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EffAlt
1K posts
EffAlt
@0xEffAlt
Developper turned macro investor. Passionate about technology, startups, privacy, history, geopolitics and psychology. Effective altruist.
Switzerland Katılım Eylül 2013
513 Takip Edilen430 Takipçiler
@SovereignIM I fully agree with your argument and found it very compelling, as usual. I just wanted to correct a few misconceptions about aphantasia. Most people seem to think that we are "NPCs" unable to think at all 🤷♂️
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@0xEffAlt You are correct. I concede that point as an incorrect example. But it's not my argument.
My argument is that people live in meaningfully different realities based on their abilities, and there are limits on what they can be taught because of that.
You have not addressed this.
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Without basic pattern recognition you wouldn't be capable of language, because you wouldn't recognise a word as a pattern with a meaning, it's more the case that more abstract/less obvious coherent non-hallucinatory patterns require higher cognition to notice and derive meaning from, and *THIS* intrinsic capacity for perception cannot be taught, because it is a biological hardware rather than software limitation.
When you talk about learning things, you are really talking about software. You are presuming the organism is at, the biological/hardware level capable of acquiring whatever insight, knowledge, skill or trait it is if only they perform a certain number of repetitions to "wire" or "instil" that aspect into themselves, this is what you mean by "to learn". So if the limitation is one of wiring or conditioning, then yes we can through an effective number of repetitions through a mixture of reward/punishment conditioning, imbue a preference or trait.
But just as me jumping off a building and flapping my arms as fast as possible will never allow me to achieve flight no matter how many times I repeat it, repeatedly teaching advanced concepts to someone without the cognitive ability to grasp and integrate those concepts isn't going to teach them the thing, say, theoretical physics. It is just going to confuse them and annoy them. They will say it is pointless and useless. And it will demoralise them, because they will feel incompetent, like a repeat failure, and make zero to marginal gain in that domain.
Whole swathes of existence are simply gated by cognitive ability. There are subjective spiritual experiences - phenomenology - you can only experience if your brain is even capable of generating/receiving/tapping into the thing.
So you can teach someone with great hardware how to use it to recognise patterns better, yes. You can encourage abstraction in an already intelligent but rigid, linear and systematising mind, you can teach stubborn high IQ men laterality, yes, but fundamentally, a person with an 85 IQ isn't going to start seeing recurring patterns emerge at various scales of existence and believing in God because they see everything as cyclically fractal. None of that will ever make sense to them. It's unfortunate that grand swathes of the beauty of existence are simply beyond their ability to ever experience, but God did not in fact make all men equal.
I think the vast majority of the human race underestimates just how significant the gaps in capacity and potential are between humans. There are humans richer than you with better food than you and more opportunities than you that will never be as clever as you. The opposite is also true: there are humans poorer than you with worse prospects than you who are for all their disadvantages capable of vastly more than you.
There is no other mammal, insect or being we know of that has such a vast range or spectrum of ability as humanity. There is no random donkey that can talk because it's an extreme outlier, or a monkey capable of building highly advanced tools that bestow new capacities where other monkeys cannot, but there are extreme outlier humans (eg: Tesla, Da Vinci) who can visualise entire engineering plans in their head and perform thousands of simulations on loop both consciously and in the background to see how something would work before building it, just as there are people who do not even hear a voice in their head that speaks, and cannot even make themselves see an image in their head.
If we didn't all share the same organs and look relatively similar, by difference in capability alone, we would not call ourselves the same species, for truly, a person with an IQ of say, 85, and a person of an IQ of say, 150 are living completely different existences.
This is why when people harp on about intelligence not being important or other such cope, you can safely ignore them - it literally defines how you experience this fucking existence. If it doesn't matter, then nothing else matters. It is just the nature of the less capable to demote in importance what is desirable but beyond their capacity to earn to make themselves feel better about not having it. But that is not the truth. What I am saying is the truth.
Why do you think in all traditions and cultures, the shamans, the priestly class, whoever they were, were always, other than royalty itself, considered the highest class/caste etc? Because spirituality requires certain layers of abstraction and visualisation that a less powerful mind is simply not capable of. How are you going to have visions when you can't even see a red apple in your head? How are you going to create things when you struggle with logic, or have no internal monologue?
