@RealAndyLeeShow Great cafe, well have to stop in soon.
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Derek by the Lake
3.2K posts
Derek by the Lake
@DerekButcher12
Airline pilot, father of 3, outdoor fiend. I hike, run, and spell like a 5-year-old. Sky’s the limit, spelling’s not
Katılım Aralık 2020
1.6K Takip Edilen191 Takipçiler
I’m so upset
We were just by cafe landwer this morning
I’m scared to be there now
Imagine being a Jew in Olivia Chow’s Toronto
We were all listening to the news of Jewish cafes being shot up
She’s with the leaders promoting events by Samidoun
A designated terror entity
Leviathan@l3v1at4an
This comes less than 24 hours after she was spotted with the leadership of Palestine House, those who honor fallen Hamas members. Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow hates the Jewish community and rather seen them run out of her city.
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@DerekButcher12 @rupasubramanya @acoyne Bravo. A near perfect example of the idiocy keeping the Liberals in power
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"In virtually every other democratic country, patriotism is the province of the right. Only in Canada has it been the monopoly of the left."
Fine column by @acoyne . How sad and pathetic is that the reaction from some Conservative politicians has been to shoot the messenger, rather than confront parts of the conservative movement that are carrying water for Trump or on board with separatism, both of which are politically toxic.
What does it say about them, and by extension, their leader, Pierre Poilievre, that they'd rather pile on Coyne and this column rather than distance themselves from a part of the conservative movement that will ensure they remain in opposition for the foreseeable future. Stupid as it gets.
Andrew Coyne 🇺🇦🇮🇱🇬🇪🇲🇩@acoyne
My latest, on Canadian conservatives’ patriotism problem theglobeandmail.com/opinion/articl…
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@MPelletierCIO We need to start taking them up on the move part, i’ll take my income somewhere else, my families future is too important.
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This is exactly my point what Marie is saying below. You and I may be able to afford outrageous pricing but what is going to happen to our kids and grandkids?
They can’t afford a home because of massive cost inflation and currency debasement (Canada has printed more money than any other G7 country), they can’t afford to even have kids because of the cost of living. And holidays, forget that.
All of this is very demotivating an entire generation and will have consequences. But hey, call me all kinds of names for pointing this out…having boomers (who have been protected by debasement by owning homes, vacation homes, large stock portfolios etc) tell me to “calm down”, “it’s supply and demand” or “if you don’t like it move”…so selfish and heartless. Have compassion.
Marie Illerbrun@marieill
@MPelletierCIO I agree Martin, just got back from Nelson BC, Lake Louise and Canmore visit. Ourageouly expensive. Could not believe how much we spent. Two places didn't even have a/c and they were 750 night. Beautiful country but Canada is very expensive.
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@KristinRaworth Its the “red tory” faction doing the attacking after PP failed to win.
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I’m nowhere near as engaged as Ben but I come from a family that put all their lifeblood into the conservative movement. My grandfather worked with Lougheed and diefenbaker. My mom worked on the hill. My brother worked for an MP. We are all red Tories. It’s really frustrating and sad to feel kicked out of a party you’ve always supported.
Ben Woodfinden@BenWoodfinden
It is lovely to know that plenty of older Conservatives i respect and thought respected me are telling me I'm not welcome and need to leave politics.
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@nspector4 @nytimes Still one of the best, if not the best columnist in Canada.
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@3rdRateWeirdAl @rupasubramanya @acoyne What hostile foreign power? The one who secures our continent? Our largest trading partner whom we do 80% of our trade with?
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@DerekButcher12 @rupasubramanya @acoyne There’s a hostile foreign power routinely threatening and disrespecting Canada. Easy low hanging fruit. The CPC need only reach out and grab it. They lost the election because they were too stubborn to do it and they’ve only gotten weaker since
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Oh, I will Joseph.
I’m glad you’re a fan of my baseball takes
joseph trimper@joetrimper1
@RobSilver Talk baseball bud.
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Honestly, Anthony; framing like this is just evidence to me that Conservatives don't understand what the last election was about -- nor why they lost it.
Carney was not elected to secure a deal. Carney was elected because a plurality of Canadians thought he was better equipped to handle Trump's volatility than was Pierre.
