Chevron Executive (Parody)
4.6K posts

Chevron Executive (Parody)
@ChevExec
Chevron executive parody account. Making my volumes the safe, clean, and responsible way. Reppin mid-con, we got it goin on, yeah we number 1.






CHINA DEMAND IEA report estimates that China demand dropped 1.6mbd YoY in May. Of thouse gasoline is down only 170kbd (but it was projected to drop 120kbd in the baseline pre-war 2026 demand forecast), diesel @ -330kbd vs projected growth of 45pbd. Jet was down 100kbd vs 46kbd projected growth. Pre-war they had 2025 and 2026 demand growth of roughly 200kbd, so this means 1.8mbd from baseline. With crude imports drop around 4mbd (vs average of 2025) and refinerly run cuts of 2.5mbd this implies circa 1.5-2mbd between pause in crude stockpiling (1mbd?) and crude draws (another 0.5mbd). And another 0.7mbd product draws. I am assuming above that local production growth YoY roughly matches the pre-war baseline demand growth (in reality it was slightly smaller, but within 100kbd). Then part of the 1.8mbd demand drop - which is mainly concentrated in petchem - is a mix of pause in petchem product stockpiling and petchem products stock draws; ultimately in steady state at least petchem stock draws should reverse. Overall, it seems to me that Chinese demand drop is much less dramatic, then is often portrayed - most of the adjustment were indeed stockpiling pause and stock draws, but since they were spread between visible and invisible crude storage, product storage (less observable) and petchem product storage (methodologically does not feed oil stock draws, as those are 1 step down the production chain) each component was either not that big or not visible. @Rory_Johnston , @OilCfd

Crude Oil only has 43 days of supply left in the U.S., the lowest inventory in 45 years 🚨 🚨


















