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From the Power Law: The Trend ($118,182) At this level, Bitcoin is perfectly aligned with its long-term power-law growth. It is neither cheap nor expensive just on trend. Normal Ceiling ($167,802) This is the healthy bull-market high right now. Normal Floor ($83,235) This is the downside equilibrium band. When price trades here, Bitcoin is statistically cheap relative to its long-term growth trend. Historically, this zone marks high-probability accumulation, not structural failure.

The Bitcoin Christmas Present Roadmap: Unwrapping the $118k Trend Value The market sits at $87,838 on December 16th, very quiet. To the frustration of retail traders hoping for a holiday pump, Bitcoin seems to have been gifted a lump of coal stuck in a sideways bore. But this silence isn't a lack of interest. It is just the wrapping paper. Beneath the surface, a massive structural "gift" is being prepared. It is currently boxed up by dealer gamma, bought by institutions, and scheduled for a very specific unboxing date: December 26th. The Pin (Now – Dec 26) Price is mechanically pinned to the $85,000 put wall. Dealer hedging suppresses volatility by buying dips and selling rallies. As expiry approaches, the $94,000 max-pain level applies a mild upward pull, but it is not dominant. The $85k pin remains the primary force. Opening the Present (Dec 26 Expiry) At 8:00 AM UTC On December 26, roughly 48% of total gamma exposure expires. The $85k floor weakens materially. If price rises just 3.2% and crosses $90,690 the gamma-flip level dealer behavior changes. Suppression breaks. Hedging shifts from damping moves to amplifying them. The Gift Inside ($118k Trend Value) The Squeeze (Dec 26 – Jan 30) The $100,000 call wall is the final structural barrier. Once breached, dealer selling pressure collapses. Above $100k, resistance thins sharply. Price enters a liquidity vacuum where upside is driven by forced hedging, not speculation. The Reversion (Q1 2026) With mechanical resistance removed, price is free to seek equilibrium. The power-law trend value sits at $118,012. Reaching it would not signal excess. It would simply unwind the market-coil indicator from the red (coiled) zone back to neutral. No bubble conditions required. The Gift: The institutions currently paying a 14% CME basis are not positioning for $94k max pain. They are positioning for structural release and mean reversion. We are currently staring at a wrapped present under the tree. When that date hits, the mechanical suppression lifts. If the price can clear the $90,690 ribbon, the market finally gets its Christmas present: a volatility squeeze that targets the $118,012 trend value a +34% gift from the Power Law to the patient. @akosikatha @vailshirecap_JR @PrestonPysh @LynAldenContact @saylor @GreeksLive @cz_binance @MicroStrategy

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The "Smart Money" is no longer selling the top; they are positioning for a significantly higher price.

@criptopaul playbook

I created The Noodles Crypto Playbook. It collects the exact framework we used to anticipate every major move of this cycle: how we predicted the crash, the signals we monitor, the internal models we rely on, and the way we identify tops, bottoms and early narratives before they become consensus. To receive it: Like Retweet Comment “playbook”

@criptopaul CRASH

While everyone was talking about Upoctober, we called the October Market Crash and now I'm revealing exactly how we did it inside a Video Masterclass 📉🔥 Want access? Just: -Like -Retweet -Comment CRASH and I’ll send you the link

#Bitcoin will go to 35-40k, probably q2 2026 So.. Take your time

Bitcoin has NEVER dropped below its electrical cost Current Electrical Costs = $71,000

5 signals, 5 runs. 6th has fired. This time different?

GOOD EVENING CRYPTO!!! 🌕🌙🍵🫖 As I said in the stream yesterday 8th of October and Today - I AM NOT A FAN OF THE BITCOIN FAKE OUT!! Money Line on daily turned bearish after the fakeout BEAR RISK IS INCREASED 🚨🚨🚨 MOST PEOPLE ARE COMPLACENT RT IF YOU UNDERSTAND

Keep it simple: - Exit warning on October 15th, at $115K. - Exit confirmation on November 3rd, at $107K. Do not enter back till we flip bullish. This is my own work, based on @ctoLarsson's and @IvanOnTech's trend-following investing approach. #BTC

@CryptoCon_ Out of the top 30 BTC cycle top indicators, we haven't hit a single one. Your work is intriguing, but I doubt it is accurate. coinglass.com/bull-market-pe… The Fed in Central Banks worldwide are about to ease and inject liquidity into the markets. That was NOT the top.

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Instead of Gmail, use Tuta Instead of WhatsApp, use Signal Instead of Netflix, use Jellyfin Instead of Maps, use OsmAnd Instead of YouTube, use Odysee Instead of Google, use DuckDuckGo Instead of Instagram, use Pixelfed Instead of TikTok, use Loops Instead of Google Drive, use CryptPad Instead of Discord, use Matrix Instead of Notion, use Notesnook

Periods when to make money - the liquidity cycle. (snippet from LQL Group Chat)