We are, in terms of what we can achieve, the most versatile, volatile and diverse species in existence that we are aware of. You assume others are generally much like you, but just a little inferior or a little better, or not as moral - but not really entirely different from you, because "we are all humans" right? Wrong. There are completely different configurations of being in the same category of "human" as you that exist, and some are nothing like you at all, both for better, and for worse.
I think therefor@Notablethinkers
@SovereignIM Is there really no way for everyone to learn pattern recognition?
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@SovereignIM Would you apply that logic to prenups? Especially where the man was already successful on his own?
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If you don't trust someone enough to combine finances with them, you have absolutely zero business marrying them.
You literally do not trust them with your money. So why would you trust them with your soul? Makes zero sense to me. I don't see how people can fail to grasp this.
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There are women out there doing difficult jobs with crazy hours, who give their money to their man to manage as they build the life they want together.
And then there's your fiance, hiding $50,000 pretending she's broke.
It's safe to say only one of these women is marriageable.
Andres Sandoval@Sxnt1_Sxndxval
Acabo de cancelar mi boda, a solo dos semanas del evento, porque revisé el celular de mi prometida y descubrí que tiene una cuenta de ahorros secreta con más de $50,000 USD de la que nunca me habló. Llevamos tres años viviendo juntos y durante todo ese tiempo yo he pagado el 80% de los gastos, incluyendo la renta, las cenas y hasta sus vacaciones, bajo la premisa de que ella "apenas llegaba a fin de mes" con su sueldo. Incluso me endeudé con un préstamo personal para pagar la mitad de la fiesta de la boda que ella tanto quería, mientras ella decía que no podía aportar más porque estaba "en cero". Cuando la confronté, no me pidió perdón; me gritó que yo era un acosador por invadir su privacidad y que ese dinero es su "fondo de emergencia por si las cosas salen mal", algo que su madre le aconsejó tener siempre en secreto. Mis amigos dicen que exageré, que al final es su dinero y que no hubo una infidelidad física, así que no debería tirar tres años a la basura. Yo siento que viví con una estafadora que me dejó cargar con todo el peso financiero mientras ella acumulaba una fortuna a mis espaldas. Ella dice que si la amara, su cuenta bancaria no me importaría. Yo digo que la confianza se rompió para siempre. ¿Ustedes qué harían? ¿Es válido tener secretos financieros así en una relación o es una traición total? Los leo.
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EffAlt retweetledi
It is a great paradox that individually we are simultaneously everything and nothing. Through our own eyes, we are everything--e.g., when we die, the whole world disappears. So to most people (and to other species) dying is the worst thing possible, and it is of paramount importance that we have the best life possible. However, when we look down on ourselves through the eyes of nature we are of absolutely no significance. It is a reality that each one of us is only one of about seven billion of our species alive today and that our species is only one of about ten million species on our planet. Earth is just one of about 100 billion planets in our galaxy, which is just one of about two trillion galaxies in the universe. And our lifetimes are only about 1/3,000 of humanity's existence, which itself is only 1/20,000 of the Earth's existence. In other words, we are unbelievably tiny and short-lived and no matter what we accomplish, our impact will be insignificant. At the same time, we instinctually want to matter and to evolve, and we can matter a tiny bit--and it's all those tiny bits that add up to drive the evolution of the universe. #principleoftheday
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EffAlt retweetledi
I might get killed for posting this, the least you could do is watch it.
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EffAlt retweetledi
Thoughts on Venezuela now the smoke has cleared.⬇️
1. Trump Doctrine. This operation was thematically similar to last summer's attack on Iranian nuclear facilities - billed as a masterstroke, collapses under scrutiny, and gives Trump cover to disengage from a foreign adventure.
2. As an initial matter, this was all flagrantly illegal aggression against a sovereign state on pretenses so flimsy they're not even legally cognizable. We're literally charging Maduro with violating the National Firearms Act. Dude is going to be a martyr for the Second Amendment, I can't wait to see gun twitter jump all over this lol.
