Chad Bommer
132 posts


@PartPhil @HormuzLetter Separate the military from politics. There was a plan and the US had anticipated the closure of the Straits of Hormuz. Trump deviated from the plan. Now he’s paying the price for that deviation.
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BREAKING: Iran directly rejects Trump's new claim of a deal being signed tomorrow, saying the insistence on signing the deal on specifically Sunday is engineered around his own birthday, calling it a "propaganda event" that Trump is trying to turn into a unilateral "symbolic occasion" for himself, along with his UFC White House event, per Fars.
The Iranian negotiating team says it "will not permit such a media and ceremonial manoeuvre," explicitly stating that the memorandum of understanding has not been finalized and no signing will happen.
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Chad Bommer retweetledi

@SantiagoAuFund @barnes_law The biggest power of the oppressor is omission.
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@barnes_law If the women are fake then why did the Iranian judiciary say they are only facing jail time and not death?
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@jax_pep7827 @TFL1728 I'm not claiming to know anything, just watching and trying to prepare for the future. You guys and gals on a keyboard who swear you know whats going on is dumb. Egos are out of control... Campaigning so hard for your side.
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@imjeddi @ChuckRichter70 Sports fans suck in general. Grown men wearing a another man's name on his back is not masculine.
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Chad Bommer retweetledi

It's not just workers in the United States, though — people around the world feel anxious about their job security. 😐️
yhoo.it/40XFW6n

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@tmaxftw @DerekAr26402107 @TFL1728 You don't think we are about to have a sovereign debt crisis? 10 Year yield is jumping again today, seems like some entity, which I assume is the Federal Reserve comes in a smashes the yields down. IMHO, there is no difference in Bank of Japan, ECB, and Fed, same families money
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Until you realize that there is more than one “Iran” you will find slop like this from a guy who is supposed to understand these things compelling.
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen
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@DerekAr26402107 @TFL1728 Gold has done well. USD and bonds are stable. Canada continues to self-implode. I would move if I were you.
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Nicotine is a molecular sleight of hand: it is a botanical pesticide that mimics the brain's internal signaling to create a 'borrowed' alertness.
For the healthy mind, using nicotine is not an upgrade; it is a homeostatic debt.
You are simply paying a high tax—in the form of vasoconstriction and neuro-dependency—to temporarily lease a level of cognitive clarity that your biology already provides for free.
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Nicotine wasn't designed by nature to be a brain booster; it was evolved by the tobacco plant as a potent insecticide.
For Insects: It acts as a rapid neurotoxin. It binds to nicotinic acetylcholine receptors, causing the insect's nervous system to over-fire until it suffers from paralysis and death.
For Mammals: While we are significantly larger, the mechanism is the same. In humans, instead of instant paralysis, it creates a stress-response loop. It mimics the neurotransmitter acetylcholine, "hijacking" the receptors that govern focus and reward.
Paul Saladino, MD@paulsaladinomd
"Nicotine is very unlikely to help the cognitive function of someone who is functioning at their normal capacity." -Dr. Paul Newhouse, Vanderbilt scientist who has spent 30 years researching nicotine. (PMID: 22232050) You've been lied to about nicotine to get you addicted.
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Chad Bommer retweetledi

