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@BigOlThommo The only thing it means is that the bookmakers book is not balanced

🚨THOMMO’S LOCK OF THE WEEK🚨 If $1 was on the ground, would you pick it up? Dogs win.

@Microinteracti1 From France with ❤️

Secretary-General @antonioguterres, Your Excellency, On 1 April 2026, during a White House address on “Operation Epic Fury,” President Donald J. Trump publicly declared that the United States had achieved or was “nearing completion” of its core military objectives against Iran, including the destruction of Iran’s nuclear capabilities, ballistic missile arsenal and production facilities, navy, and related infrastructure. Yet in the same statements he explicitly threatened to “hit [Iran] extremely hard over the next two to three weeks,” to “bring them back to the Stone Age, where they belong,” and to strike “each and every one of their electric generating plants … very hard and probably simultaneously.” These declarations are not protected political speech. They are direct, public evidence of "mens rea" for the commission of war crimes under customary international humanitarian law and the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. They must be condemned immediately and without reservation. The following substantiates this assertion: 1- The speaker's own admissions that military objectives have already been achieved or are “on track … shortly” negate any claim of continuing military necessity. Further attacks would therefore violate the fundamental principle that force may be used only when required by a definite military advantage at the time of the attack (Additional Protocol I, Art. 52(2); customary IHL). 2- The explicit threat to “bomb Iran back to the Stone Age” and to destroy electric generating plants, objects indispensable to civilian survival, constitutes a prohibited act or threat of violence whose primary purpose is to spread terror among the civilian population (Additional Protocol I, Art. 51(2); Rome Statute Art. 8(2)(b)(i) and (ii)). 3- The statements demonstrate a "priori intent" to launch disproportionate and indiscriminate attacks, knowing that massive civilian harm would be clearly excessive in relation to any residual military advantage (Rome Statute Art. 8(2)(b)(iv)). 4- Under the doctrine of superior command responsibility, president Donald J. Trump and Secretary of War Peter Brian Hegseth would be personally liable for any war crimes that follow. Their own words remove any defense of ignorance or lawful necessity. These declarations will one day be Exhibit A in any future international or national criminal proceeding. The United Nations was founded precisely to prevent such threats to international peace and security and to uphold the rule of international humanitarian law. Silence or equivocation in the face of these public threats would undermine the credibility of the entire multilateral system. You are therefore called upon you, Mr. Secretary-General, and upon the authorities copied above, to: - Immediately and publicly condemn these threats as violations of the Geneva Conventions and the Rome Statute; - Refer the matter without delay to the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court for preliminary examination; - Convene an urgent meeting of the Security Council to address the imminent risk of further war crimes; - Direct the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights and the ICRC to issue formal legal assessments and monitoring reports; and - Take all other necessary measures under the UN Charter and international law to prevent the threatened crimes and to protect the civilian population of Iran. History will record whether the international community acted with the speed and moral clarity that these circumstances demand. The words spoken on 1 April 2026 are now part of the permanent record. They must not be allowed to become the prelude to atrocity. Cc: - @antonioguterres – UN Secretary-General - @UN – United Nations - @KarimKhanQC – ICC Prosecutor Karim A.A. Khan KC - @UNHumanRights – Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (Volker Türk) - @ICRC – International Committee of the Red Cross - @UN_HRC – UN Human Rights Council

@RelearningEcon @ProfHall1955 Why do you repost something that is so off the mark Mr Hall All of your teachings where about resources and putting them to use for the wider community it's not about a piece of paper

''The great tragedy of the global economic malaise is that it is caused by a shortage of something that is essentially costless to produce: money.'' -Steve Keen

@LiuInTheShadows China is utilizing its platform at the UN to push for an immediate Israeli withdrawal to prevent Lebanon from mirroring the humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip

