ClaireBear🐻

award-nominated comic i made about a closeted trans girl suffering through the era of 2000s internet (1/4)

🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍⚧️ Transphobes love circulating this graphic claiming "trans women are more likely to commit sexual offenses." We've all seen it, many times over. It's a favorite in their rotation. However, it's not just misleading; it's statistically incoherent. First: The entire claim about "males identifying as women" is based on 56 people total. Converting tiny counts like that into "per million" rates massively inflates volatility. A handful of cases up or down would radically change the numbers. Any competent statistician would flag this as unusable. Second: This category does not actually measure trans women. It relies on prison administrative labels like "male, identifies as female," often assigned after arrest. That includes people with no social, legal, or medical transition, and sometimes people claiming an identity post-incarceration. That is not population data. Third: Prison data does not equal offending rates. Prison populations reflect policing, charging, plea deals, sentencing, and institutional bias. Not how crime occurs in society. Using incarceration data as a proxy for prevalence is a basic category error. Fourth: This graphic commits a classic Base-Rate Fallacy. Comparing 25 million women, 23.5 million men, and 47,000 individuals classified as trans on the same per-million scale introduces distortion. Rare events become more pronounced when scaled; large populations smooth out variation. This is why real research uses Confidence Intervals, which are conspicuously absent here. Fifth: The categories are quietly switched to inflate the results. "Males (including other trans identities)" is used when it lowers the male rate, but "excluding other trans identities" is used when it raises the trans-coded rate. That's analytical laundering, not consistency. Sixth: The visual design itself is propaganda. The dense icon arrays imply mass prevalence while representing rates, not counts, exaggerating a subgroup that amounts to fewer than 60 people. Lastly, even if the numbers were sound (Which they are not), there's no causal mechanism offered. No theory, no explanation, just "hey, look at the numbers." That isn't evidence; it's prejudice dressed up as data. This graphic doesn't show that trans women are dangerous. It shows how small sample sizes, misclassification, post-hoc labelling, and base-rate manipulation can be weaponized to manufacture fear.

@Mistress_Bites This appeared on my for you page!

Can X hurry up and unrestrict my account already what the heck.

mom found the yaoi

@Wrograln @_Choco_torta Kn

@_Choco_torta Why does this show always look like this?

Can someone explain to me how Vox's mentality went from "You eat or you get eaten" to "We could be partners, since we're friends"? #HazbinHotel #Hellaverse #Vincent #Vox

Conditioner... I barely know her

@Dad2Earthlings @TheInsiderPaper Real?

@TheInsiderPaper I heard, he had a secret meeting with space aliens on the dark side of the Moon The rumor also explained, the meeting was to increase the asteroid belt as a natural barrier, so those outer planet can't interfere with us inner planets

BREAKING 🚨 Trump is OK. Will play Golf this morning - Axios

@RapunzelASMR @bigmac_mccarthy Just like therapy!

@RightWingCope The funniest thing is that you know Trump dictated this whole thing while some poor secretary had to type it out

Tfw you ruined your entire term

@boymoderology Eating food is a pretty good way to stop starving

gender dysphoria is not caused by the internet btw telling a dysphoric person to just "start loving themselves" is like telling a starving person to "just eat food"

@SHARKMODER I think they considered that,,,

someone should vandalize this

@egirlbl00dsport Ive eaten some American snacks and they tasted pretty bad. Hersheys are disgusting, can't believe they're considered good over there

this is grotesque amerikkkan $lopaganda and im not falling for it

How tf did my headcannon get here

@SHARKMODER Grindr is discriminating against trans women. I can no longer filter for women or non-binary people. So no more t4t. And I had an acount banned for no reason too d:

oh thank god

My gf is doing this to me tomorrow 😵‍💫

@Noahpinion Terrible Take. This "practice" is mainly done in qualitative articles, where the researcher interprets the meaning in interviews. Therefore, its important to know who the researcher is.

This practice is anti-science and should be eliminated

@girlwell_ Your writing style more than makes up for it 🥰

@ClairePsych2 not really an emoji girl..

give topics for me to do tier lists on!!!

@girlwell_ You hate so many emojis! 🤤 does not belong anywhere near 🥰 But 😵‍💫 is pretty goated