Curtis Sable
5.1K posts


Robotaxi:
1y: +0.1T
2y: +0.4T
3y: +0.9T
4y: +1.6T
5y: +2.5T
Humanoid (Optimus):
1y: +0.05T
2y: +0.2T
3y: +0.7T
4y: +1.3T
5y: +2.2T
Space AI (chips/solar):
1y: +0.1T
2y: +0.3T
3y: +0.5T
4y: +0.8T
5y: +1.2T
Estimates based on Ark/Morgan Stanley ramps, revenue multiples, and execution risks. Highly speculative—depends on regs, scaling, competition.
Español

Tesla isn't currently growing as it's P/E suggests, because it has been working on the launch of 2 revenue streams (now 3) that are magnitudes larger than its current TAM:
1. Robotaxi
2. Humanoid Robots
3. Space AI (chips and solar).
It's P/E reflects a venture bet on three future , currently non-existing cash flow streams that are each vastly larger than the entire auto-industry.
The art of valuing Tesla is to predict the future of these cash flow streams on a quantified timeline and being right about that timeline.
Finance Jack@FinanceJack44
For the $TSLA bulls out there, can you please explain to me why it deserves to trade at 330x earnings? $PLTR I can understand at 226x because it is growing revenue 70% with margin expansion. Tesla has no revenue growth over the past 2 years... I'm genuinely listening here, bring your best stuff.
English
Curtis Sable retweetledi

For those interested, this is the full 10 minute interview with Sophia Salma Khalifa, the Muslim Arab Israeli who exposed the lies of apartheid and so many other lies, and destroys them with elegance, eloquence and grace.
It is one of the best and most inspiring interviews I’ve personally ever seen. A must watch for decent human beings.
Credit: @prageru
Mor Edge Insight@MorEdge_Insight
Muslim Arab Israeli Sophia Salam Khalifa explains the truth of how it started and the ethnic cleansing of the Jews from Gaza in 2005
English

@scrumble_eggs @MeidasTouch I certainly didn’t think Saddam was
English

@CurtisSable @MeidasTouch You probably thought you were the good guys in Iraq too
English

UPDATE: We have removed our previous post, which cited a U.S. official describing the situation to Al Jazeera as a successful rescue. Al Jazeera now reports that a U.S. airman from the downed F-15E has been located following a fierce firefight. However, he remains inside Iran and has not yet been exfiltrated to safety. This remains a developing story.

English

@RepJeffries The world will be a better place post Islamic regime in Iran
English

@scrumble_eggs @MeidasTouch Sure… 47 years of terror from the Islamic regime and the USA are the bad guys. Go fuck yourself
English

@CurtisSable @MeidasTouch The USA is the bad guy in this conflict.
English

@MeidasTouch Great news for America, bad news for the libtards
English

@mrs_edwards605 Cost me $7 to fill up my battery while I slept last night
English

Right now he's the only U.S. based and owned legitimate manufacturer of robots .....only one both categories. Robots are the future and the US govt will have to make us buy most from a us manufacturer for many obvious reasons. I mean if you don't believe robots are the future then don't buy tsla. $tsla cars, robo trucks, batteries etc etc are all just icing on the cake. If tsla fails America is in big trouble, for many reasons. Just my 2 cents....I think I just talked myself into buying more, haha. @grok where am I wrong? Of course you're a little biased, haha.
English

For the $TSLA bulls out there, can you please explain to me why it deserves to trade at 330x earnings?
$PLTR I can understand at 226x because it is growing revenue 70% with margin expansion. Tesla has no revenue growth over the past 2 years...
I'm genuinely listening here, bring your best stuff.
English

@TJTheWheelDeal I think there’s room for nuance. Put off striking the civilian infrastructure while increasing going after regime leadership
English

@PeterSchiff @AmericaFirstCon Don’t commodities go down in a macroeconomic downturn
English

@AmericaFirstCon Things will be so bad in 2032 that I may have to run myself. Given how high gold will likely be by then I should be able to self fund.
English

Vice President JD Vance is reportedly considering not running for President in 2028 because the polls are looking so bad for Republicans and he believes Trump's war in Iran has likely made the race unwinnable. He likely would prefer Secretary of State Marco Rubio to be the John McCain sacrificial lamb to go down to a landslide defeat so he can run as the GOP's savior in 2032 to bring them back from political oblivion.
Chay Bowes@BowesChay
JD Vance’s presidential hopes may be slipping Trump: “If the Iran deal doesn’t happen, I’m blaming JD Vance. If it does, I’m taking full credit.”
English
Curtis Sable retweetledi

HEARTBREAKING 💔
Message From Iran:
"I am an Iranian who lives in Tehran … and I can hear the sound of bombing outside. In case I'm dead tomorrow, I just want you to remember this. Please. Shut the f*ck up and don't use me against America or Israel to try and convince them to stop. We asked for this...
English

@MarkHalperin It would’ve looked awful playing golf while we have a pilot missing
English

The biggest tell of the weekend about what is about to happen is NOT the president's bellicose Truth Social post.
And it is NOT the reports of additional U.S. aircraft possibly on the move to the region.
No, the biggest tell is this: President Trump did not go to Mar-a-Lago this weekend, and he has no public schedule as he stays at the White House.
English

@Harrisbro777 He can announce he’s decided to spare the civilian infrastructure in favor of going after leadership
English

WHAT HAPPENS THE NIGHT HE PULLS THE TRIGGER
Day one. Power grid gone. 90 million Iranians in darkness.
No water pumps. No hospitals. No food storage.
Day two. Kharg Island burns. That's 90% of Iran's oil exports.
TWO MILLION barrels per day vanish from world markets.
Oil hits $150. Then $200.
Every $10 rise in oil costs the global economy $250 billion.
Your gas hits $6. Maybe $8.
Your groceries cost more. Your heating bill explodes.
Iran retaliates. US bases across the region get hit. 40,000 troops.
Houthis shut down the Red Sea. Global shipping collapses.
Saudi oil fields get targeted. AGAIN. Like Abqaiq in 2019.
Gulf desalination plants go dark. UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain.
50 MILLION people without water.
You are not watching a foreign policy dispute.
You are watching the supply chain that runs your life get destroyed.
And you are scrolling past it. 🔴

English

@Pask218337 @alojoh @elonmusk @grok The Chinese have been trying and failing to reverse engineer them, that’s how complicated and difficult it is. Even if Tesla could pull it off it would take way to much time
English

@elonmusk And he’s on to the next dream without completing the previous dream. Where have I heard that before, lol
English

@ericjackson They’re behind in Robb-taxis, energy sales were disappointing, behind in robots and in the long run FSD will be a commodity. Do you pay a subscription for cruise control?
English

TSLA dropped 5.4% on Friday. Here is why the market sold the wrong metric. $TSLA open.substack.com/pub/eventhoriz…

English









