@History__Speaks "Two week delay in the war" tells you all you need to know about Israel's position and Fox's
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OutsideObserver
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This at least is a good sign. The Israelis don't like the cease fire.
Nick Sortor@nicksortor
🚨 BREAKING: The Israeli government is NOT HAPPY with the terms of President Trump’s two-week ceasefire with Iran, per Fox News Excuse me if I couldn’t care less about a foreign country’s opinion on our President’s actions. America First.
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@citrinowicz This is clearly a strategic defeat for the U.S. and Israel though not a clear strategic victory for Iran.
It was a swing and a miss by the Zioamerican axis but we'll be back here again in a few months or years.
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The war isn’t over but the picture that’s emerging is already deeply troubling.
Based on the NYT piece its obvious that this war was launched with sweeping promises: regime change in Iran, the dismantling of its missile and nuclear programs, and preventing it from threatening the Strait of Hormuz.
And where are we now?
The regime is still firmly in power.
Its missile capabilities are damaged still intact
It still holds roughly 440 kg of uranium enriched to 60%.
And in return?
A ‘controlled’ reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, something that wasn’t even truly closed to begin with.
Let’s be honest: this is not a strategic victory.
If these are the outlines of the endgame, alongside Iranian demands for compensation and guarantees against renewed fighting, then we are left with a hard, unavoidable question:
What, exactly, was the point of this war?
Because tactical successes and operational achievements are almost meaningless if they fail to deliver a coherent strategic outcome.
At the very least, one has to hope that the negotiations in Islamabad will produce a different outcome on the nuclear issue. Otherwise, we risk emerging from this war worse off than when it began.
Because if the end state leaves Iran’s nuclear capabilities fundamentally intact, then the strategic reality after the war will not just fall short of expectations, it will be unequivocally worse than at the outset.
#IranWar
Talal Raza@raza_talal
How the Middle-East conflict moved from from regime change in Iran to reopening Strait of Hormuz that was actually open before the war started!
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
Scandale d’Etat
Selon le @canardenchaine Sacha Straub-Kahn (ancien des équipes de Sarkozy) le porte-parole du ministère de la Justice, est à l’origine des échanges avec plusieurs journalistes pendant mon audition, discutant avec eux du contenu de cette garde à vue.
lecanardenchaine.fr/police-justice…
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Iran is likely to deploy human shields to its bridges and power plants tonight. The use of civilians as human shields is banned under the Geneva Conventions (article 51).
Masoud Pezeshkian@drpezeshkian
بیش از ۱۴ میلیون ایرانی غیور تا این لحظه اعلام آمادگی کردهاند جان خود را برای دفاع از ایران فدا کنند. من نیز جانفدای ایران بودهام، هستم و خواهم بود. #جان_فدا
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
The state of the "anti-war" movement in the West:
At the "Iran solidarity" rally, you're not allowed to wave Iranian flags, and you have to chant "No war on Iran" and "No US imperialism" but also "No to Islamic Republic," the force actually resisting the war and US imperialism.
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
OutsideObserver 리트윗함
Israel's imports of Azeri oil via Turkey hit a three-year high, despite Turkey's supposed trade ban on Israel.
It's abundantly clear that the tension between Turkey and Israel is theatrical.
The Jerusalem Post@Jerusalem_Post
Opinion: Continuing to label Turkey as a reliable NATO ally is dangerous, as Ankara’s ambitions erode the very alliance structures that have long sustained Western security. jpost.com/opinion/articl…
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@HamiltonCain Do you not drink? My understanding is that there are many purveyors of fine liquors that would happily provide you with what you need in your fair city
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
I’m very curious to see where the floor ends up on this.
The final holdouts on viewing Israel favorably are Jews & white evangelicals, which feel like very tough nuts to crack.
Though I could see every other religious group & the religiously unaffiliated dropping even further.
Prem Thakker@prem_thakker
NEW Pew poll — 60% of Americans have a negative opinion of Israel. Just 37% favorable. 80% of Democrats & 41% of Republicans have a negative view. Among ages 14-49: 84% Democrats 57% Republicans Only 27% have confidence in Netanyahu to do the right thing for world affairs.