3. This was not actually regime change. Maduro was not a totalitarian law unto himself, he's an eminently replaceable Latin American kleptocrat. The Venezuelan government (to include its senior leadership) and military appear to be almost entirely intact. At the moment they're discussing simply implementing the legal line of succession through the Vice President and moving on with business as usual! In any event Trump discussing somehow picking a new government in Venezuela or exercising authority over the country's governance is a fantasy at this point, we're occupying nothing and we have no leverage.
4. Tying back into the above, all of those senior leaders and that military seem to have gotten the memo to change their bed down locations and not show up for duty last night. The assault force, flying in slow and highly vulnerable helicopters, took desultory small arms fire coming in but not the antiaircraft buzzsaw they should have run into over Caracas given the Venezuelans have had four months to prepare for war. It's unclear whether they faced any resistance at all on the ground - for all we know by that point Maduro had already been arrested by his own military and was simply handed over to the commandos. Certainly the troops were in and out very quickly, suggesting actions on the objective were largely pro forma.
5. Trump has immediately pivoted to an offramp in the Caribbean despite the fact that absolutely none of the ostensible underlying causes of our intervention are remotely resolved at this point - drugs, oil, expropriation, etc. In fact he's been quite clear the Chinese will get their oil, so he seems to consider the operation entirely concluded. As I mentioned above, this is identical to his offramp from the 12 Days' War - conduct a strike on Iranian nuclear sites that was far less impactful than it was billed as to the American public and which was actually below the retaliatory threshold of the Iranians, and then immediately declare victory and leave. This operation feels exactly as choreographed as the denouement of the 12 Days' War - conduct a flashy raid while the Venezuelan Army takes a siesta, get a scalp, declare victory and leave, after which the Venezuelan government shrugs and moves on. Perhaps the Venezuelan government will be persuaded to give US companies some oil concessions going forward.
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EffAlt retweetledi
We are witnessing a civilizational collapse with the EU sanctioning Jacques Baud, a retired Swiss colonel and intelligence officer, for publishing books and articles expressing views on the Ukraine war contrary to those of the NATO leadership.
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@NazarTAMASHEVSK @canardenchaine Quel ramassis de conneries. Beaucoup d’associations reversent plus de 80%, par exemple Enfants du Mékong qui reverse 83,6%
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@canardenchaine Les associations caritatives sont une escroquerie digne des mendiants professionnels. Dans le meilleur des cas à peine 20% de ce que les donateurs versent parviennent aux nécessiteux; le reste sert à financer les frais de fonctionnement: salaires et notes de frais des dirigeants.
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Brigitte Macron gâte l'une de ses bonnes amies avec les Pièces Jaunes. L'épouse du chef de l'Etat a puisé 2 millions d'euros dans le budget de la Fondation qu'elle préside pour donner un coup de pouce à e-Enfance, asso dirigée par une militante macroniste.
f.mtr.cool/ozabxxzxsd
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⚡️BREAKING
The US and Qatar have signed an agreement in which an attack on Qatar is considered a threat to the security of the United States of America
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@neurajordan You're thinking Chinese surveillance
US-based surveillance helps victims and prevents more victims
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Flock Safety currently solves 700,000 reported cases of crime per year, which is about 10% of reported crime nationwide
And they're just getting started
Ilya Sukhar@ilyasu
It’s happening
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EffAlt retweetledi
EffAlt retweetledi
Maturing is realizing America is the most corrupt country in the world.
BRICS News@BRICSinfo
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US DOJ and FBI conclude Jeffrey Epstein committed suicide and had no client list, Axios reports.
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@Mangan150 Medical conditions like hypothyroidism make people sleep more and lead to excess mortality
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Sleeping >8 hours a night is associated with excess mortality, and restricting sleep can be beneficial.
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IN. HISTORY.
The only destabilizing force that seeks war are literally the Communist-Islamist alliance who do it deceitfully and cunningly.
Bill Ackman@BillAckman
In eight days, the United States and Israel eliminated Iran’s nuclear capabilities with minimal civilian casualties. One of the greatest military achievements ever.
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EffAlt retweetledi
Yet more evidence suggesting that @OpenAI is reckless & evil, and @sama is a manipulative sociopath.