(Personally, I think Carney is failing in all but optics. But that's just me.)
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We’ve gone from
“we need to vote for Mark Carney because he’s the only guy who can successfully negotiate with Trump”
To
“we shouldn’t negotiate a deal because Trump’s word means nothing”
Convenient!
Bruce Arthur@bruce_arthur
What a bizarre way to think. The vast majority of Canadians understand that Trump is a genuine menace to the country, and is likely to break any deal he makes, because that’s clear as day if you have a grasp of the incredibly obvious reality
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Solid post.
Did a season of forest fire patrol in Northwestern Ontario. The air-attack guys were pretty blunt about it: decades of putting nearly everything out has built up a lot of fuels across the landscape. When the weather finally gets extreme, those fires grow much faster and more intensely than they used to under similar conditions.
Case in point watch a small fire roll Into a pine forest, its like someone dropped a bomb.
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Forest fires follow a power-law distribution for burned area.
This creates a "fat tail", where small fires are common, but rare massive ones contribute disproportionately to totals.
When taking random samples over time (e.g., accumulating records across years), the sample mean burned area tends to increase, sometimes without bound, due to the heavy tails. This is counter-intuitive for most people.
In such distributions the true mean can be infinite or extremely sensitive to extremes, and the sample average converges very slowly (or not at all) to any stable value. Early samples are dominated by numerous small fires (low average), but each new large fire from the tail pulls the cumulative mean sharply upward.
This occurs because longer observation periods inevitably capture rarer, extreme events. As a result, reported averages rise as datasets grow, even if the underlying fire process remains stationary.
This statistical property, rather than just changing conditions, explains the pattern, highlighting why means are unreliable for heavy-tailed phenomena and why risk assessments must emphasize tails instead.
We don't know how big forest fires, floods and other natural phenomena were 1,000 years ago. Our sample set is relatively small, so that's why the mean area burned is increasing every year.
It's not climate change, it's just math.
1/
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Canada’s self-sabotage over the past 10 years:
• Pipelines? Nah. (Energy East, Northern Gateway, killed)
• Oil/LNG deals with Germany/Japan? Nah. (Trudeau: no “business case”)
• Ring of Fire mining? Who needs critical minerals?
Our politicians spent a decade blocking development. Media cheered it. Trump’s playing tough now, but we put ourselves in this weak position by not building. Time to stop the self-sabotage.
#cdnpoli #CanadaEnergy #Pipelines #RingOfFire
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I genuinely appreciate what Donald Trump has done in smoking out those Canadians who love Trumpism more than they like Canada or appreciate being Canadian. I won't forget.
TrendingPolitics.ca@TrendPolCa
"They need us to survive. Without us, there’s no way they can survive." President Trump doubles down on Canada's dependence on the U.S.
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@andrew_leach Ever notice the loudest voices pushing trade war fights are mostly in government, union leaders, or protected sectors? They face little personal downside, at least for now.
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This is exactly the right question: "is any deal safe?" Not "why hasn't Carney signed a deal with Trump?" Nothing Trump has done so far on trade suggests he's a reliable counterparty to a deal.
Justin Wolfers@JustinWolfers
Trump just hit Canada with a new round of 50% tariffs. The immediate effect: higher prices for Americans buying Canadian goods. The bigger story: Trump has now shown that even goods protected by his own trade deal aren’t necessarily protected anymore. What happens when trade agreements stop feeling like agreements? newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/why-trumps-n…
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@RichardDias_CFA @cbcwatcher @jkenney This exactly.
We are being played by our leaders to scapegoat their poor performance. We’re being told to hate Americans, this is not the answer.
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Mr. Kenney, from the beginning of this 'new' government, the trade war has been amplified to distract from what was an objectively horrific economic record and protect the jobs of the folks responsible. It's a strategy as old as time: blame the outsider to obfuscate from piss poor policy.
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We shouldn’t lose our nerve.
We need to be strategic, not tactical; patient, not impulsive.
This latest attack, like all the attacks before it, are designed to flood the zone & destabilize Canada. But in fact the impact on Canada is modest.👇
Rushing into yet more concessions outside the framework of comprehensive negotiations would be to reward belligerence with weakness.
