AverageInvestor
2.8K posts

AverageInvestor
@AvgInvestorr
Long term investor, with some trading around core holdings.
Katılım Ocak 2020
35 Takip Edilen260 Takipçiler

@DeepValueBagger Thoughts on selling some CC on $NBIS here?
English
AverageInvestor retweetledi

I'm really tired of arguing with random people in my posts. I have been thinking about creating a smaller circle, "DVB Circle". I would like to share more long form format. I have a couple thesis I think could be big. I have a really nice research pipeline to produce great reports to share to.
But i hate to be that guy with a sub. And I hate to be the guy having to nuture it. You guys know I don't need the money but it would be nice if I have a fund to increase my local LLM hardware.
The idea is
1) I give you excellent reports from my research pipeline.
2) private discord for like-minded people
3) small fee to subsidize my local LLM hardware + cloud fees etc.
4. You get some really interesting thesis on my mind.
English

I have not shared my big account (inclusive of 2 more here) in a long time and proof of net worth. Normally I prefer not to share much of these days. But I would like share a snapshot of it right now with the YTD returns - Robinhood splits it by stocks, derivatives and so forth. I have been on margin for quite sometime, and this is the first time in 3 years that I'm completely out of margin with small cash position. No, it's not because I think the market will crash. It's just for my personal sanity, and financial security to grow this diligently in the time to come. I do have other assets such as Bitcoin, and private equity in SpaceX and few other names.

English

@AvgInvestorr I have a number in my head using math, pattern recognition, intuition. I don’t get overly excited until that number is close to reached. No emotions.
English

Hit another all time high. Feel pretty blessed. To think I only started with $50k just 12 years ago 🙏
Will my account stay this high? Maybe. Maybe it keeps going up, maybe it goes down.
I don’t care.
I keep the formula the same:
Pick 1-3 high conviction stocks and don’t believe FUD, bears, trolls, jealous people, panicans, nervous Nellies, media, talking heads, doomers…
I believe in myself and my DD. I believe in my conviction. I believe in my judgment.
To all the accounts that add value to X, thanks.
Special shout out to @mvcinvesting who was literally the first person I saw posting about $NBIS.
For some reason your posts kept entering my feed…..I did my own DD and I was hooked.
3.5 bagger for me.
Probably my 10th multi bagger but with each consecutive bagger, they become more and more substantial.
Also major shout out to @daniel_koss his DD is second to none.
Let’s keep the grind going y’all! Just the beginning 🙏👊👍🫡
English

@StonkShepherd @accounting_ds If you could share once done that would be amazing!! 🙏🏻
English

@AvgInvestorr @accounting_ds I wrote his stuff down just gotta clean it up
English

I highly recommend these two articles by SJ before his departure
x.com/sjcapitalinves…
x.com/sjcapitalinves…
He is a regular guy just like us, but through pure curiosity and work ethic learned skills that used to be reserved for a select few
That’s the takeaway, information is now democratized, go get it
English

@Micro2Macr0 @PurdyInvestor Current avg for $HOOD is $128, is there hope?
English

@PurdyInvestor I'm guessing a lot of things. I wouldn't mind picking up more $SOFI and $HOOD among many others. I'm still not using leverage though and I'm going to take it slow and just nibble.
This seems like an endurance race more than it does a Sprint.
English

$CRDO — The Connectivity Stack Just Went Full Spectrum
Credo closed +12.35% today and ripped another 9% after hours to $146.80. The catalyst: a definitive agreement to acquire DustPhotonics for $750M cash + stock, bringing industry-leading Silicon Photonics PIC technology in-house.
This is a thesis-level event.
Here’s why:
The Bear Case Just Died
The biggest overhang on CRDO was the copper-vs-optical debate — would optical interconnect eventually cannibalize their dominant AEC franchise? That question is now irrelevant. Credo owns both sides of the connectivity stack: AECs within racks, optical between racks and across pods. They don’t care which one wins. They win either way.
What DustPhotonics Brings
DustPhotonics has a differentiated SiPho PIC portfolio spanning 400G, 800G, 1.6T with a roadmap to 3.2T — already deployed at leading hyperscale AI clusters and in design for both NPO and CPO applications. This isn’t a speculative R&D bet. These are production-grade photonic integrated circuits sitting in live AI infrastructure today.
The Numbers
Credo now expects combined optical revenue (ZeroFlap transceivers + Optical DSPs + Silicon Photonics) to exceed $500M in fiscal 2027. For context, CRDO did ~$268M total revenue last quarter. Optical alone is on track to become a revenue pillar on par with the core AEC/IC franchise. The deal is expected accretive to non-GAAP EPS in FY27.
The Vertically Integrated Moat
Post-acquisition, Credo’s stack reads: SerDes → DSP → Silicon Photonics → System Integration. Electrical and optical. Scale-up and scale-out. No other pure-play connectivity company offers this full spectrum. Broadcom has optical but is a conglomerate. Marvell has optical but lacks the AEC dominance. CRDO is now the only vertically integrated connectivity pure-play purpose-built for AI datacenter fabric.
The Technical Setup
Price reclaimed the 50 SMA and blew through the 100 and 200 SMAs in a single session on 2x average volume. After hours puts it at $147, back inside the prior $140–165 consolidation zone from late 2025. This is conviction buying, not a dead cat bounce. Next resistance: $160–165.
Conference call tomorrow, April 14 at 1 PM ET. That’s your next catalyst — integration roadmap, design win pipeline, and FY27 guidance details.
When the market gives you a company that was already the AEC market leader with 75%+ share, and they go acquire the missing piece to own the entire AI connectivity stack from copper to light — you pay attention.

English

@stockedgeN Nice coverage, keep it up! Bought this morning at $124.70.
English











