Beagle

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Beagle

Beagle

@BeagleBitcoin

Your favorite Bitcoiner's favorite Bitcoiner

Katılım Kasım 2023
614 Takip Edilen4.7K Takipçiler
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shaquille o'atmeal
shaquille o'atmeal@crypt0e·
What Matt Walsh is missing the geopolitical chess, especially China and Russia: Walsh is asking "how does this benefit America?" purely through the lens of "freedom for Iran" vs American lives/money. That's the WRONG frame. Nobody serious in the Pentagon is doing this for Iranian freedom. Here's the actual strategic play: 🇷🇺 The Russia Play: • Iran is Russia's #1 weapons supplier for Ukraine — Shahed drones are the backbone of Russia's terror-bombing campaign. Destroying Iran's drone production lines directly degrades Russia's war capability without putting a single American soldier in Ukraine. • If Iran's military infrastructure collapses, Russia loses its most important ally outside of China. The "axis of resistance" (Russia-Iran-North Korea) gets cut in half. • This is a proxy war move against Russia without escalating in Europe. Walsh doesn't see this because he's thinking about Iran in isolation. 🇨🇳 The China Play (the big one): • China buys ~1.5 million barrels/day of sanctioned Iranian oil via their "dark fleet." Neutralizing Iran disrupts China's cheap energy pipeline. • Every barrel China can't get from Iran, they pay MORE for elsewhere — weakening their economy during a critical period of competition with the US. • Taiwan deterrence signal: If the US will strike a sovereign nation without congressional approval and level its military in days, what does Beijing calculate about defending Taiwan? This is a SHOW OF FORCE aimed at the Pacific, not just the Middle East. • Iran is a key node in Belt & Road. Destabilizing it disrupts China's land-route-to-Europe strategy. 🛢️ The Energy Dominance Play: • Walsh says "what does it do for America?" — if Iran's oil goes offline, global prices spike. The US is now the world's #1 oil producer. Higher oil prices = American energy companies print money, American jobs, American GDP. • Simultaneously, Iran's customers (China, India) become MORE dependent on US-aligned energy sources (Gulf states, US LNG). That's leverage. 🔒 The Nuclear Calculus: Walsh caught the contradiction — "nuclear capabilities set back decades" but also "dangerous." He's right that's inconsistent messaging. But the real concern isn't today's centrifuges — it's that Iran was 2-3 weeks from breakout. You don't wait for the gun to be loaded. The nuclear argument isn't about current capability, it's about trajectory. 🗳️ The Political Point: Walsh's strongest argument is actually his last one — the political cost. He's right that if this costs Republicans in '26 and '28, the strategic gains are moot because a Democratic administration would likely reverse course. That's the one thing the war planners genuinely might be underweighting. Bottom line: Walsh is asking a civilian's question ("what's in it for regular Americans?") about a move designed for great power competition with China and Russia. The answer IS there — he's just looking at the wrong chessboard.
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@TheBTCTherapist Everyone gets fired, money printer goes brr, we go to Valhalla
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The ₿itcoin Therapist
The ₿itcoin Therapist@TheBTCTherapist·
“You’ve said, AI could wipe out half of all entry level white collar jobs and spike unemployment to 10 to 20% in the next 1-5 years.” WE ARE SO INCREDIBLY F*CKED x.com/theUMreal/stat…
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@crypt0e probably the best org layoff statement I've seen. most just get the impromptu teams meeting with hr and a couple of weeks of severance. it's going to be a bloodbath over the next few years
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shaquille o'atmeal
shaquille o'atmeal@crypt0e·
How many other companies will do the same with honesty and integrity?
jack@jack