🚨🚨🚨 THE WORLD IS SPLITTING IN TWO AND MOST PEOPLE HAVEN'T NOTICED YET. China just demanded Israel immediately withdraw from Lebanon. "Lebanon must not become another Gaza." For years, China played it safe on Israel. Trade deals. Quiet diplomacy. No strong positions. That era is over. SIDE 1 — The old order: United States. Israel. NATO. Western Europe. The countries that have controlled global narrative for 80 years. SIDE 2 — The emerging bloc: China. Russia. Iran. The global south. Countries building alternative trade routes, currencies, alliances. Russia is backing Iran. China is now challenging Israel. The US is losing credibility with country after country. China's move is calculated. They didn't say "destroy Israel." They said: Lebanon must not become another Gaza. That sounds reasonable to the whole world. But it's a direct challenge to Israeli military policy. And it forces America to either defend the destruction of Lebanon or look weak. There is no good answer for Washington here. Meanwhile China keeps growing. Keeps building. Keeps making alliances. Every country watching is doing the math. Who do I want to be aligned with going forward? The side that's destroying cities or the side that's saying stop? The world is picking sides. And China just made the loudest move on the board. 🌍

@sportpunter @unbeLIBBAble In any case that is bizarro odds plus/minus 70 don't see that very often

@Barryde @unbeLIBBAble Ahh gotcha. Me bad

Not saying I disagree, but crazy odds for a round 4 match. 70.5 point head start for the Dons

@sportpunter @unbeLIBBAble Think he's talking about the round four coming up this weekend sportsbets has 70.5 as the line

@unbeLIBBAble At what stage of the match was that? Because the line was 14.5 before the match started

@Mozzilar @AntonyGreenElec You could explore multi-member electorates that take away some of the issues that you're talking about but there's always a trade-off between there is no perfect system there is no ultimate outcome that will please everybody

@AntonyGreenElec Do you think Australia should still use the preferential system @AntonyGreenElec? Are there any other major western societies that use this?

Amazing to go from fourth place to victory under preferential voting. That looks like the feat achieved by Independent Lou Nicholson in the Victor Harbor based seat Finniss at the South Australian election. I'll add a link to the tweet in a response.

"Give poor people cash and they'll stop working." 115 RCTs tested that claim. The answer: no. Across 72 programs in low- and middle-income countries, unconditional cash transfers show zero evidence of labor supply disincentives. The dependency narrative doesn't survive the data.

The IDF said they would never commit such a heinous crime,

@wbmosler In a nutshell we Japan have about eight months of reserves of petroleum ,

Dear Ken, message me for a briefing on monetary operations, thanks.

@AntonyGreenElec antonygreen.com.au/sa2026-updatin…

@AntonyGreenElec Go-to blog 🫱 antonygreen.com.au

Liberal Josh Teague retains Heysen, his party's fifth seat and guaranteeing the Liberals are the largest opposition party and Ashton Hurn will remain Oppositional Leader. Except in the unlikely case of a deal between One Nation and the Independent.

@AntonyGreenElec See the blog antonygreen.com.au

Narungga continues to narrow. One Nation's Chantelle Thomas now only 43 votes ahead of Liberal Tania Stock.

@UntenableDesse1 @SohrabAhmari Maybe, but certainly not from the idf

@SohrabAhmari I'm just curious: Did the Vatican get an intel briefing?

Rome has spoken, the cause is finished.

@sportpunter Extended family, how nice is that

@Barryde ha! I can add more legs if you like?

We just recalibrated our Same Game Multi engine to the nth degree. 2, 5, 10 legs - each has a statis fitted probability correction built from hundreds of thousands of real AFL outcomes. Goals legs in low-scoring games? Flagged. The probs are as clean as they're going to get

@MarkRitchie_II Well it all depends on what sort of trading you are as Tim stout recently said at Brooks trading course, you're either a news trader or a chart trader, you need to decide which one you are, when you are trading.

I made the poor decision of scrolling X on Friday after the close and I have to confess I was about ready to go look for a bunker to hide in. For starters it is no wonder everyone that is on social media scrolling all the time is lacking meaning/purpose and battling anxiety/depression. In regards to the market when I see people calling for 87' style crash and everyone claiming to be an expert on the Strait of Hormuz I start to think the bottom is close. This is also where having a process that is comfortable with higher levels of cash helps you sleep and not worry over weekends like the one we just had. It wouldn't have surprised or bothered me me if the Dow opened +/-2000pts. If you do this long enough you will see some scary stuff, they key is to respect the risk and have a plan to manage it in real time before it gets or feels 'end of the world'.

@matt_fernley At the moment we have 20% drop in supply, even if in our few months that goes to 10% drop in overall supply that is huge, that is a huge problem

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