
Der E
4K posts














bitcoin has been in an uptrend since the lows of $16k at yearly open of 2023, it has trended up -> consolidated sideways -> trended up again currently it has been consolidating in a tight range between $58k & $72k for about 3 months I tweeted around the range highs of $71k that I thought decent spot to derisk, reasoning is that market has levels of supply & demand, or resistance and support the last daily candle up when the market peaked in mid march is the main resistance capping the market between $71.3k & $73.3k, its an important level because thats when sellers stepped in & there was more supply there then demand when markets are trading in a range you want to derisk into the range high levels that are established resistance now, im assuming that this range is bullish consolidation & that if we retest range lows (which is likely after testing range highs & failing) that it will hold and eventually push us to higher prices $100k+ but that is an assumption if i am wrong on that idea, it is much more difficult to derisk on a break of support in an established range rather than at the highs, especially because if btc sells off its likely that alts selloff harder i previously thought that majors sideways + memes up would be the trend like last april, but it seems like they are following majors price action as well so, if you have spot positions, you either have opportunity to derisk some with tight invalidations (buy back when weekly closes are above $71.5k, $4100, $200) or hedge short with some positions otherwise if we retest range lows you have no capital to bid & if range lows dont hold youre likely already down 30+% personally i think prices will go much higher end of year and next year, but in hedging past few weeks i am protecting myself against the scenario that I am wrong & also putting myself in a better position to add more risk if people start to panic if we get a bull market pullback of 30% or so on majors we have not yet broken bullish market structure on bitcoin or eth, partially so on solana daily chart as $160 is pretty key level, but if we were to break market structure on bitcoin for first time that would be first warning signal for market as @TraderMercury talked about the other day but if I had to guess I dont think prices go much lower than mid-high $50ks, $2600-$2800, $100-$120



So sad! In the past hour, this whale sold all $ETH, $OP, and $ARB at a loss of ~$8.43M. Sold 6,714 $ETH($19.5M) at $2,903 and lost $6.45M! Sold 428,047 $OP ($1.06M) at $2.48 and lost $902K! Sold 901,685 $ARB ($882K) at $0.98 and lost $1.08M! Address: 0x12199683be663f927fcd0e7ca9b90360613fe206 0xac2184e6954593f9c350180300d182f7580ed561











