Mirko Barbaric

336 posts

Mirko Barbaric

Mirko Barbaric

@BarbaricMirko

Think Big, Think Long Term auf https://t.co/6pJnpWMirq Keine Anlageberatung

Dresden Katılım Nisan 2021
117 Takip Edilen61 Takipçiler
Stypi
Stypi@Stypi18·
@BradoCapital There were few executive resignation, strike among the employees and few other bits, media is not helping.
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Braden Dennis 📊
Braden Dennis 📊@BradoCapital·
Dino Polska $DNP is starting to look very interesting as Poland continues to become an economic powerhouse in Europe. Who owns this?
Braden Dennis 📊 tweet media
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@stwboerse Das überrascht mich. Ich finde das Wix Studio ziemlich gelungen. Was sind deine negativen Erfahrungen mit Wix Studio?
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Stefan Waldhauser
Stefan Waldhauser@stwboerse·
@BarbaricMirko Ja die gehören auch in diese Gruppe. Wobei ich als WIX-Kunde nicht gerade begeistert bin wie sich das Produkt entwickelt und ich schon von daher die $WIX Aktie nicht kaufen würde.
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Stefan Waldhauser
Stefan Waldhauser@stwboerse·
Adobe hat gerade ein Aktienrückkaufprogramm für $25 Mrd. bekanntgegeben, dafür könnten sie zum aktuellen Kurs 25% aller Aktien zurückkaufen. Verhält sich so eine Company, deren Cashflows wegen KI Disruption gerade implodieren? Nein, das ist hohe Überzeugung in die eigene Widerstandskraft. $ADBE
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@stwboerse Wix - die rund 30 % ihrer Aktien zurückgekauft haben. Und mit Base44 einen neuen Wachstumstreiber günstig gekauft haben
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Stefan Waldhauser
Stefan Waldhauser@stwboerse·
SaaS Aktien dürften ein Revival erleben. Ich würde dennoch nicht $ADBE kaufen, denn es gibt viel spannendere Werte aus der zweiten Reihe mit ähnlichen Buyback-Programmen im Ausverkauf. Ich hatte hier über diese Tech-Kannibalen berichtet: buff.ly/2QBCY0U
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Ernest Wong
Ernest Wong@ErnestWongBWM·
Loved this line from Prem at the $FFH.TO AGM "The single best thing you can do as an investor is to take a long view, don't look at it every 3, 6, 9 months. Look at it over the long-term because compounding takes place over time"
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Base44
Base44@Base44·
Turn your Figma design into a working app in minutes. Just paste your @figma frame link, hit generate, and it's live.
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Paul, not a CFA
Paul, not a CFA@Investmentideen·
$WIX is officially dead. Just redesigned an entire website, hosted it on Cloudflare, and integrated a form that announces submissions via Telegram–all done by Agentic AI in under 24 hours. Cancelling my WIX subscription next week.
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Avishai Abrahami
Avishai Abrahami@Avishai_ab·
Finally I can share this with you: @Wix Harmony is live! Our new flagship AI website builder that provides a first‑of‑its‑kind hybrid experience: vibe coding with full drag‑and‑drop control, all built on Wix’s enterprise‑grade infrastructure. I can’t wait to see what our users will build with it. I wrote about why we built it and how it connects to the future of web creation. Full post: wix.com/blog/avishai-a…
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JohnDoeKnowsGuy
JohnDoeKnowsGuy@JohnDoeKnowsGuy·
Guys I think $goog $amzn etc are all awesome and will do fine as operating companies. My problem is they have no FCF and with no FCF the stonk prices / valuations move at the whims of some pod bois in NYC. All I know is that there WILL be volatility.
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Daniel Pronk
Daniel Pronk@PronkDaniel·
Going through $PYPL's earnings and noticed they only discuss EPS, and not the actual earnings figure. Thought this was weird, so I looked at the income statement. Earnings declined YoY and EPS is only up due to buybacks. That's not clear anywhere in the PR.
Daniel Pronk tweet media
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@MB_Hogan @brokeandholding I'm a shareholder and customer since 2022 and customer of B44. I love the product so much. It's amazing. I focus on the fundamentals, not the stock. In the long run.... :)
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Mark Hogan
Mark Hogan@MB_Hogan·
@brokeandholding Me too. Unprecedented buyback up to 40% market cap is insane upside value. They basically share same gross margins as Microsoft ~68%, now imagine if Microsoft bought 40% of their stock back (1.3 Trillion) and the stock price didn’t move 😆
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brokeandholding
brokeandholding@brokeandholding·
Just bought more $WIX
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Maor Shlomo
Maor Shlomo@MS_BASE44·
This announcement was worth getting hit by phones millions of times. We just released the #1 feature our builders have been asking for - you can build native mobile apps with @Base44! To celebrate this launch, I want to work with one of you to get your app mobile-ready. Comment with the link to the app you want to ship, and I’ll pick one for a 1:1 virtual session, where we’ll ship it to the App Stores together. Excited to build with one of you! (Fun fact - I was recovering from an illness 😂 was doing my best to look alive)
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@Valuehunte But that is hint sight bias? If you are "happy" with your first purchase, why do you regret your decision, if the stock went down further. You cannot time stock prices. If you feel regret, plan more tranches.
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David Barbato
David Barbato@Valuehunte·
@BarbaricMirko Yes, it matters, the upside in the $30 scneario is 66% and in the $40 scenario is 25%, or 2.6x more upside
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David Barbato
David Barbato@Valuehunte·
I love the fact that whenever I buy a full position, the stock goes on to drop 10%, it's great, I promise😊😂 Jokes aside: need to be more patient on the buying side, maybe more gradual to dilute the risk of picking the wrong day/time to buy. What's your experience?
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@Valuehunte I mean, let's say you think that a company's share is worth 50$ and you buy it at 40$. Does it really matter if the stock falls temporarily to 30$.
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David Barbato
David Barbato@Valuehunte·
What do you mean exactly? If you buy the company at the wrong price, it doesn't benefit you in any way. I think I haven't done a good job explaining what I really meant. It's more about the technical best practices of placing orders to avoid the randomness of hitting the bid at the wrong time.
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Rene Sellmann
Rene Sellmann@ReneSellmann·
So C$100/share is the magic number for Topicus? Let’s see if seller can push it below this threshold. $toi
Rene Sellmann tweet media
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@stwboerse Kommt ja immer auf die Länge des Wachstumspfades an. Wenn SAP auch die nächsten 10-20 Jahre um 10 % wachsen kann, dann ist eine P/E von 30 auch nicht viel.
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Stefan Waldhauser
Stefan Waldhauser@stwboerse·
Auch die $SAP Aktie wird heute geerdet. Das passiert, wenn eine zu hohe Bewertung (KGV über 30) auf einen passablen, aber nicht überragenden Ausblick auf 2026 trifft. Ein mit ca. 10% wachsendes Unternehmen ist einfach nicht den 30-fachen Profit/Cashfow wert. VALUATION MATTERS.
Stefan Waldhauser tweet media
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Mirko Barbaric
Mirko Barbaric@BarbaricMirko·
@mvcinvesting I'm a shareholder since 2022 and i love the buyback program. It's a wild ride so far :D
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M. V. Cunha
M. V. Cunha@mvcinvesting·
🚨 JUST IN: $WIX is up 6% pre-market after announcing a $2B share repurchase program over the next two years. As I predicted... but even more aggressive. For context: $WIX's market cap is only ~$5B. 🤯 The program also allows the company to repurchase its convertible notes, but I suspect that only happens if the stock moves above the conversion price (>$200). These notes carry a 0% interest rate, so there’s no real urgency to retire them. All in all, at current prices, $WIX can repurchase at least ~20%, and up to ~40%, of its shares over the next two years. Even after accounting for the typically high SBC in SaaS, the share count should still decline by double digits. Happy shareholder.
M. V. Cunha tweet media
M. V. Cunha@mvcinvesting