@MAGAMicki @TrumpWarRoom @SecretaryBurgum @POTUS You think a religious war is ending quickly? I have a bridge to sell you...
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@TrumpWarRoom @SecretaryBurgum @POTUS We lived through Bidenomics. We can live through a TEMPORARY price increase in gas.
Get a grip and look at the big picture ‼️🇺🇲
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.@SecretaryBurgum: "As @POTUS says, this price increase is going to be temporary, and it’s a small price to pay for the idea that we’re going to get rid of the terrorist regime that has been holding the world economy hostage for 47 years with the threat of closing the Strait."
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@BrianRoemmele @HealthRanger Brian, any advice for a 10-20 person construction company? Im very interested in creating a pathway for the youth to learn construction/building skills.
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@HealthRanger Mike, you get it man. It is hard to know what we know.
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WE ARE DOING AI THE WRONG WAY.
Guess what?
How many folks from the US have contacted me with a very serious desire to build a Zero-Human Company?
127
Now guess how many from China?
5921 (today it may nearly double)
The requests from China are very detailed and very well informed.
The requests from the US many are “prove it”.
The requests from China include some of the largest AI companies.
The requests from the US have none.
This keeps me up at night for many reasons.
WE ARE DOING AI THE WRONG WAY.
H E L P!
Brian Roemmele@BrianRoemmele
The “experts” on AI in the US have not a clue what using grandpa’s monetization SAAS licensing of AI will do to the US long term stability. All US AI companies must build a large and dedicated ecosystem and open source AI models. These tools like “Claws” tied to open source AI are being used 100x more in China and soon they will pull 1000s of US developers away from the old SAAS model to full open source. I want to be wrong about this.
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@ArmstrongEcon Have you been right about anything about this yet?
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@SDilemma51631 @TalkinBaseball_ What else could it mean? How slow are you?
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@Eddie010170 @TheHerd @colincowherd Lol ofc you are an astros fan. Fucking freak, have fun watching the dodgers dynasty hahahaha. Eat shit
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"The Dodgers are winning a lot and everybody is almost entirely happier, 3 times more happy than 3 years ago... What hurts baseball is the A's, the Marlins, the White Sox, the cruddy Cardinals, & the Pirates."
@colincowherd argues the Dodgers are saving baseball, not ruining it
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@backupjac @Eyalo365 We swallow greedily any lie that flatters us, but we sip only little by little at a truth we find bitter.
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Iran launched approximately:
- Day 1 (Feb 28): ~350 ballistic missiles (major barrages across Israel, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar).
- Day 2: ~175 (reduced due to Israeli strikes).
- Day 3: ~120 (further decline).
- Day 4: ~50 (low dozens amid degraded capabilities).
(Estimates from IDF, UAE MoD, open intelligence; rapid drop after initial peak.)
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@stacybarnes282 @shanaka86 Trump just made US Taxpayers the insurance policy...
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@shanaka86 You’ve completely ignored the other half of the campaign. Iran’s naval forces have been sunk, and Trump just overrode Lloyd’s of London by providing shipping insurance and US naval escorts through the Straight of Hormuz. Your info is selective or already outdated.
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BREAKING: The United States has confirmed B-52 Stratofortress bombers are now striking Iran.
Understand what this means by understanding the sequence.
On February 28, the US sent B-2 Spirits. The B-2 is a stealth bomber. It costs $2.1 billion per aircraft. The US has 20 of them. You send B-2s when the enemy’s air defences are intact and you need to penetrate undetected. Four B-2s dropped 160,000 pounds of bunker-busting ordnance on hardened underground facilities in the opening wave.
On March 2, the US sent B-1 Lancers. The B-1 is a supersonic bomber. Faster than the B-2 but not stealth. You send B-1s when air defences have been degraded enough that speed, not invisibility, is sufficient to survive. The B-1s conducted the deepest raids into Iran since 2003.
On March 3, the US sent B-52s. The B-52 is a 70-year-old subsonic aircraft. It is not stealth. It is not fast. It has a radar cross-section the size of a barn. It flies at 650 miles per hour at 50,000 feet and it is visible to every radar system on earth.
You send B-52s when there is nothing left to shoot them down.
That is the sequence. B-2 when defences are lethal. B-1 when defences are degraded. B-52 when defences are gone. The US Air Force just told you, through aircraft selection alone, that Iran’s integrated air defence network no longer exists as a functional system.
The B-52 carries 70,000 pounds of ordnance per sortie. It can launch cruise missiles from standoff range without entering defended airspace at all. The US has 76 of them versus 20 B-2s. Deploying B-52s quadruples the available bomber strike capacity, and each aircraft can deliver more payload per sortie than any other platform in the inventory.
1,700 targets struck. 300 new sites added in the latest wave. $779 million in ordnance expended on the first day alone. Six American service members killed. Eleven aircraft lost. The campaign is intensifying, not tapering.
Here is where this connects to every post I have written today.
The B-52 deployment proves the conventional campaign is succeeding. Iran’s air defences are neutralised. Its underground facilities are being collapsed. Its missile production is being destroyed. Its leadership is being eliminated.
And the Strait of Hormuz is still closed.
Because the B-52 cannot sink a mine. It cannot intercept a Shahed drone launched from a fishing boat. It cannot neutralise an anti-ship missile on a mobile coastal launcher. It cannot stop a proxy in Yemen from firing at a tanker in the Red Sea. The asymmetric threat that closes shipping lanes operates beneath the altitude where strategic bombers are relevant.
The US is winning the war it chose to fight. It is not winning the war the insurance market cares about. The B-52 is the most powerful expression of that gap.
70,000 pounds of ordnance per sortie. And Lloyd’s of London still will not write a policy for a tanker transiting Hormuz.
That is the thesis. In one sentence.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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