Arii

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Arii

Arii

@Arii_Defii

Predictor Of Things 🔮

Katılım Ocak 2025
936 Takip Edilen827 Takipçiler
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
$1k > $120K+ in 10 months predicting on @MyriadMarkets The initial goal was $10k (Season 1). This week i just shot past the $100k mark (Season 2). It's been an insane journey and i hope to take it to the next level in 2026 🙏
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MYRIAD
MYRIAD@MyriadMarkets·
Today marks a major milestone for MYRIAD. We’re accelerating our vision in building sharper, deeper and more accessible information markets.
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
@DonAlt We've seen this playbook before...it's unfortunate that many people think bombing Iran is a liberation movement, rather than a strategic power play over the Middle East & another extraction event
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Joe Kent
Joe Kent@joekent16jan19·
After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today. I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby. It has been an honor serving under @POTUS and @DNIGabbard and leading the professionals at NCTC. May God bless America.
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MYRIAD
MYRIAD@MyriadMarkets·
Welcome to MYRIAD Season 3. Our biggest season yet, featuring our most ambitious tech upgrades. All on @BNBCHAIN, powered by USD1.
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aaron
aaron@probaaron·
@Arii_Defii @Kalshi @Polymarket oh well, I'll pay $8/mo for X Premium may actually end up helping my credibility in writing about this space
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aaron
aaron@probaaron·
got dropped by both @Kalshi and @Polymarket badges for giving honest takes on both genuinely grateful for the run - helped grow this account if nothing else.. you know I won't be a shill 😅
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Magic Eden 🪄
Magic Eden 🪄@MagicEden·
We're refocusing Magic Eden on @solana, Packs & @DiceyHQ.📅 What's changing: Mar 9 — EVM & BTC marketplaces sunset Mar 27 — Bitcoin API shutdown Apr 1 — ME Wallet deprecated $ME remains central. Wallet users: export your keys before 4/1. For more details, review the below help center articles: - help.magiceden.io/en/articles/13… - help.magiceden.io/en/articles/13… - help.magiceden.io/en/articles/13… - help.magiceden.io/en/articles/13…
Jack@0xLeoInRio

Update on @MagicEden and @DiceyHQ: It is clear we're entering a new era where finance and entertainment merge. We are now 2 months into @DiceyHQ’s closed beta and are incredibly bullish on how things have developed (~200 users, >$15M wagered). To give Dicey the focus it deserves, it’s time for us to go all in with the full scope of our talent and resources. Therefore, we are streamlining the Magic Eden marketplace to focus exclusively on Packs and Solana. With that lens, we are announcing a few changes to our product portfolio: 1// Betting: We are doubling down on @DiceyHQ to innovate in the crypto casino & sportsbetting space to capture the massive opportunity in iGaming. 2// Marketplace & Wallet: We are winding down support for our EVM marketplace (March 9), Bitcoin (Runes & Ordinals) marketplace (March 9), Bitcoin API (March 27), and the Magic Eden Wallet (April 1) 3// NFT Buybacks: We will be winding down NFT buybacks as they had minimal impact, and will instead shift our focus to ecosystem design and product initiatives, including the role future yield efforts towards the $ME token plays in that ecosystem. 4// $ME Token: $ME remains the central token of our ecosystem across Magic Eden and Dicey. As our product suite evolves, including Dicey, we expect $ME to remain an important part of how users engage across all of our products. Right now, our focus is on execution, product-market fit and scaling GTM for Dicey. We'll provide more clarity around $ME's integration into Dicey as the roadmap develops. Why is there a need to streamline our products? The 80/20 rule has become our reality: 80% of our cost are tied to products generating only 20% of our revenue. By winding down these products, we're refocusing on our Solana roots & retaining our most profitable products, betting on deep on crypto entertainment, and positioning our products for long term growth incl. the role of $ME token and our community plays within it. The future of ME is simpler, faster, and fueled by our original home on Solana and the success of Dicey. I can’t wait to share more about what we’re building at Dicey in the coming weeks.

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Logan
Logan@LoganPredicts·
Crossed $500k in profit a few days ago. February has been going very well after a slow start to the year in January
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
@walsxbt Ah yes im sure it must be the polymarket employees insider trading and not any big exchanges/dex/amm's🤣
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
@alch3my101 @Kalshi Sometimes it feels too good to be true, would have been worse if you went all in and then lost, would call it a win overall though bro🫡
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Solstice
Solstice@alch3my101·
My work today on @Kalshi. +$3,973 Portfolio $2,235 ➡️ $6,208 Only played one market today. I have named it, "The Olympic Miracle." Full story below. _____________________ After the Bernie Billionaire ruling on Friday I was feeling pretty down and out. I only lost $160, but it hit me hard for some reason, so I took 36 hours off. Part of my down-mood was probably because that win would have put my port at $2,900. Instead it dropped me to $2,229. Why was that important? On January 22nd I left my job to do this full time with a $500 portfolio, and I told myself I had to get to $3,000 by February 22nd to justify I keep doing this. With 1 day left, I knew I needed a miracle, and I posted as much. When the Olympic Closing Ceremony event came up I prayed for something special and the universe answered. I caught one of the commentators saying "Amphitheater" in very beginning of the broadcast. No one bought it, and I didn't know if it would count either, so I waited. For the next two hours I watched and listened as they called it the "Arena" from then on out. When the event ended the strike hadn't been said so I started scooping shares at 4c and 2c before broadcasting the find in the forums. In retrospect I think I could have won $10,000 or more, but I feared another Kalshi rulecuck. The thing is, this broadcast was not set to begin until 2:30pm EST. It began at about 2:26pm and the commentator said the strike at about 2:28pm. Does that count? I don't know, I'd never seen this before. The title of the broadcast matched, but the Kalshi market didn't say LIVE yet because the broadcast started early. I confirmed with some OG's that it should count, but who really knows. The Olympics have been a shifting sand of, in my opinion, inconsistent rule applications given unprecedented and strange broadcast issues. To ameliorate this rulecuck risk, I decided to pretty quickly announce what I found. My plan was to sell into the hype to capture my gains. But I definitely rushed too much. I also feared they'd pause the market and then use the line to decide (which is a rumor going around). I had to get the news out and make sure the line went up. As soon as I announced it, priced spiked to 98. I missed selling there but sold about 1,400 shares around 90 for $1,600 to secure my best win ever. I let the rest ride, and the price dropped back to 50 before sentiment was reached and a static market was landed on in the 90s. I am disappointed in myself for this not being more, and I'm disappointed in myself for not giving more time so my guys could buy more too. Maybe this could have been a $20,000 win for me and thousands for them? Who knows. But I'm also not sure how much more I could have milked this. The market had low liquidity and no one bought my 1c shares either. After getting my 4,400 shares or so at that 4c average, it looked like this began to run into the 6s and 7s so I thought maybe there was another sharp on it. But maybe that was just some confusion of people not knowing the broadcast was done. I couldn't tell. I kind of panicked. I wanted to let my friends know, but I also wanted to protect myself from the blackhole of opaque Kalshi rule decision making that still looms over the markets. That plus recent losses prevented me from taking the cool, calm, and collected approach and putting $1,000 on it to get 15,000 shares. It was a good win, and I'm grateful. I had circa-$4,000 profit when total market volume was only $65,000 which I think is pretty rad.
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
@PredMTrader Jesus the speed from 100k-200k was quick af, congrats bro
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
Soon enough Prediction Markets will be embedded on all media @Polymarket
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Arii
Arii@Arii_Defii·
@Polymarket welp they deleted the post for some reason
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