Bardy🧢

My personal top 3 chases going into Vendetta 👀 Gonna try to sneak in armpit Shen as well when no one is looking

@TheFabraxxx Was this set 12? Fun times

I hope we have something similar to this in this set

@Deswiffer It’s crazy because they have been in a bubble for what feels like multiple years now. Would be hilarious if I got into Riftbound just as TCGs all explode and capital rotates out.

@BardyGG TCG are probably in a bubble rn. The 30th Pokémon anniversary is probably the final deadline before it bursts imo, so I wouldn't worry too much if I were you.

It feels like there is this massive capital rotation heading into riftbound and it is absolutely bonkers I feel like the most sidelined person ever and have no idea what to buy, it’s all happening so fast

@Angelict0p This is not the algo change I was looking for @nikitabier

one time I came in 4 minutes because I was sucking a guys dick. I wasnt touching myself. I think about that a lot

@vanngoc125 🤢🤮 Might just open all the packs, F it

@BardyGG fyi GGEZ is not guaranteed in a sealed kit

I have a question for my Riftbound friends: I -know- this is a complete box but the seal was broken by the owners before I bought it. Do you think it is +EV to open all 48 packs when the seal has been broken? I think it is pretty likely for the GG EZ Teemo to be in the box since the packs have not been tampered with, but I also think that these packs will go for over $200 each someday.

@KingZaxby I tried searching wave 2 packs but it seems impossible to search. Not sure how people search it even with the flashlight trick.

@BardyGG These can be searched btw, even if not searched its only a 45% chance of pulling at least 1. At current prices it is quite negative EV assuming getting a ggez psa 10 is also not guaranteed

@0xDecR I tried looking in the packs with a powerful flashlight but wave 2 packs seem impossible. Maybe I am just not trying hard enough? I think they said wave 1 packs might be searchable but not sure.

@BardyGG It might be but I think people have been trying to use a flashlight to see the insides. Packs are increasing in price and I’m sure someone will be degen enough to buy single packs. (Keep sealed imo)

@DannyGoldD This is what I’m thinking man. UGH. SO TEMPTING

@BardyGG Here’s a photo of an unlucky sealed box. Rune rate was 50%. No Teemo. Pulling a Teemo would be pretty awesome, but you have 60% chance to hit. If you’re lucky and hit early then you have extra packs. Let’s GGEZ Gamble.

@Mau_AGC OMFG

@BardyGG I believe highest sale for this is 17k atm

Bruh Look at this. BGS 10 black label at a $11350 bid for a second set Signature Vayne. BRO Screw NFTs LOOOOL where have I been all this time? It’s time to buy some cardboard. NFTs, YOU WILL NOT BE MISSED

@_max94_ That’s the problem, the seal was broken but I know it’s an authentic, untampered box!! But collectors can’t be sure if it has not been tampered with since the seal was broken.

@BardyGG Teemo drop rate is 1:80. One sealed Nexus Night Kit can contain 0, 1 or 2 Nexus Night Kits. I think only sealed Kits will trade at premium.

It would be one thing if the packs were randomly assorted from online purchases via tcg player/card market, but in this case it is just an open box with all 48 packs. But even if I pull the teemo, there is a chance that it is not a PSA 10 🫠

@CollectStrategy I can understand the abundance of interest in Ahri, Vayne, Kai’sa, Irelia, etc., since they have some of the best art in the game. But yes, having to open 8640 packs or 720 boxes on average to see ONE signature is no joke. The pricing to me doesn’t make much sense.

@BardyGG Great post! I like to frame things as "1/720 boxes" or "1/8640 packs" to get a specific signature. Doing so really puts things into perspective on exactly how hard it is to pull vs other TCGs that only have 1-3 highest tier rarity cards per set.

Alright, exciting news (not really). Took my first foray into buying on TCG player and I bought what I felt was a really undervalued Near Mint Riftbound Signature at $240. I am just getting my feet wet before any real degeneracy begins. The best part is that I am buying from a completely new seller that has 0 feedback. How bad can it get? 😂 Anyway, my reasoning is this basically: There are probably, on average, 200,000 - 300,000 cases per set. Let’s just say 200,000 for now. Which would mean 1,200,000 boxes total per set. Assuming everything is evenly distributed or close to it, and assuming it takes on average 30 boxes to hit a signature card, that means the population of each signature in a set is 1,200,000 divided by 30 = 40,000 total signatures, divided by 12 = 3333 supply per signature in the set. Assuming the odds of hitting a signature is 1 out of 30 boxes, that means that, on average, roughly $3600 of MSRP value in sealed product was taken off the market forever in order to produce this signature. While this legend is not as coveted as the other League of Legends characters, I think the downside risk is super small relative to the potential upside when this card is finally out of print. I am praying that this card is in excellent condition by the time I decide to try and ship it to PSA. I think the League of Legends IP is here to stay and Riot Games is just way too good at making games, so I am feeling great about this purchase. So far in my collection: Few sealed boxes of every set, 48 Nexus Night Origins packs (broken seal but has all original packs), and now an Ivern signature whenever it finally arrives 😂.

His thought process is very similar to my own. I did my own independent research on signatures prior to seeing this video, but it’s cool to see that there are other people thinking the same thing and executing on it. My only gripe is that we have zero access to confirmed total cases/signatures of a set,we’re just ballparking it, but it is what it is. 🫠

@BardyGG While its a great read, @CollectStrategy ran some of the same numbers a few days ago. youtube.com/watch?v=PwqkNz…

🚩 my Riftbound red flags 🚩 - buys singles before reading the card - owns “display copies” - owns “investment copies” - owns “lickable copies” - has an armpit signature card as their phone wallpaper - defends the armpit signature placement like it’s a Renaissance masterpiece - opened six boxes and still wants one more ( Riftbound Edition - Stolen )

@RunesAndRift Zed looks SO INSANELY COOL 🤯🤯🤯 insane aura I think my order of preference is: 1. Zed 2. Akali 3. Kennen And even though he’s got his armpits out in full view, will almost certainly buy Shen.

All 9 Overnumbered Legends from #RBVendetta have now been revealed! 🔥 Which is your chase card for Set 4?