My new position is $WIX. This might be controversial, but I think it’s one of the most asymmetric opportunities in the market right now. When you buy $WIX, you’re effectively buying two businesses: Wix and Base44, and that changes the story. Here’s a summary of the thesis: 👇🏻 For less than $5B, you’re buying... 1) The core Wix business It generates >$600M in annual FCF with ~30% margins, and there’s still room for additional operating leverage. Many investors believe Vibe Coding will disrupt Wix. I think that view misses a key point: Wix is deeply embedded across millions of SMBs, and most of these are happy to pay a few hundred extra dollars per year to avoid the friction of switching platforms. More importantly, Wix isn’t ignoring the shift. The company has already started integrating AI and Vibe Coding into its platform with the launch of Wix Harmony. Management’s confidence seems high, they’re even returning to the Super Bowl for the first time in six years to promote this new product. 2) Base44 Base44 is one of the fastest-growing Vibe Coding platforms in the market (according to Similarweb's data). $WIX acquired Base44 in June 2025 for $80M. In less than six months, ARR grew from ~$3M to >$50M. I wouldn’t be surprised to see it exit 2026 at ~$200M in ARR. For context, here’s how its peers are valued in the private markets: - Lovable recently raised at a $6.6B valuation (~30x ARR), up from $1.8B in July 2025 - Replit is reportedly in talks to raise at $9B (>30x ARR), up from $3B in September 2025 Even applying a lower ARR multiple, Base44 alone could be worth close to $WIX's current market cap by the end of this year. That’s where the mispricing is, and that’s why I’m accumulating shares. It’s not about Wix or Base44 being clear leaders in their segments, it’s about the market misunderstanding the assets tied to the stock. The downside seems limited, and $WIX is taking advantage of the current SaaS selloff to accelerate buybacks. I’ve removed the paywall from my Deep Dive, published about two weeks ago. You can read it here: 🔗 mvcinvesting.substack.com/p/my-next-big-… NFA.

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