Dr. Albert B. Wolf
169 posts
@Abwolf1648
PhD Poli Sci. Israel, Baku, Kabul, Iraq, Pak. Foci: MENA,Coercive Diplo, Aud Costs. FP,WOTR,IS,Survival,WaPo,MEP. [email protected]. Signal: Abwolf1815.37.
Iran's "new" foreign policy: Not “Neither East nor West,” as Khomeini stated, but rather “More East and no West at all.” That shift is likely to define the future direction of Iranian foreign policy. If in the past the European states particularly the E3, played a meaningful role in mediating with Iran, today that role has increasingly shifted to regional actors led by Pakistan, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. Moreover, it is difficult to envision a return of the Europeans as central mediators after the snapback process, especially given the designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the very institution that effectively dominates Iran today. Even if Europe does not disappear entirely from the diplomatic landscape, the emerging direction of the Iranian regime points elsewhere. Tehran is likely to place even greater emphasis on deepening ties with China and Russia, while simultaneously strengthening outreach to the Global South, particularly African states, preserving strategic relations with India, and cautiously expanding engagement with parts of the Gulf. In the foreseeable future, it is difficult to see Iran-EU relations recovering in any meaningful or strategic way. It is increasingly becoming “more East, with no West at all”, and that is likely to form the foundation of Iran’s future foreign policy orientation #iran
Iran's "new" foreign policy: Not “Neither East nor West,” as Khomeini stated, but rather “More East and no West at all.” That shift is likely to define the future direction of Iranian foreign policy. If in the past the European states particularly the E3, played a meaningful role in mediating with Iran, today that role has increasingly shifted to regional actors led by Pakistan, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. Moreover, it is difficult to envision a return of the Europeans as central mediators after the snapback process, especially given the designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the very institution that effectively dominates Iran today. Even if Europe does not disappear entirely from the diplomatic landscape, the emerging direction of the Iranian regime points elsewhere. Tehran is likely to place even greater emphasis on deepening ties with China and Russia, while simultaneously strengthening outreach to the Global South, particularly African states, preserving strategic relations with India, and cautiously expanding engagement with parts of the Gulf. In the foreseeable future, it is difficult to see Iran-EU relations recovering in any meaningful or strategic way. It is increasingly becoming “more East, with no West at all”, and that is likely to form the foundation of Iran’s future foreign policy orientation #iran
