Beau Dodson

@webberweather @COWeatherguy I'm just saying a more balanced approach is also okay.

@BeauDodson @COWeatherguy Model biases are also state dependent Just because the Euro seasonal runs hot majority of the time doesn’t mean it automatically will run just as hot this year when the base state and initial conditions are different. See 2023 for ex

@webberweather @COWeatherguy It definitely isn't all hype, but 90% of these posts aren't showing all the other data that does not agree with the hot running EC. That's the issue. Now the media has picked up the story.

@BeauDodson @COWeatherguy Also btw, I was talking about folks using said Euro forecast to downplay this El Niño & proclaim that it’s “all hype”. It’s been pretty evident for months that it’s not

The sheer amount of blatant wishcasting I’ve seen on this platform lately that ignorantly downplays this El Niño even existing in the first place is honestly alarming. A lot of people are about to find out the hard way.

@webberweather @COWeatherguy Cherry picking the most extreme solutions.

@COWeatherguy The Euro seasonal truthers are out in full force this year, just conveniently ignoring the fact that model biases are state dependent 🤦‍♂️

@JPHilllllll Dental and eyes. They are part of the human body. Why aren't they included? We know why!

God this is insane. Dental should never have been separated from the rest of health insurance.

@benjamincowen @gkanders Same with meteorologist. Same with climatology. Insert science name here.

Someone could go to school for 4 years and study aerospace engineering, then get a PhD with a dissertation related to orbital mechanics, and some instagram influencer who watched a youtube video will be like "actually that guy is wrong" on a topic related to space travel and people will believe them. I'm not sure how we got here, but I hope we go back to a society where credibility is earned with rigorous training in the associated field, not by a popularity contest.

@Igor__Roik The strongest El Nino ever posts have spread like wildfire. They are ignoring the other data. Now it's gone mainstream. The hype is now off the charts.

O porquê a projeção de El Nino forte, precisa ser levado com muita cautela, após evento de La Nina. Abaixo algumas projeções de El Nino forte que nunca se concretizaram. Exemplos de 2014, 2017, 2021 e 2024 em que as projeções erraram.

The Plains winter #wheat crop has some serious problems. #oatt

@realwxforecast @jason61987 And EC runs hot. Not sure why everyone is only posting that. Other data does not agree with EC.

@jason61987 Exactly, so why is everyone on April 5th going nuts, with it being a super el nino ?? Look no further to 2015-2016. You will know more in September. The sensationalist Hype is beyond now.

Easter Sunday April 5, 2026 Special report: We have to pass the most important July barrier first in the Equatorial Pacific 3.4 region, reaching the four critical thresholds of 1.0 °C, most likely not until late September or early October 2026. However, the current warming of the Pacific Ocean due to the extended marine heatwave turning into an amplified pattern is already causing extremes to our weather in Hawaii and Southern California and Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Florida, and Europe over the last 12 months. We still don’t know how the current marine heat wave will interact with the possible development of Super El Niño and the upcoming eastern Pacific hurricane season. #CAwx #ElNino

@WeatherProf EC runs hot. Let's hope it's wrong.

New El Niño forecast just dropped… and it’s a whopper! Maybe the strongest on record. For real! The European model seasonal forecast just released and it shows record Aug-Oct tropical Pacific sea surface temperature warmth at 2-3°C above normal (~ +5°F) in the central-east Pacific. The record for Aug-Oct is +2.2°C in 2015. Euro hints we surpass this (3.4 region). So what does this mean for #Florida and the South? First, good news: look at the Atlantic, it’s cool-ish relatively speaking. “Relative” matters big time in weather. Odds are this means a pretty quiet hurricane season overall and a lower likelihood of US landfalls. 2nd: next fall and winter may be Very active with rounds of severe weather, tornadoes and heavy rain/ flooding due to an invigorated subtropical jet stream. Central Florida’s largest tornadoes happen in El Niños (1966 and 1998 for example). Lastly, El Niño takes warm water stored deeper in the oceans, brings it to the surface and releases it into Earth’s atmosphere. This gives a big jolt to Global average surface temperatures. 2027 will be the warmest year on record for Earth in the history of modern humans, but even 2026 now has a chance of eclipsing that record by December. #elnino

@SergeZaka @ZaxxonGalaxian Have to watch EC data. Tends to run hot. Hopefully, we avoid the worst case scenario.

