the conviction queen 👸

👀

$NBIS

I’m wondering what K3 says about Meta’s open weight vs closed weight efforts. What’s the implication?

@quxiaoyin @thinkymachines @AnthropicAI Why wouldn’t Palantir just be the Palantir FDE for enterprise custom models, using open weight models?

My bet: @thinkymachines will soon make more money than @AnthropicAI. Not by winning the race to build one standardized frontier model. By becoming the Palantir FDE for enterprise custom models. The playbook: 1. Release the best American open-weight model. 2. Drive widespread enterprise adoption. 3. Charge the largest companies 7–9 figures to post-train and run custom models behind their own firewall. The model rests on three bets: 1. Large enterprises will increasingly demand their own models with their own data, and this is how they differentiate and win. 2. Enterprises won’t need just one model. They’ll continuously need new models for different workflows, departments, and proprietary datasets. That creates extremely sticky, recurring revenue. 3. Autoresearch will make custom model development increasingly scalable. Tinker can become the interface enterprises use to post-train their own models—with @thinkymachines providing the expertise and infrastructure behind it. FDE, infra, everything, huge contracts. 4. Eventually, maybe everyone wants their OWN model, and autoresearch and training inside tinker on top of @thinkymachines's base model will make it happen. Meanwhile, Henry-ford-styled, standardized models will makes no margins. OpenAI and Anthropic will have their API margins squeezed by Deepseek/GLM/Grok/Meta etc, and their consumer subscriptions are loss centers. The fat margin will move to customization: proprietary data, post-training, evals, deployment, and infrastructure. If this thesis is right, @thinkymachines isn’t building just another frontier lab. It’s building the highest-value layer between frontier research and enterprise model ownership. Turns out, the best business model for enterprise is NOT to sell commodity API access. Sell them their own models. I’m extremely bullish on this approach. @miramurati may be the most commercially savvy frontier-lab leader. I have to admit it.

On my radar this week: $NBIS - adding to my position every time the stock drops by 5% $HYPE - looking for a good entry point to start my position Researching: $ENHA $ONDS

Conveniently timed right before midterms…

$NBIS $ONDS What else is on sale today?

Bottom line: love the tech and the strategic piece, but the market is going to keep punishing for high dilution and lack of profitability

Challenged on the following fronts: 1. path to profitability is still uncertain 2. equity funding creates dilution for shareholders $OUST just tapped the market for ~$200M at a discount, on top of a long history of share issuance

been following $OUST and sharing some thoughts below 👇

@bunnykeeper520 @optionscjp FUD 😂

@ConvictionQueen @optionscjp lol 13 - 15 was your entry ? How do you missed that ?

$HIMS massive catalyst next week. Im fully out of $HIMS at the moment sold between $32 and $37 after loading up 12k shares between $17 and $22 My thesis is that even if we get good news and it pumps It will be a sell the news over the next few months as the market starts moving money to other stocks after realizing that - wont be any peptide revenue for atleast a year - gonna be a ton of R&D - Gonna be a ton of competitors Overall bullish $HIMS - but short term cautious as its double Maybe im wrong and it just rockets to $100. Who knows

My honest advice. If you have conviction and cash, buy the dip. If you need cash for anything else short/mid term, do not invest. Do not trade in this market. It's volatile but going down more than it goes up. Maybe a few will win some trades, but majority will not. Not doing anything is also a strategy. For investing, your stomach matters more than your brain.

@MikeTheTrader Do you think of Enhanced as a telehealth name or an emerging sports league?

Two interesting private placements $ENHA $25 million (Co-Founders) $BOT $10 million (CEO) HUGE buying opportunities? 👀🔥

Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs will be clear market top signals.

@Ashton_1nvests 😭

So glad I sold $PYPL …

Thoughts on a good entry price for $SPCX?

@NotA_Bull What’s your thesis on NFLX?

$NFLX reports earnings tomorrow, and I won't be surprised if this thing drops into the $60s. If it does, that'll be a generational buy.

@NotA_Bull Not bad!

Portfolio ended up 0.91% today! 🟢🟢🟢 +$1,284 How did your portfolio perform?