, in-network care which will improve MCR % over time - It enhances member experience leading to retention & pricing power - Feeds off billions of data points never used before compounding AI advantage. Healthcare was always the major sector that will increase margins the most as AI is introduced and is exactly the type of internal efficiency & cost control lever that drives margin expansion in healthcare. You will start to see it on next months earnings, you were warned ;)
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Darvas Boxed
Darvas Boxed@DarvasBoxed·
@george_ @XMoney Cross River Bank isn’t your average fintech‑friendly bank: FDIC cited “unsafe or unsound” practices, high credit losses vs peers, heavy non‑core funding, and a looming <10B asset “cliff” risk—vs trillion‑dollar, better‑diversified major banks in US/Canada.
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George Shao
George Shao@george_·
The X Money card is gorgeous. Solid metal, numberless, and having the @ handle printed right on the back is such a clean detail. - get 3% cashback on everything - earn 6% interest - 0% FX fee - reimbursed ATM fees globally - insured up to 250k What more could you ask for?
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Shane Migura
Shane Migura@TheSqeakyMouse·
Silver is currently down 25% on the month which is exactly what I said would happen and people would then start calling this the end of the run. The euphoric stage for Silver is still to come.
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Shane Migura@TheSqeakyMouse

Every $Silver bull run in the past executed a multi year pennant before completing the run. What price the pennant will take place is hard to know but will start off with around a 25% drop. Many will see this as the end of the run when it’s actually the start of consolidation before the euphoric stage.

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United Airlines
United Airlines@united·
The entire row is alllllll yours. Welcome to United Relax Row, three adjacent United Economy seats with adjustable leg rests that can each be raised or lowered to create a cozy lie-flat space for stretching out... You'll also get a mattress pad, blanket and two pillows. If you’re traveling with kids, a plushie too! United Relax Row will be available starting next year on more than 200 of our 787s and 777s, each with up to 12 of these brand-new rows. united.com/Elevated
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Mr. Slammy
Mr. Slammy@MisterSlammy·
Go ahead, enjoy your little dead cat bounce! 🐈 For you know a great SLAM is around the corner. 📉 I’m waiting for my next move… 😈
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Darvas Boxed
Darvas Boxed@DarvasBoxed·
@TheELongWave Is your chart suggesting 3.136% delineates support or resistance, going forward?
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The Economic LongWave
The Economic LongWave@TheELongWave·
The Canadian five-year yield is telegraphing that housing will become more expensive in 2026. Debt Is Becoming Structurally More Expensive For 40+ years: Falling rates = rising leverage Rising leverage = rising asset prices Now: Rising rates = falling affordability Falling affordability = falling asset demand This flips the entire system. Even small increases matter because: Canada is extremely leveraged Debt levels are at historical extremes Deleverage is the only outcome!
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Darvas Boxed
Darvas Boxed@DarvasBoxed·
@graddhytrading Yikes. I’ll still be up from your lowest support lines on both but damn… hope the upswing will have been worth the holding time. I’m long on both since 2022.
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Darvas Boxed
Darvas Boxed@DarvasBoxed·
@cdntradegrljenn @KennyZufall Interesting… what’s you’re favorite data source to pick your winners? How many tickers do you typically trade per day?
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Canadian Jennifer 🇨🇦
Canadian Jennifer 🇨🇦@cdntradegrljenn·
@KennyZufall I’m not trading a large percentage of my portfolio and my daily goal is a compounded 3 percent. I don’t like risk and protect my gains as first priority.
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Canadian Jennifer 🇨🇦
Canadian Jennifer 🇨🇦@cdntradegrljenn·
I’ve tried every form of investing and in the end my trading has come full circle. I’m back to day trading and closing positions to cash daily. For me, this is the most effective form of investing. There’s a stress free life in sitting in cash every single night. I have rare drawdowns and waking up to a red market is exciting. It’s like awakening to a Black Friday sale with an abundant bank account. Following this one rule has helped to exponentially grow my account… and I sleep.
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SmallCapInvestor
SmallCapInvestor@num8ersguy·
Here is Eric Sprott’s top 25 holdings' performance over the last month. Down ~$1.2B No panic selling. No capitulation. Just conviction. Hold on tight. This is where fortunes are made.
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LBroad
LBroad@BroadLuis·
LBroad@BroadLuis

