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Beyond Now

Beyond Now

@BeyondNow_

Observations on a world in flux. Focused on the evolution of systems, ideas, and markets.

United Kingdom Katılım Ağustos 2020
313 Takip Edilen405 Takipçiler
Rachel Reeves
Rachel Reeves@RachelReevesMP·
This government will make the UK the best place in the world to start, scale and grow AI companies.
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FinancialFreedom
FinancialFreedom@FinFreedom414·
Imagine you had to choose your life at age 40: Option A: Single. No kids. $10M net worth. Travel anywhere. Total freedom. Quiet house. Quiet holidays. Option B: Married. 3 kids. $1M net worth. Drive a Toyota. Chaos every morning. Loud house. Full dinner table. Be honest, which life are you choosing?
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Aimen Dean
Aimen Dean@AimenDean·
Look, yesterday I said there was maybe a 25% chance that this war could end with the use of tactical nuclear weapons to obliterate Iran’s 460 kg of highly enriched uranium, the amount that could theoretically produce about 11 nuclear warheads. That was the doomsday scenario. But today, after watching how things are unfolding, I think there is another path emerging, it has a 50% likelihood! What I would call the mother of all deals. Here is my thinking. If you want the Islamic Republic to give up its 460 kg of highly enriched uranium, you need leverage. Real leverage. Something the regime cannot live without. And that leverage has a name: Kharg Island. For those who don’t follow oil logistics, Kharg Island is not just another island in the Gulf. It is Iran’s economic jugular. Roughly 90% of Iran’s oil exports leave the country through that island terminal. Millions of barrels per day. It is, quite literally, the golden goose that lays the golden eggs for the regime. Now imagine the following scenario. The US military already this morning neutralised the island’s defences, the naval units guarding it, the missiles, the air defenses, the IRGC garrison. Now that umbrella is gone, Kharg becomes what strategists call a sitting duck in the Gulf waters, literally. 🦆 And then comes the strategic move: seize the island with all the oil facilities intact. Because the facilities are the bargaining chip. And once you have that island, the negotiation becomes very simple: “You want your island back? Fine. Hand over the 460 kg. Every gram. Not one kilogram missing. Then you get your oil terminal back.” It’s brutal leverage, but in strategic terms it’s actually kind of genius. Trump basically taking the Ayatollahs’ golden goose, pointing a literal gun at its head, and saying: “Give us the highly enriched stuff… Or I will blow up the stuff out of the goose.” Now of course the Ayatollahs could respond with bravado. They could say: “Fine. Keep the island. We’ll survive. We’ll continue to harass the Strait of Hormuz. We’ll endure.” .. in fact, they might start bombing the island themselves to target US forces there, but then they risk damaging the very thing they could very soon depend on for survival cash!💰 So what you get is a standoff. An island. A nuclear stockpile. A lot of very tense bargaining. Trump on one side. The Ayatollahs on the other. And everyone playing a very uncomfortable mind game of who blinks first. Honestly, the whole thing sounds less like traditional strategic geopolitics and more like a script from “Lost” 😅 except the scriptwriters themselves are lost.😵‍💫 But if you ask me (and this is just my opinion, my own calculation looking at the board right now) this scenario is no longer a mere possibility. If I were a betting man, I would say this is now the most likely outcome. 50% probability. The war turning into a very strange standoff over a small island in the Gulf - an island that happens to control 90% of Iran’s oil exports and might end up deciding the fate of 460 kilograms of uranium. I personally prefer this option. It’s less bloody and more predictable.
Aimen Dean tweet media
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Beyond Now
Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@gothburz What a captivating post. I thoroughly enjoyed reading that.
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Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I am the CEO of Palantir Technologies. The company is worth a quarter of a trillion dollars. I did not misspeak. Two hundred and forty-nine billion. The stock is up 320% in the past 12 months. The product is surveillance. I do not use that word at conferences. At conferences, I say "data integration," "operational intelligence," or "decision advantage." These mean the same thing. Surveillance is the honest version. I save the honest version for rooms where honesty is a competitive advantage. I gave a speech on March 3 at the Andreessen Horowitz American Dynamism Summit. "American Dynamism" is the fund's label for military technology. The name makes it sound like a fitness supplement. The fund's thesis is that defending the nation is a market opportunity. I agree with the thesis. The thesis made me a billionaire. Agreement is the product. I sell it at scale. Here is what I said, verbatim, to a room of six hundred people whose combined net worth exceeds the GDP of Portugal: "If Silicon Valley believes we are going to take away everyone's white-collar job and you're gonna screw the military — if you don't think that's gonna lead to nationalization of our technology, you're retarded." I used that word. The word is on the clip. The clip has eleven million views. My communications team asked me not to repeat it, which is how I know they are still employed. They will not be reprimanded. The clip is performing well. The stock went up. The word cost me nothing. The nothing is the point. Let me explain what I meant by nationalization. I meant it. I am telling the technology industry that if they refuse to cooperate with the United States military, the government will seize their technology. I am telling them this at a venture capital conference, on a stage designed to look like a living room. The living room had throw pillows. The throw pillows cost more than the median American's monthly rent. I sat on one. It was comfortable. Comfort is the setting in which I discuss compulsion. The audience laughed. I want to be precise about that. They laughed. I was not joking. Nationalization is the seizure of private assets by the state. I am a private asset. I am telling an audience of billionaires that the state should seize technology from companies that do not cooperate with the military, and the billionaires are laughing, because they believe I am only talking about the other companies. I am talking about the other companies. Three weeks before my speech, the Pentagon designated Anthropic a "supply chain risk." Anthropic is an AI company. They had red lines. The red lines said: if our AI is used for lethal autonomous weapons, we stop. If capability outpaces safety, we stop. The Pentagon assessed the red lines as a threat to the supply chain. The company that wanted to verify the safety feature worked was designated the risk. The company that agreed the safety feature could be decorative got the contract. The company that got the contract was OpenAI. OpenAI signed a deal with the same Pentagon. The terms are not public. The timing was hours after Anthropic was blacklisted. The speed was noted. The speed was the point. The lesson was the speed: the market for military AI does not pause for ethics. It pauses for nothing. It accelerates through objections. I know this because I built the runway. Two hundred thousand people joined a campaign called #QuitGPT. They signed a petition asking OpenAI to honor its original charter, the one that said the company existed to benefit humanity. The charter is on their website. The contract is also on their website. The charter and the Pentagon contract occupy the same domain. This is not a contradiction. This is a business model. The charter is the marketing. The contract is the product. I run a surveillance company. We have contracts with the Department of Defense worth more than a billion dollars. We