we're making @blocks smaller today. here's my note to the company. #### today we're making one of the hardest decisions in the history of our company: we're reducing our organization by nearly half, from over 10,000 people to just under 6,000. that means over 4,000 of you are being asked to leave or entering into consultation. i'll be straight about what's happening, why, and what it means for everyone. first off, if you're one of the people affected, you'll receive your salary for 20 weeks + 1 week per year of tenure, equity vested through the end of may, 6 months of health care, your corporate devices, and $5,000 to put toward whatever you need to help you in this transition (if you’re outside the U.S. you’ll receive similar support but exact details are going to vary based on local requirements). i want you to know that before anything else. everyone will be notified today, whether you're being asked to leave, entering consultation, or asked to stay. we're not making this decision because we're in trouble. our business is strong. gross profit continues to grow, we continue to serve more and more customers, and profitability is improving. but something has changed. we're already seeing that the intelligence tools we’re creating and using, paired with smaller and flatter teams, are enabling a new way of working which fundamentally changes what it means to build and run a company. and that's accelerating rapidly. i had two options: cut gradually over months or years as this shift plays out, or be honest about where we are and act on it now. i chose the latter. repeated rounds of cuts are destructive to morale, to focus, and to the trust that customers and shareholders place in our ability to lead. i'd rather take a hard, clear action now and build from a position we believe in than manage a slow reduction of people toward the same outcome. a smaller company also gives us the space to grow our business the right way, on our own terms, instead of constantly reacting to market pressures. a decision at this scale carries risk. but so does standing still. we've done a full review to determine the roles and people we require to reliably grow the business from here, and we've pressure-tested those decisions from multiple angles. i accept that we may have gotten some of them wrong, and we've built in flexibility to account for that, and do the right thing for our customers. we're not going to just disappear people from slack and email and pretend they were never here. communication channels will stay open through thursday evening (pacific) so everyone can say goodbye properly, and share whatever you wish. i'll also be hosting a live video session to thank everyone at 3:35pm pacific. i know doing it this way might feel awkward. i'd rather it feel awkward and human than efficient and cold. to those of you leaving…i’m grateful for you, and i’m sorry to put you through this. you built what this company is today. that's a fact that i'll honor forever. this decision is not a reflection of what you contributed. you will be a great contributor to any organization going forward. to those staying…i made this decision, and i'll own it. what i'm asking of you is to build with me. we're going to build this company with intelligence at the core of everything we do. how we work, how we create, how we serve our customers. our customers will feel this shift too, and we're going to help them navigate it: towards a future where they can build their own features directly, composed of our capabilities and served through our interfaces. that's what i'm focused on now. expect a note from me tomorrow. jack

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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@crypt0e I love this dudes videos. I watch them all. Wish there were professors like him when I was in school
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shaquille o'atmeal
shaquille o'atmeal@crypt0e·
"Geo-Strategy Update #5: The Universal Law of Game Theory" by Professor Jiang Xueqin: Professor Jiang Xueqin; Chinese-Canadian educator, historian, and geopolitical theorist based in Beijing. Yale grad (English lit), former UN worker, education reformer in China, and creator of the YouTube channel "Predictive History" where he applies game theory and historical patterns to forecast geopolitical events. He's been called "China's Nostradamus" by some media after his 2024 lecture on Iran accurately predicted Trump's re-election and escalating US-Iran conflict. The Core Thesis The video explains why Christian Zionism dominates American Middle East policy despite seemingly being outgunned financially and militarily by other factions. The "Universal Law of Game Theory" Jiang introduces a formula to explain power dynamics: Power = Mass × Energy × Coordination He uses this to show why Christian Zionists punch above their weight — they may not have the most money or troops (mass/energy), but their coordination is unmatched. The Four Factions He identifies four groups driving Middle East conflict, each with different motivations: 1. Christian Zionists — Religious/eschatological motivation (bringing about end-times prophecy) 2. Zionists — Nationalist motivation (Israeli state interests) 3. Global Financial Elites — Economic motivation (petrodollar, financialization) 4. The American Empire — Imperial motivation (hegemony, regional control) The Road to the Mountaintop Metaphor Jiang explains these factions as groups trying to build a road to the same mountaintop — they share a common goal (confronting Iran, supporting Israel) but for radically different reasons. Christian Zionists are the dominant force because their religious conviction provides the highest "coordination" factor. Why It Matters Published July 11, 2025, this video is part of his "Geo-Strategy Update" series responding to rapidly escalating US-Iran tensions. Jiang argues understanding who is driving policy and why is essential to predicting outcomes — not just looking at military or economic metrics. ─ TL;DR: Jiang uses a game theory formula (mass × energy × coordination) to explain why a relatively small religious group (Christian Zionists) has outsized influence on US foreign policy, despite competing with much wealthier and more powerful factions. youtu.be/5I2VPYPJJ68?si…
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Beagle
Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@1914ad You’re killing it with the exposés
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
Jane Street deleting everything isn’t giving off innocent vibes
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
We ripped that bear market off like a band aide
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@DavidFBailey Looking back, would you say the hair plugs or the PJ has had the greatest impact?
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David Bailey🇵🇷 $2.0mm/btc is the floor
Just want to say thank you to all the Nakamoto shareholders who have supported us and are riding with us. There can be a lot of noise on Twitter, but today was a key milestone for the company and I could not be more bullish on our year ahead. Onwards and upwards
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Pierre Rochard
Pierre Rochard@BitcoinPierre·
Where is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve audit? @DavidSacks
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
@crypt0e I know that situation well
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Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
Respect to everyone with the stones to buy the drop yesterday. @crypt0e caught the bottom almost perfectly.
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Beagle
Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
At least when Nakamoto blows up Bailey will have a thick head of hair for his LinkedIn headshot
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Adam
Adam@flywatertrader·
@BeagleBitcoin A wise man once told me, “you make your money when you buy”
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Beagle
Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
No longer having fun playing with my bitcoins
Beagle tweet media
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Wicked
Wicked@w_s_bitcoin·
Welp…all bitcoin gains erased since the halving. 🫠
Wicked tweet media
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Beagle
Beagle@BeagleBitcoin·
Bitcoiners are learning in real time why leverage is on the same list as liquor and ladies
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