Je vais employer un mot fort : alarmant. Vous pouvez me le reprocher (ou m'insulter). Mais je l’assume, car il est justifié. Les prévisions sont alarmantes, oui : nous nous dirigeons vers l’un des (ou le ?) El Niño les plus puissants jamais observés depuis le début des mesures. Comment je justifie l'emploi de ce terme "alarmant" ? ➡️Parce qu’El Niño agit comme un accélérateur ponctuel de chaleur à l’échelle mondiale. ➡️En plus de cela, de nombreux travaux montrent une accélération du réchauffement climatique (depuis 2015). ➡️Et depuis le précédent El-Nino, les températures mondiales semblent décrocher des trajectoires habituelles. On voit sur la carte que, dans la zone clé du Pacifique équatorial (domaine de El-Nino), les anomalies de température de surface de la mer pourraient atteindre +2,5 à +3°C en moyenne. Autrement dit. Comme ça c'est clair : on ajoute une couche de chaleur exceptionnelle sur un climat déjà fortement réchauffé qui ne s'est pas encore remis du dernier El-Nino. Il est donc très probable que les records mondiaux (déjà pulvérisés il y a à peine deux ans) soient de nouveau battus, et largement, dès cette année... Je crois que, pour la plupart, vous ne vous rendez pas compte des conséquences et notamment agricoles, dans un contexte géopolitique extrêmement tendu.

Caribbean hurricanes are getting substantially stronger! That’s the takeaway of a new paper in pre-print. Dr Samantha Hallam, who I interviewed for this story, finds that Caribbean hurricanes - like Melissa in 2024 - have gotten substantially stronger due to warming waters - Caribbean temp rise of 1.5F since 1980. She finds Melissa’s max sustained winds were 40 mph (35 kts) stronger than they would have otherwise been. In other words, if her findings are right, instead of a 190 mph category 5, #Melissa would have been a 150 mph category 4 in the mid 20th century. The difference in damage between those scenarios is huge.

@LandonWX10 EC tends to run hot. See how it goes.

That’s a rocket ship 🚀 big nino coming

A top FEMA official is doubling down on his claims that he teleported to a Waffle House — CNN

"The U.S. Forest Service is closing 57 of its 77 research facilities in 31 states under a reorganization plan announced this week, threatening science that looked at how wildfires, drought, pests and global warming are putting pressure on forests." nytimes.com/2026/04/03/cli…

Do you have an interest in measuring precipitation? We are looking for additional observers! More info and sign up here: weather.gov/pah/CoCoRaHS_V… There is a friendly competition each April to see which state can recruit the most new observers!

@AssalRad We. Just. Want. Healthcare.

But there’s always money for endless wars.

ON THIS DATE IN 1974: The “Super Outbreak” was underway, the most violent tornado outbreak ever recorded, with 30 violent (F4 or F5 rated) tornadoes confirmed. From April 3–4, there were 149 tornadoes confirmed in 13 U.S. states and the Canadian province of Ontario. In the United States, the tornadoes struck Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, and New York. A total of 335 people lost their life, and over 6,000 were injured that horrible night. In Alabama, 86 were killed, and just under 1,000 were injured. The most violent tornado tore through Guin, in Marion County, where 23 lives were lost. It is considered to be one of the most violent ever recorded in the nation. Other communities hard hit included Jasper, Cullman, Tanner, Harvest, Hazel Green, and Huntsville.

The 2027 "President's Budget Request" once again proposes to eliminate NOAA research: #page=13" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl… Worth remembering that Congress has the final say on this and so far has pushed back strongly and kept NOAA intact. But it's demoralizing and frustrating to be fighting a battle for existence every year. The improvements in operational forecasting, which have saved countless lives and billions of dollars, aren't possible without the research and data collection done by OAR and our university partners. Keep calling your representatives and pushing for the importance of all of NOAA, NASA, etc, including research efforts.

@wattsupwiththat Just FYI an EF1 tornado is more than barely a storm.

𝗟𝗼𝘄 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗧𝗼𝗿𝗻𝗮𝗱𝗼 𝗪𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿 𝗙𝗮𝗿𝗺, 𝗖𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗔 𝗣𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗼𝘅𝗶𝗰 𝗗𝘂𝗺𝗽 An EF-1 tornado—barely a strong storm—wiped out a $1 billion solar farm in Indiana, smashing 2.4 million panels into a potential toxic waste site. The coal plant nearby? Completely fine. Talk about a wake-up call for green energy myths. What's the real cost of this fragility? Read the full article: wattsupwiththat.com/2026/04/02/low…

@thefalseeconomy @ProudSocialist Yep. Projection.

@ProudSocialist Rubio's propaganda yesterday: “Imagine if instead of spending billions on weapons, Iran spent that money on its people. They’d have a much different country.”

Holy shit! Trump just admitted the US can’t take care of its people because it’s a military dictatorship: “We can't take care of daycare. We're fighting wars. It's not possible for us to take care of daycare, Medicaid, and Medicare. We have to take care of one thing: Military.”