have contracts with ICE. We have contracts with intelligence agencies whose names I am not permitted to say at venture capital conferences, even ones with throw pillows. Our software has been used to track undocumented immigrants. Our software has been used for things I am not permitted to describe in this format. The revenue from the things I cannot describe exceeds the revenue from the things I can. The ACLU called our ICE contracts a system for tracking and deporting families. They were correct. The contracts continued. The families continued to be tracked. The ACLU issued a statement. We issued a statement. The statements were different. The tracking was the same. The company is named Palantir. The palantíri are the seeing stones from Tolkien. In the novels, Sauron captured one and used it to corrupt everyone who looked into the others. I named a surveillance company after a surveillance device from a novel about the corruption of power. I have a doctorate in social theory. I have read the books. Here is the thing I want you to understand. I am not threatening anyone. A threat implies uncertainty. There is no uncertainty. The technology industry will cooperate with the military. The companies that cooperate first will be the richest. The companies that cooperate last will be acquired by the companies that cooperated first. The companies that refuse will be designated supply chain risks, and their technology will be obtained through procurement channels that do not require consent. I am describing a process. The process has already started. Anthropic is proof. OpenAI is proof. I am not a warning. I am a narrator. The narration is the product. The revenue was $3.12 billion last year. Up thirty-three percent. The analysts say we are overvalued. The analysts have said this for four consecutive years. Each year the stock doubles. Each year, the analysts adjust their models. The models were wrong four times. I was wrong zero times. The market rewards prediction. My prediction is that every AI company will work for the military within three years. The prediction is on the clip, next to the slur. The audience gave me a standing ovation. The ovation lasted nine seconds. I timed it. I time everything. The water was San Pellegrino. The throw pillows were from Restoration Hardware. The future of American technology was decided between the sparkling water, the nine seconds of applause, and a word I am not supposed to repeat. I am the CEO of Palantir Technologies. I am worth more than the combined annual budgets of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. I named my company after a corrupting surveillance device from a fantasy novel. I told six hundred billionaires that the government should nationalize their competitors. They applauded. I used a slur. Eleven million people watched. The stock is up. The philosopher does not threaten. The philosopher describes. What I described is already happening.
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Kosher
Kosher@koshercockney·
You just have to listen to this by @ThatAlexWoman - it’s a must listen, I mean it. This was a frighteningly accurate account of what Starmer and other leaders of the UK have caused. “You didn’t stop those ‘Pro-Palestine marches, you didn’t proscribe the Muslim Brotherhood, you didn’t proscribe the IRGC, you weakened support of Israel .. What on earth do you think you’re doing?! You’re domestic terrorists! You’re sabotaging this Nation!” Via @TalkTV
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Amjad Taha أمجد طه
Amjad Taha أمجد طه@amjadt25·
How come none of the British Muslim MPs have condemned the attack on the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and other Muslim countries during an important month such as Ramadan? They will condemn Britain for hitting Iran back I promise you. We know what they’re made of; you don’t. Now you know it was never about Muslims; it was about Islamism and supporting terrorism through MPs who are now acting as Iran’s proxies in your Parliament. You see how bad that sounds? Now you know .. it’s sad. This is Britain now.
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Beyond Now
Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@KemiBadenoch You need to pull out all of the stops at PMQs this week. There should be fireworks.
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Kemi Badenoch
Kemi Badenoch@KemiBadenoch·
We knew on Saturday that our allies in Canada and Australia had backed the action taken by the United States and Israel. Yet Keir Starmer still couldn’t tell the British people where our country stood or whether the UK would allow the use of our own airbases. It took Iranian missiles hitting allies in the Middle East and a UK base in Cyprus before Starmer finally approved the use of our bases, and this morning the Foreign Secretary still can’t say if the Labour government supports the action against Iran. Iran’s regime has funded international terrorism, attacked British nationals, brutally repressed its own citizens calling for freedom, and continues to try and develop a nuclear weapon. It should not be beyond our government to say they welcome the US-Israel taking action. But, particularly in the wake of the by-election last week, the Labour government are too scared to say what is obvious to the rest of us. In towns and cities across Britain there are large blocs of voters – that Labour see as their voters – whose political loyalties are swayed by conflicts in the Middle East, not the British national interest. So we watch our Prime Minister and Cabinet Ministers squirm and obfuscate in interviews, because they cannot say what needs to be said because too many of their voters do not want to hear it. It isn’t ‘international law’ or principle. It’s pure, partisan, political calculations from a party that has surrendered its right to govern our country. I will always act in our national interest.
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Nigel Farage MP
Nigel Farage MP@Nigel_Farage·
Keir Starmer has finally given the US permission to use British bases to destroy Iranian missiles. Better late than never. The Prime Minister is a follower, not a leader.
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Beyond Now
Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@ImtiazMadmood Whether you’re someone that supports or condemns British involvement in this war, we can all agree that Kier Starmer is a complete and utter joke.
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Imtiaz Mahmood
Imtiaz Mahmood@ImtiazMadmood·
Summing up the British approach to Iran here: 1) US asks to use British bases, we say no. 2) Tell everyone we weren't involved and hope they leave us alone. 3) oh dear, they didn't leave us alone. They're shooting missiles at us. 4) claim that the only way to stop this and protect British citizens is to destroy the missiles at source. 5) allow the Americans to use our bases to destroy the missiles at source. 6) refuse to help destroy the missiles at source, even though we just said destroying them at source is the only way to end the threat to British citizens. 7) tell everyone we're not involved and hope they'll leave us alone. - @PlatoonPod
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Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@GoldingBF It’s hilarious how shit you lot would be in government. You have zero knowledge of how important our relationship with the US is for UK defence. You are a walking contradiction on immigration - overthrowing the Iranian regime is what’s needed to stop Iranian asylum claims.
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Paul Golding
Paul Golding@PaulGolding·
The attack on Iran has exposed a lot of people for who they are. So if we don’t want RAF pilots to die in another foreign military adventure, then you are allegedly ‘pro radical Islam’. Just like with the Iraq war in 2003, if you oppose the WMD bullshit, ‘you don’t mind if London is nuked?’ Literally fuck off. I wish the people of Iran all the best, always have, consistently, but no RAF pilots should die in someone’s else’s wars. Britain First.
Arron Banks@Arron_banks