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
@History__Speaks I think a really important point strategically is what KSA and the UAE will do in the aftermath of this.
I think we underestimate the UAE's ambition. They will try to destroy Iran. They may try to buy a nuke as a deterrent. They're as crazy and genocidal as the Israelis
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From a strategic perspective, I think it's too early to tell what this means.
Three important factors:
1) Whether Iran retains military control over the Strait (even if it allows passage);
2) Whether the US negotiates in good faith to end the war;
3) Whether the US genuinely tries to accommodate Iran on some or all of the 10 points in its proposal, which Trump indicated he would, although he lies constantly.
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@amir_zvi American Jews are .... Americans.
Israeli Jews are Nazis.
Hope that helps
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
hi fam. apologies for taking up space for something personal. zios are attacking me, suggesting that I faked a threatening letter because the screenshot looked like an unsent form. so I made a longer video to show the backend of my website where these letters go. I frankly just discovered them (so apologies also to those who wrote and didn't hear back from me).
while I'm here, if you come across any of these attacks, I'd be grateful if you could please link them in the comments because I'm thinking of suing a few high profile folks if they don't remove their libelous posts.
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
El ultimatum de Trump está tapando algo importante de hoy: Israel atacó Kashan y afectó el corredor ferroviario Xinjiang–Irán (financiado x la Ruta de la Seda), la alternativa terestre de china para comerciar crudo evitando Ormuz. 1er ataque directo a China en la guerra.
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@academic_la The Israelis will agree to whatever and then renege when it suits them m as will the U.S.
Also, I have no doubt that the Emiratis will do everything in their power to destroy the Iranians and make sure this never happens again.
I would even bet they buy a nuke or two.
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The US has accepted the Iranian ten points as a basis for talks. Which is somewhat surprising. Here are the points:
1) Security Guarantees: A binding guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again in the future.
2) Permanent Peace: A transition to a permanent end to the war, rather than a series of temporary ceasefires.
3) End to Strikes in Lebanon: An immediate halt to Israeli military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
4) Sanctions Relief: The lifting of all U.S. and international sanctions imposed on Iran.
5) Cessation of Regional Hostilities: A broader agreement to end all regional fighting against Iranian allies.
6) Opening the Strait of Hormuz: In exchange for the above, Iran agrees to lift its de facto blockade and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
7) Transit Fees: The introduction of a protocol for safe passage that includes a $2 million fee per ship transiting the waterway.
8) Revenue Sharing: Iran proposes splitting these transit fees with Oman, which sits across the strait.
9) Reconstruction Funding: Iran will use its share of the fees to rebuild infrastructure destroyed by U.S. and Israeli strikes, rather than demanding direct financial reparations.
10) Nuclear Enrichment Rights: Recognition of Iran's right to enrich uranium under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
While this does not mean that Trump has accepted these points, just agreeing to talk about it is a MAJOR victory for Iran. Notice Iran removed their demand for America to remove its bases. The most encouraging thing here is the possibility of moving towards a permanent peace. A real blow for Israel, that is for sure.
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OutsideObserver 리트윗함
@lavitalenta @samhaselby I love yalda night. One of my favorite global traditions.
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There is the ancient Persian tradition of Yalda Night where practitioners read poetry aloud, share food, and stay up together through the longest night of the year.
This is a masterclass in what genuine leisure looks like
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@EggerDC "Two sister publications" is the bulwark just making stuff up now? Is that the kind of journalism you guys do?
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Guy who extremely knows what we're about: "The Bulwark and the Free Press—two sister publications—"
Adam Johnson@adamjohnsonCHI
lmao, we are 2wks away from Bulwark and Free Press demanding random democrats denounce DropSite. When there is no manager to snitch to, zionist crybullies attempt to manufacture fake scandals and this one boils down to “they talk to Enemy States” and “they got a grant from Soros”
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@Noahpinion @academic_la Let's try it and find out shall we?
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For what it's worth, I think America should cancel its alliance with Israel, which is obviously a bad and unhelpful ally. But unlike leftists and rightists, I don't actually think canceling it will fix any of our fundamental problems, or help people in Gaza.
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