Derek Reveron

As we start the new PME year, some thoughts on why we do what we do with two colleagues. @NavalInstitute usni.org/magazines/proc…

Thank you @grok AI struggle to predict rocket launch failures, hinting at real-world complexities beyond current modeling capabilities. AI often "hallucinates" facts due to its predictive nature, contrasting with the reliable computational frameworks used since the 1960s.

Despite rigorous modeling and simulation, rockets still fail. What are the real-world complexities or unknowns that make it impossible for even the best simulations and AI to fully predict launch outcomes?

Every military plan and security policy is shot through and though with theorization, and Ike knew it. I've got an article out in Int'l Perspectives on Military Education that elaborates: usmcu.edu/Outreach/Marin…

While the absence of a #cyberPearlHarbor might seem like a failure of cyber threat intelligence, it’s actually a sign that these strategies are preventing catastrophic digital attacks, argues fellow @Kritikaroy_26. bindinghook.com/articles-bindi…

Called to Testify: Congressional Oversight of the Armed Forces via @TXNatSecReview tnsr.org/2025/03/called…

The first article of Volume 8, Issue 2 is here! Read about what Blankshain (@jblankshain), Milonopoulos (@MilonopoulosT), and Reveron (@DerekSReveron) call "Congress’s underappreciated role in exercising civilian control over the armed forces." tnsr.org/2025/03/called…

When Congress conducts oversight over defense policy, whom does it call to testify? In @TXNatSecReview , @jblankshain, @DerekSReveron, & I present a new dataset of over 6,500 witness appearances between 1975 & 2016 to explore how Congress exercises control over the military (1/7)

Over the last 5 years, the core curriculum @NavalWarCollege has evolved dramatically. We re-ordered the course sequence, we integrated multiple two-sided war games, added simulations of the national security system, focused on strategic competition, and navalized.

@JaharaMatisek please update your students “Direct commercial sales reached $200.8 billion in fiscal 2024, up from $157.5 billion in 2023. Meanwhile, government-facilitated foreign military sales rose to $117.9 billion, compared to $80.9 billion the previous year.”

U.S. military equipment sales to foreign governments jumped 29% in 2024, reaching $318.7 billion, according to the State Department. Countries ramped up purchases to restock supplies sent to Ukraine and prepare for potential large-scale conflicts. kyivindependent.com/us-arms-export…

I am grateful to @elpais_america for publishing my piece: citizen insecurity – a transnational challenge that demands a coordinated, regional response – should be at the top of this year's Summit of the Americas agenda. @The_Dialogue english.elpais.com/opinion/2025-0…

U.S. Naval War College Professor @JaharaMatisek Awarded Newly Launched Research Grant usnwc.edu/News-and-Event…

@FPRI_Orbis @FPRI President Barack Obama neatly summarized what happens on Inauguration Day. “I think of this job as being a relay runner -- you take the baton, you run your best race, and hopefully, by the time you hand it off you're a little further ahead, you've made a little progress.”

For @FPRI #Orbis @DerekSReveron offered advice to the next president that, given the range of security concerns, he and his team must find a balance among tools of power and avoid the sunk cost fallacy when policy is not working. 1/ fpri.org/article/2024/0…

Time to order cup.columbia.edu/book/america-i…

#OnThisDay in 1917 the Zimmermann Telegram was sent by Germany to Mexico, proposing an alliance if the US entered #WWI. The very next day, our predecessors in the Admiralty's Room 40 were decrypting it. The course of the War was about to change ⬇️ gchq.gov.uk/information/ce…

And the US version in 1898. The Cutting of the Cables at Cienfuegos spanamwar.com/ceinfuegosgen.…

In a discussion of DoD's annual report on Chinese military power, ASD Ely Ratner @ASD_IndoPacific said Xi Jinping’s goal of having his military ready to carry out a “short, sharp invasion” of Taiwan by 2027 “is not possible right now.” news.usni.org/2024/12/19/chi…