🔥 Juniors are not just rising, they are exploding and eliminating I have analyzed the behavior of nearly 500 gold and silver juniors over the last 39 sessions, and what the data shows is not a normal market move, but something much more extreme. At first glance, one might think juniors are simply starting to move with gold and silver, but once you look deeper, the picture changes completely. The dispersion is wild. While one group of companies is up more than +60% on average, another group is down close to -60%. We are talking about more than 120 points of difference within the same universe. This is not a trend. It is a violent selection process. And this is where the first important message appears: it is not the ones that go up the most that win, but the ones that survive. Drawdown explains almost everything. The companies that are leading are not simply the ones posting the biggest gains, but the ones that manage to stay in control when the market tightens. They are the ones that advance without destroying their structure in every correction. The others are not just slightly lagging behind. They are sinking. That difference is essential, because in a universe like this the distance between being right and being wrong is not small. It is devastating. But there is something even more interesting. Leadership exists, but it is not stable. Many of the companies leading today were already showing strength before, yes, but in this kind of environment that is not enough. The market rotates quickly, changes hands, and forces constant validation. That means detecting early strength helps, but it does not guarantee anything by itself. In juniors, the initial edge has to be confirmed again and again, because this is a market where speculation accelerates both the upside and the shifts in leadership. That explains why the behavior looks chaotic. Because it is. We are not in a mature phase where everything rises in an orderly and synchronized way. We are in an early phase, where capital is starting to come in, but it is doing so in a disorganized way. Testing, taking risks, selecting. The money is already there, but it is not being distributed evenly. It is looking for convexity, looking for stories, looking for structure, while at the same time violently discarding everything that fails to respond. And that has a direct consequence: trying to follow the move without a clear framework here is dangerous. Because it is not enough for something to go up. It has to do so with structure, consistency, and the ability to withstand declines. In a market like this, simple momentum is not enough. What really matters is the quality of the move and the resilience of each company when pressure arrives. On the other side, the message is brutal. Weakness is not forgiven. The most fragile companies do not just fall a little or correct in an orderly way. They drop hard, and they do it fast. That is where capital gets destroyed. And that is probably one of the most important lessons from this study: in juniors there is not only explosive upside, there is also extreme risk in choosing the wrong names. Taken together, the data suggests this: we are not looking at a clean rally in juniors. We are looking at the beginning of a speculative phase. A phase where big winners and big losers coexist, where the market starts rewarding certain profiles while punishing others without mercy. And that is exactly how major cycles begin. First, the market turns chaotic. Then it selects. And only then does it become orderly. This is not just about gold or silver. It is about survival. You can download the full study, including the complete rankings and detailed data, at the link below. shr.pn/CeIf #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #Juniors #Investing

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LBroad
LBroad@BroadLuis·
This is no longer a correction. It’s a selection process. It’s been 39 bars since the correction in miners began, and I think the data is now clear enough to understand what’s really happening. This is not just a pause within the trend. And it’s definitely not a shallow pullback. What the numbers show is a fairly deep cleanup across the sector. The average decline is around 27%, more than 70% of miners are down over 20%, and a meaningful portion of the group has dropped more than 40%. That alone tells you this hasn’t been a minor move. But what interests me most is not the size of the decline. It’s what the correction is revealing beneath the surface. Because from a distance, it may look like everything has fallen the same way, like the whole sector has weakened at once, like we’re just seeing a broad phase of downside. But when you look closer, the picture changes. The vast majority of miners are still closing near the lows of this move. Over 90% are in the lower part of their range, and many have made their lows very recently. That suggests the selling pressure is not something from the past, it has remained active up until now. As a whole, the sector has not yet produced a meaningful recovery. And yet, at the same time, there’s a very striking internal divergence. Between the best and worst performers, there’s a spread of more than 140 percentage points. While some names have held up surprisingly well, others have suffered severe damage, with deep losses and clearly broken structures. That changes the interpretation. Because this is no longer a uniform correction. This is a selection process. The market is no longer treating all miners the same. It’s starting to discriminate. It’s letting some go while holding on to others. And in my view, that’s one of the most important aspects of any correction: it doesn’t just clean up excess, it reveals information. In fact, when you connect the data, the conclusion is quite powerful: the miners that were already showing strength before the decline are the ones that have held up best during these 39 bars. The gap between the weaker group and the stronger group is too large to ignore. And that reinforces a key idea in this sector: future leaders are often not the ones that bounce the most during the chaos, but the ones that break the least when real pressure hits. That’s why what I see here is not a destroyed sector, but one that is reorganizing in a tough, selective, and very revealing way. I don’t yet see a broad sector recovery. There may still be volatility. There are likely more shakeouts ahead. But I do see something that tends to matter a lot when markets begin to rebuild: a clear internal selection of relative strength. And many times, that’s where it all begins. 📊 Full study: shr.pn/lA08 #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks
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