Alex Caravan

WBCでの太田泰示のリリース特性に感銘を受けて、日本人投手分析の2本目のブログを書きました。 リリース高130cm・エクステンション238cm・球速154 km/h 体感球速158.5 km/h。同バケット平均は146.5 km/h。 全文はこちら→ unfilteredlabs.com/blog/%E5%A4%AA…

As we head into the 2026 season, let's take a look at some of the players who played in MLB in 2025 that have seen the biggest jump in their max EV so far in Spring Training. 🧵⬇️...

InstaGraphs: RosterResource Now Has More Detailed Contract Info! blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/ro…

#SABRanalytics Great presentation by the Statcast team who I am lucky enough to work with on a daily basis ( @dohyoungpark , @_dadler , Graham Goldbeck)

@enosarris I get into town tonight, I owe you a beer and a _ from chicago hahaha

I'll be in Phoenix, Arizona for the SABR Analytics conference (AL-LABR draft Saturday, panel Saturday) and so we will meet up, if you like, to have suds and talk, at The Whining Pig (downtown one), Saturday night, 6pm-8pm.

🚨 ABS Impact Analysis: Shadow Zone Edition Mike Trout gets 17.3% of in-zone shadow pitches incorrectly called balls - the most in MLB. With ABS coming, that advantage disappears. 316 hitters analyzed. Average 8% incorrect ball calls on shadow zone strikes. The transition will be significant. 📊 Full breakdown 👇 (Graphs on individual posts for better visibility) *Disclaimer* ABS is based off of height, this analysis was based on "rule-book" zone from 2025

Last year I set out to see what biomechanics patterns are present in pitchers with good command and presented my findings @sabr. This project fundamentally changed the way I view command and repeatability. The long overdue blog is out! Check it out here: drivelinebaseball.com/2026/02/the-in…

Introducing the FanGraphs Lab blogs.fangraphs.com/introducing-th…

High blocks, low blocks, everywhere you look...blocks. Using data from SkillCorner, I break down how each side likes to set up out of possession, and what it means for their playing style. @TheAthleticFC nytimes.com/athletic/70335…

lowest pressure rate on true pass sets allowed over the past two seasons (min. 300 non spike pass block snaps)

From 2021-2023, the league threw 10k more sweepers every year. Then batters began to make better contact & swing decisions against the pitch, because they were trained to see that movement. So we've refreshed Stuff+, taking 2020 and 2021 out of the training data. Sweepers down:

Just to follow up on this conversation, Understat is probably the WORST of the xG models available. (Or whatever @xgphilosphy uses). It's just public and free. This is an excellent analysis comparing different models/types of models. thesignificantgame.com/portfolio/do-n…

By conditioning on 4-seam with highest spin efficiency for each degree change of arm angle there will be a 0.9 degree change of spin axis. For typical 40 degree slot non-gyro FF will differ 6 degrees and for average FF it will differ by 16 degrees

In the more technical part 2 of our series on APM I share state-of-the-art tips and tricks -- which I've learned while working for two NBA teams -- on how to - implement priors - better handle penalization - easily compute standard errors roycewebb.com/p/nba-adjusted…

I've updated whiffs.org for 2025, if you want to see how your favorite projections did. I'm planning to write-up a brief summary for those who just want to know which projections to use next year.

By training an out probability model we can plot distribution and sun on average ~2% to out probability. 8/n

Incredible work on optimizing bat paths by @SamEhrlich @Tstokey and @connerpelletier: drivelinebaseball.com/2026/01/optimi…

NEW STORY @YahooSports: Jaylen Brown said the "inconsistency is f---ing crazy" in officiating. His fiery comments came amid a sudden free-throw/scoring decline that has caught the eye of gambling community. What happened? sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/th…

Year of the RB (again)

【Types of One-Seam Sinker Grips】 I like the one-seam sinker for its big drop with high spin efficiency. There are several grips: like a curveball, angled two-seam, or two fingers on one seam. Curious what each grip does.