Davide Maria De Luca

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Davide Maria De Luca

Davide Maria De Luca

@DM_Deluca

Journalist based in Ukraine. DM me for comment/assignment. Byline @Domanigiornale @RSIonline. Podcast "Guerra" @Internazionale

Kyiv Katılım Ekim 2011
1.9K Takip Edilen18.1K Takipçiler
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
«If being on the left means prioritizing the consequences for the most vulnerable - whoever and wherever they are - then the merits of any conflict must be weighed against its broader impact. In a globalized world, few wars remain local; their costs are borne by everyone, with the heaviest burden falling on the poorest living in the poorest nations. Both the war in Ukraine and, especially, the one in Iran had been immensely costly for less developed countries. While in Europe people worry about a 20-cent rise in gasoline, in parts of Asia fuel is already being rationed, and people are losing jobs and livelihoods. It is a bitter irony that defending the Third World from imperial aggression often ends up forcing the oppressed to pay the price». (Link in the first comment👇)
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
The Estonian intelligence service has been waging a pretty aggressive information warfare campaign since at least 2022. I'm not qualified to judge whether they're doing a good or a poor job, but it's surprising to see so many people here still taking the bait after four years
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Donato Gagliardi
Donato Gagliardi@gagliadon·
@DM_Deluca based on what exactly are you saying the drones entering NATO airspace are part of an estonian infowar endeavour? spoofing is a real thing that russians are certainly capable of
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Marcello N
Marcello N@LandingMark·
@DM_Deluca As far as I know, jamming a drone doesn't mean you can drive it wherever you want. So yeah, I don't think this posture is fruitful for Estonia.
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
@MarioRossi4201 Mah, Kallas non conta quasi nulla nell'orientamento della politica europea. Secondo me fa danni, ma non perché le sue idee si trasformano in decisioni
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Mario De Crescenzo
Mario De Crescenzo@MarioRossi4201·
@DM_Deluca Avere la Kallas, una che dice che la Russia dovrebbe esplodere in mille staterelli, come rappresentante estero dell'UE è a mio parere folle e pericoloso. Va bene difendere l'Ucraina, ma 400 milioni di persone non possono essere rappresentate da 1.3 milioni su un tema così caldo.
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
@Bartaway Isn't Ukraine showing that you can have a far more reaching mobilization (relatively to Russia, ofc) even in a modern state ?
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A. Bartaway🇺🇦❤️✊✌️
@DM_Deluca While PPP has a say in how Russians have been able to absorb sanctions, more relevant is what people are willing to spend money on. Russia is in as much of a war economy a modern country can probably manage, while the EU might maybe be able to do that in 2036 if they had the will
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
I remember well the crowd of “Russia has the GDP of Spain”, who basically convinced the European leaders that they could win the war in Ukraine while spending a rounding error of their national budget. Maybe we should simply stop comparing nations GDP without trying some kind of PPP adjustment
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Alexander Clarkson 
Alexander Clarkson @APHClarkson·
Sanctions on fruit, veg and other foodstuffs was the first signal that Putin was willing to escalate against Ukraine over Ukrainian agreements with the EU in the summer of 2013
Sam Greene@samagreene

Moscow is dusting off its sanctions-in-all-but-name playbook ahead of Armenia’s crucial 7 June elex, blocking the import of fruit, veg and flowers. This, after Putin mooted a “civilised divorce” if Armenians elect to build closer ties with Europe.

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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
Armies are extremely complex systems, and quantitative analyses based on unreliable data can only go so far in helping us understand how they are performing. Qualitative analysis is fundamental, and reports from the ground point to a more nuanced picture
John Shreffler@johnshreffler0

Morale collapse is the necessary precondition for attrition collapse. This article shows it happening. The Ukrainian army is increasingly full of unwilling busified overage conscripts and is a rapidly wasting asset. The recent Lanchester analysis by @baoshaoshan, @policytensor, and @Peter_Turchin show the view of this from 30,000 feet and @ArmchairW predicted it in his 2024 “dead cat bounce” post (x.com/armchairw/stat…)

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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
@MarioRossi4201 Wow. Non avevo visto cifre così assurde. Avevo visto l’account riportato da gente che non mi sembrava scemissima
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Mario De Crescenzo
Mario De Crescenzo@MarioRossi4201·
@DM_Deluca Le coscrizioni forzate in Ucraina sono un problema serio, ma questo tizio spara cifre a casaccio. Quali sono le fonti di queste perdite ucraine e di questo rapporto di perdita con la Russia? Non mi fido delle fonti ucraine, ma neanche di dati senza nessuna fonte.
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
A couple of examples: AWOL and desertions: the number are impressive until you discover what the soldiers motivations for leaving are (seeing a sick relative, leaving a unit they don't like) and the fact that a majority of soldiers rejoins the army after a while; Busification: is impressive and deeply problematic, but the majority of the 20-30k that join the army each months are mobilized trough regular means. Discipline: the army is still obeying its officer corp, counterattacking or fighting for desperate position when the civilian authority orders to do so for political reason Political stability and legitimacy: the army is the most popular institutions in the country, it's professionaly staffed and the political leadership above it is stable and still widely considered the legitimate authority
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
@PvPmedievalist Ma a un certo punto mi sa che si era deciso che si poteva essere sviluppati anche solo grazie a numerini macroeconomici alti
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Davide Maria De Luca
Davide Maria De Luca@DM_Deluca·
Caso quasi unico tra i paesi sviluppati, Israele ha una giurisprudenza che in certe circostanze consente l'uso della tortura nei confronti dei prigionieri 👇
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Filippo Grandi
Filippo Grandi@FilippoGrandi·
Governments reacted indignantly to Israel’s treatment of flotilla activists and Ben-Gvir’s outrageous display of violence. Good. But Palestinians in Gaza and the W Bank have suffered from violent abuse for decades. This calls for the same indignation, by the same governments.
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Meanwhile in Ukraine
Meanwhile in Ukraine@MeanwhileInUA·
Ukraine may have found a cheap way to give a drone extra range. Let a balloon do the first 42 km. ㅤ Ukrainian troops reportedly tested launching the Ukrainian-American Hornet one-way attack drone from an aerostat. The balloon carried it 42 km and released it from 8 km altitude. ㅤ The drone used only about 5% of its battery before beginning its own flight. ㅤ The trick is simple: the balloon provides distance and altitude, while the drone keeps almost all of its battery for the real mission. If proven at scale, it could push Hornet’s estimated 100–150 km reach by another 1.5 to 2 times. ㅤ This is what Ukrainian defense innovation often looks like: clever ways to stretch what already exists. ㅤ
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