Panicked one-off concessions weaken, rather than strengthen our hand in the negotiations. USTR Jameson Grier has said as much publicly.
The American judiciary has demonstrated that it will not accept frivolous use of tariff powers. Our pro free trade allies in the US will challenge these new tariffs, and there is a high probability they will be struck down.
In just over 100 days, the President’s party will likely lose control of the House of Representatives.
Polls consistently show that a large majority of American voters oppose Trump’s tariffs, because they understand that consumers, not exporters, pay for them in higher prices.
As the midterms approach, the political focus on cost of living will dominate.
Time is on our side.
Richard Dias@RichardDias_CFA
The good folks at National Bank do fantastic work on the Canadian economy. Here's another banger! "While a 50% tariff is severe, it would apply to only ~5% of U.S. imports from Canada. With 85% of Canada-U.S. trade registered under the USMCA over the last year, most imports would remain tariff-free even if these Section 338 levies are implemented. So, despite the jarring 50% figure, Canada's overall tariff rate would rise modestly, from ~5% to just over ~7.5%."
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@PMind7382691 @atBenSmith Of course, thats why his daughter studied and lives in NY, in preparation for the WC. Makes total sense.
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@DerekButcher12 @atBenSmith Carney’s the PM of a WC host country, it’s his responsibility to be there, and to rep Canada! Just as the president of Mexico was there. Trump invited both - Trump & Carney are not actual enemies! See Trump & Obama below for another example!
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This is such an juvenile take.
Our PM should attend big world things.
I’m so sick of my side of the aisle supporting such amateur influencers who don’t understand a good god damn about how the world works.
Melissa 🇨🇦@MelissaLMRogers
CANADIANS - Carney is happily smiling as he travels to the United States for the FIFA World Cup in New Jersey 🇺🇸 This is your message that it’s okay, and actually quite FUN & amazing to travel to the United States. Even your PM is doing it 😅
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@sarbjitkaur1 Yes we brought on over a million Indians because we're racist when in fact only 300k Ukrainians came to escape a war.
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Sorry, did you say 800,000 Ukrainians came? But we're not flooded? The healthcare system not stressed? There's not people yelling every day on the Internet for them to go back? You don't say. Denying racism exists is a conservative core principle.
Dimitris Soudas 🇨🇦⚜️🇬🇷☦️ 13.12.1943@DimitrisSoudas
Throwing around accusations of racism every time someone disagrees with an immigration policy is intellectually lazy. Ukrainians came to Canada under the Canada-Ukraine Authorization for Emergency Travel (CUAET). It was not a refugee program. It was a temporary emergency visa created after a sovereign democracy was invaded by Russia. Over 800,000 applications were approved, and those who arrived were granted temporary status, not permanent residence. Canada has also created special humanitarian pathways for Afghans, Hong Kong residents, Sudanese, Venezuelans and Gazans. Different conflicts have resulted in different programs with different eligibility criteria. That’s immigration policy—not racism. And if your argument is that Canada discriminates against Indians because of race, the facts completely undermine your claim. Indians are Canada’s largest source of permanent immigrants. No other nationality has benefited more from Canada’s immigration system over the past decade. Let’s remember that India is the world’s largest democracy and one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies, not a helpless nation in need of permanent resettlement in Canada. If you’re going to make that claim, bring evidence, not innuendo.
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@jengerson If only we had a leader who was both intelligent but could turn on the inner asshole when needed.
GIF
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Trying to argue facts on wildfires is an absolute waste of time.
They were looking for a reason to retaliate. They found it. They are picking on us because we are the weak. Because relishing in contempt is pleasurable.
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@stphnmaher I know what we can do about it, we can out the blame where it belongs, Pierre!
Am i doing this right?
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I will tell you what we are going to do about it. Nothing. There is nothing we can do.
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@jengerson @globeandmail The most important part though, why is this Pierre’s fault.
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If "operating profit" doesn't subtract amortization costs, then we caved. We're completely pathetic. And if we can't even keep a gd bridge closed, then we might as well pack it in and give the Americans whatever they want. @globeandmail theglobeandmail.com/politics/artic…
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