Rob Wiblin@robertwiblin
Huge repository of information about OpenAI and Altman just dropped — 'The OpenAI Files'. There's so much crazy shit in there. Here's what Claude highlighted to me: 1. Altman listed himself as Y Combinator chairman in SEC filings for years — a total fabrication (?!): "To smooth his exit [from YC], Altman proposed he move from president to chairman. He pre-emptively published a blog post on the firm's website announcing the change. But the firm's partnership had never agreed, and the announcement was later scrubbed from the post." "...Despite the retraction, Altman continued falsely listing himself as chairman in SEC filings for years, despite never actually holding the position." (WTAF.) 2. OpenAI's profit cap was quietly changed to increase 20% annually — at that rate it would exceed $100 trillion in 40 years. The change was not disclosed and OpenAI continued to take credit for its capped-profit structure without acknowledging the modification. 3. Despite claiming to Congress he has "no equity in OpenAI," Altman held indirect stakes through Sequoia and Y Combinator funds. 4. Altman owns 7.5% of Reddit — when Reddit announced its OpenAI partnership, Altman's net worth jumped $50 million. Altman invested in Rain AI, then OpenAI signed a letter of intent to buy $51 million of chips from them. 5. Rumours suggest Altman may receive a 7% stake worth ~$20 billion in the restructured company. 5. OpenAI had a major security breach in 2023 where a hacker stole AI technology details but didn't report it for over a year. OpenAI fired Leopold Aschenbrenner explicitly because he shared security concerns with the board. 6. Altman denied knowing about equity clawback provisions that threatened departing employees' millions in vested equity if the ever criticised OpenAI. But Vox found he personally signed the documents authorizing them in April 2023. These restrictive NDAs even prohibited employees from acknowledging their existence. 7. Senior employees at Altman's first startup Loopt twice tried to get the board to fire him for "deceptive and chaotic behavior". 9. OpenAI's leading researcher Ilya Sutskever told the board: "I don't think Sam is the guy who should have the finger on the button for AGI". Sutskever provided the board a self-destructing PDF with Slack screenshots documenting "dozens of examples of lying or other toxic behavior. 10. Mira Murati (CTO) said: "I don't feel comfortable about Sam leading us to AGI" 11. The Amodei siblings described Altman's management tactics as "gaslighting" and "psychological abuse". 12. At least 5 other OpenAI executives gave the board similar negative feedback about Altman. 13. Altman owned the OpenAI Startup Fund personally but didn't disclose this to the board for years. Altman demanded to be informed whenever board members spoke to employees, limiting oversight. 14. Altman told board members that other board members wanted someone removed when it was "absolutely false". An independent review after Altman's firing found "many instances" of him "saying different things to different people" 15. OpenAI required employees to waive their federal right to whistleblower compensation. Former employees filed SEC complaints alleging OpenAI illegally prevented them from reporting to regulators. 16. While publicly supporting AI regulation, OpenAI simultaneously lobbied to weaken the EU AI Act. By 2025, Altman completely reversed his stance, calling the government approval he once advocated "disastrous" and OpenAI now supports federal preemption of all state AI safety laws even before any federal regulation exists. Obviously this is only a fraction of what's in the apparently 10,000 words on the site. Link below if you'd like to look over. (I've skipped over the issues with OpenAI's restructure which I've written about before already, but in a way that's really the bigger issue.)
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Did you know you can add public holiday calendars to Proton Calendar?
Just in time to plan those summer getaways. ☀️📅
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EffAlt retweetledi
A big step up the escalation ladder as the EU to let Ukraine fire NATO rockets deep into Russia.
I am not sure why isn't everybody worried sick but no one seems to care. They must not have read any history.
zerohedge.com/geopolitical/m…
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EffAlt retweetledi
@RealScottRitter You, an American, think you get to lecture anybody about waging endless wars? 🤡
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There’s a reason Americans fled Europe to find a home in the New World.
It’s because Europe and Europeans are fundamentally flawed.
Europe gave us art and culture, but at what cost?
Endless wars.
Savage brutality.
It is a diseased continent.
The proof that this troubled land remains infected is before us:
When offered an opportunity for peace, Europe chooses war.
It is time for America to decouple from this sick continent.
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