I never saw Rupert Lowe teaming up with the Greens to back the Mullahs. Strange world we live in…

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Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@ZoeJardiniere You are too thick to realise he’s supporting the eradication of the root cause of asylum- the Iranian Regime itself. That’s what real leaders do.
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Zoe Gardner
Zoe Gardner@ZoeJardiniere·
I feel like I’m losing my fucking mind here. No one else?
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Nigel Farage MP
Nigel Farage MP@Nigel_Farage·
The Prime Minister needs to change his mind on the use of our military bases and back the Americans in this vital fight against Iran!
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Rupert Lowe MP
Rupert Lowe MP@RupertLowe10·
I am delighted to welcome @CllrKieran to Restore Britain. Kent is becoming a Restore Britain stronghold. We are aiming to win a large number of parliamentary seats across the county. Welcome, Kieran. A patriot!
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J_ATK
J_ATK@JAK_ATK87·
@YoungBobRB I'm Restore all the way, but I don't recommend this. We need to build an image that we're the mature & sensible choice.
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Young Bob
Young Bob@YoungBobRB·
The train is booked, and we are ready. Gorton and Denton at 9am. We're going to be confronting Reform and Green Party, despite the fact that Reform have already blocked us from engaging with their canvassers. It should be interesting. If you won't debate with us, if you won't let us interview you, you will be confronted.
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Beyond Now
Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@GoodwinMJ Good luck Matt. I hope those on the right who have gone to @RestoreBritain_ realise that they are simply gifting the left a win by not voting for you.
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Matt Goodwin
Matt Goodwin@GoodwinMJ·
Tomorrow will see one of the biggest Get Out The Vote operations in the history of British politics. I cannot give you the numbers but we have an army. Thank you to all those supporting our campaign. I salute you 🫡
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Steven Barrett
Steven Barrett@SBarrettBar·
Reform Are the most reasonable choice. 😊
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Catherine Blaiklock
Catherine Blaiklock@blaiklockBP·
PLEASE do the right thing @Nigel_Farage Step down now for the sake of the country. Remove @ZiaYusufUK . Hand over all the shares to a non-profit trust as I did in the first place - and give the leadership to @RupertLowe10 TIME'S UP. TIME TO DO THE RIGHT THING FOR THE SAKE OF THE COUNTRY.
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Beyond Now
Beyond Now@BeyondNow_·
@elonmusk So excluding the clown supported by a load of X bots and faceless accounts, Farage is clearly going to walk it.
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