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DisciplinedTrader007
1.7K posts


@TheoryTrading @shitadel_poo What about SMX? Been PR spamming every hour for months and the PRs are just imaginative fiction, classic manipulation. Sec, NASDAQ asleep
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@shitadel_poo I’m amazed he’s not in jail after the scheme they pulled off…
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programmers are making $10k-200k monthly on polymarket
here's how they actually do it
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1. arbitrage bots
buy YES + NO when combined price < $1
example: YES at 48¢ + NO at 49¢ = 97¢ total
you lock $0.03 profit per $1 no matter who wins
trader "distinct-baguette" made $242k in 1.5 months doing this
targets 15-min crypto markets where prices move fast
python script polls API every 1-3 seconds, executes when sum < 99¢
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2. statistical arbitrage
find correlated markets that drift apart
"trump wins" vs "GOP senate control" should move together
when spread hits 4-7%, short expensive one, long cheap one
close when they converge
trader "sharky6999" made $480k scanning 100+ markets per minute
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3. AI probability models
train ML models to estimate real odds from news/social data
if your model says 60% YES but market at 50¢, buy
trader "ilovecircle" made $2.2M in 2 months with 74% accuracy
uses ensemble of 10 AI models, retrains weekly
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4. spread farming
buy at bid (5¢), sell at ask (6¢), repeat
or hedge across platforms (short polymarket, long binance)
trader "cry.eth2" made $194k with 1M trades
high-frequency loop via CLOB API
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5. copy-trading automation
mirror successful whale traders automatically
scan profiles, execute proportional trades
one bot made $80k in 2 weeks copying near-resolved markets
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tech stack:
python + requests library for API calls
web3-py for blockchain interactions deploy on VPS for 24/7 operation
polymarket has REST APIs for everything:
gamma markets API (prices/volumes)
CLOB API (place orders)
data API (track positions)
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starting point:
> build simple arbitrage bot first
> fund with $100-1k for testing target high-volume markets (politics/crypto)
> expect 50-70% win rate but focus on positive EV


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@EternaLEnVy1991 I agree with you @EternaLEnVy1991 . At the end of the day, what you said is right
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Everyone keeps saying im too focused on the $. It's all about RR and WR and sharpe and your PnL chart and your mom.
But if you told me if I respect the man with 100K 2RR 70% WR versus the man with 1.5RR 70% 100M I'd respect the 100M guy more maybe im fucking crazy.
Below are my two PnL charts. One looks way better than the other but its the same fucking one just one is from Dec 2023 and one is from Dec 2024. I was omega trash (now just trash) untill Dec 2024 but it looks worse. It's a scam.
The more size you use the worse you trade (mental, fills, tighter risk parameters). So I could farm better stats by freezing my size to worm levels. And refuse to take on any setups that are +ev in order to farm RR/WR. Is that really a great trader? Obviously not.
As I've grown my account my stats have gotten worse or stayed the same. But I feel like I've become substantially better. My best month is 2024 Dec 2x acct but I think my best trading is now.
I ain't paying for my Lambo with my win rate or RR I'm using fucking MONEY
THE MORE $ U MAKE THE BETTER U ARE THE END FUCK U


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@short_cap short_cap now is time to EE on STSS. Nanofloat.
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@short_cap short_cap now do EE right now on STSS. Nanofloat. Solana treasury
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@short_cap @short_cap now is time to do EE on STSS. Nanofloat. Solana treasury
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@short_cap I like @EternaLEnVy1991 so no offense to him but he looks like the North Korean dictator a lot here.
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