0xAndys

Lighter airdrop by 31 December? I'm a Bet "Yes" and that's why: Until yesterday, it was unlikely that the Lighter team would be able to hold a TGE before December 31. • HOWEVER, yesterday there was an announcement about the addition of the Lighter token to the Coinbase roadmap:x.com/CoinbaseMarket… • It is also written in the terms of the bet that the Meme drop from Lighter to December 31 plays as "Yes". • I believe that the meme Drop will be within 1 or 2 weeks and the TGE of the main token in the last ten days of December CA $LIT: 0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 I'm waiting for the early calculation of this event, gLighter!

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@BTokarcuk @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade @Lighter_xyz @lightercis @coinbase Good analysis, buddy, whether you're right or wrong, we'll find out very soon!

Thread about the Lighter token ($LIT) Today I want to talk about Lighter and why, in my opinion, this is one of the most overpriced bets on @Polymarket. I’ll explain why $LIT will NOT have a TGE before January 1, 2026 👇

@0xtreiz @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketMoney thx for advice bro

NEVER PLACE ANY BETS ON LIGHTER! In less than a month of trading Lighter bets, I have gained a lot of experience. The Lighter team are just greedy bastards, they manipulate, pump and dump their own project for a couple of tens of thousands of dollars. I tracked their wallets through OnChain and noticed that they are trying to make small buybacks from hundreds of wallets to create the appearance of “real people” participating. I have completely lost faith in this project and advise you to stay away from them.

@holymarketh @Polymarket @PolymarketMoney @PolymarketTrade The coefficient is really high, I wish you good luck!

TikTok sale announced by Dec 31, 2025? ByteDance has been making it clear for many years that they don't want to sell TikTok, especially the algorithm. for them, this is a key part of the business, and it is subject to restrictions in China. publicly saying “we are selling TikTok” is not just a business decision, but a very sensitive story. january 20th is a sell-or-ban deadline. ByteDance will likely delay and avoid a clean sale as long as possible — even if that means risking the US market. recent reports about a possible deal for TikTok US show real negotiations and pressure, but they still stop short of a clear public statement from ByteDance saying they intend to sell TikTok. past behavior shows the company prefers restructuring, delays, and workarounds like Project Texas rather than openly announcing a sale. and even with the recent news, i’m taking the risk and staying on NO.

@Anglichanin_1 @Polymarket 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗻𝘆 𝗝𝗼𝘀𝗵𝘂𝗮 on a completely different level!

𝗝𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗣𝗮𝘂𝗹 𝘃𝘀 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗻𝘆 𝗝𝗼𝘀𝗵𝘂𝗮 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗲𝘅𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗮𝘀 𝗲𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗻𝘆 𝗝𝗼𝘀𝗵𝘂𝗮 𝗿𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 @Polymarket $𝟒𝟎𝟎𝗸 𝗱𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘇𝘆 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗸 𝗔𝗻𝗱 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 @PolymarketSport 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲? 𝗛𝗜𝗚𝗧𝗛𝗘𝗥

@echelon_sol @FIFAWorldCup @Polymarket It's a good attempt to catch a good chance in advance.

Just flagging the @FIFAWorldCup 2026 Winner market on @Polymarket.Current favorites are pretty standard: Spain, England, France, Argentina — all priced around ~12–15%. As for me, no overthinking — I’m backing Germany. My favorite team, and ~7% with a year left until the World Cup feels reasonable.I’ll put a small amount on it and let it sit until 2026. Sometimes it really is that simple.Prediction here: polymarket.com/event/2026-fif…

@mrakold @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @zscdao Joshua - an easy victory

@alexonecap I agree with you!

6 hours till the end of Gensyn Sale, 9.8 million in commitments for now. What will be the total in final? So I couldn't manage to get out of my bet with good values, as whale(you can see his wallet below) 12 hours ago bidded >2M$ into sale. I didn't expect this. Previously, I supposed that we will have such addings at the very end, and I would go out before this perfomace, but unluck... Nevermind, now it seems to me, that it would be not bad trying to catch good prices on NO in next few hours, as it was in most of bets on sales on @Polymarket. However, exactly which bet? I'm pretty sure that we will collect 15M$, what about 20? Sounds like obvious NO, but there can be manipulation with this, as whales can already now collect YES for 45 cents... And maybe we should bet on YES, hoping for such manipulation, who knows. What you think about this final number of commitments?

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor Event context: • This is a boxing match between: - Andrew Tate is a famous fighter-influencer, former professional kickboxer and master of wrestling. - Chase DeMoor is the current champion of the Misfits Boxing platform and a popular figure on social media. • Why Tate can Win: - Real combat experience: ex-pro kickboxer, knows the distance and clinch - Physics and toughness: can break the pace and impose a power fight - Psychology: presses even before the gong, in show fights it's half the victory • Demo is a hype trailer, and Tate is an old action movie: maybe without special effects, but it hurts more. My predicate👇 • The victory of Andrew Tate is most likely through the control of the fight and the exhaustion of the opponent.

@nearlix_eth It's very convenient!

Imagine that all you need is in one **** app and you can trade: – Stocks market – Prediction market – Futures and Perpetuals – Token sales – DEX trading – Coinbase Developer Platform – Coinbase Business – Coinbase Tokenize No need to imagine. Let's become Based together: base.app/invite/lunatik…

@BTokarcuk @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao An interesting event, I'll think about betting on it.

Avatar: Fire and Ash — what will really happen with the opening weekend at @Polymarket? The Polymarket market is massively betting on <$90M polymarket.com/event/avatar-f… But if you look at it coldly, this is too simple a conclusion. Fact #1 Avatar is NOT a franchise of record—breaking launches.The Original (2009) opened at $77M and became the highest-grossing film in history. The Way of Water — also took the cash register through a long tail, not an explosion. Fact #2 3+ hours of timekeeping, fewer sessions, weak pulse rate. This cuts the opening, but enhances the rolling at a distance. Fact #3 $110M requires a viral hype of the Marvel-peaks level. He's gone. But the “failure” scenario also looks stretched. The realistic range is $90–101M This is: — not a flop — not a record is the most logical compromise of expectations Trader's Withdrawal < $90M — crowded trade > $110M — unlikely $90–101M — The Best Risk-return asymmetry Avatar will make money again.It's just not the first weekend.

@irexlaz @Lighter_xyz @coinbase @Polymarket There are more and more bells, but still nothing prevents them from coming out at the beginning of the year.

@SvaperPol This is probably a great opportunity and one of the obvious bets on the market.

Do you know of at least one non-staged fight involving Jake Paul? Easy money for Jake? polymarket.com/event/boxing-j…