Doctor Zerker

678 posts

Doctor Zerker

Doctor Zerker

@DrZerker

Katılım Mart 2011
98 Takip Edilen23 Takipçiler
Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@HirstHarry @FordRacing @nuerburgring “Something big” except a competitive vehicle portfolio to drive sales and profit. Blank check brand building racing projects are fun, but not at the expense of being the most recalled brand year after year.
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Ford Racing
Ford Racing@FordRacing·
6:15.977 History made. The Ford GT Mk IV just clocked the fastest lap ever by an American OEM at the Nürburgring. Watch the full run on YouTube now: youtu.be/tTC10Kqb0XU @nuerburgring
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YouTube
Ford Racing tweet mediaFord Racing tweet mediaFord Racing tweet media
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@JulianKlymochko Because $5b is still relatively minor. Look into the $380b+ in multi-family purchases made in just 2021. Those properties are now worth 25-40% less. All GP/LP purchase equity gone. Many operators wont be able to kick the can down the road into 2027. $150b vaporized.
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Julian Klymochko
Julian Klymochko@JulianKlymochko·
Medallia loan value continues to decline, with latest marks at 69. With the term loan in distress, the $5.1 billion of equity has certainly been vaporized. This -100% private equity loss surpasses any private credit loss by an order of magnitude. Where's the media coverage?
Julian Klymochko tweet media
Julian Klymochko@JulianKlymochko

Surprised no journalists have read $BXSL's 10-K filed this am, but I'll front run them with the story: Blackstone marked the Medallia loan at 78 in Q4, down from 82 in Q3. It's safe to say the PE sponsor's (and co-investors') $5 billion+ equity check has been vaporized.

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Splinter Reedus
Splinter Reedus@SplinterGoggles·
@CARandDRIVER The first manufacturer to make an electric car that looks like this will make a zillion dollars. The R2 is looking like the short-term winner.
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Car and Driver
Car and Driver@CARandDRIVER·
Hyundai debuted the Boulder concept at the 2026 New York auto show, and it appears to take inspiration from the Ford Bronco. The Boulder features a body-on-frame construction that will also spawn a new mid-size pickup truck by 2030. While details are scarce, Hyundai said the Boulder has off-road hardware like huge 37-inch tires.
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Lance Roberts
Lance Roberts@LanceRoberts·
Kind of mind-boggling.
Lance Roberts tweet media
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@zerohedge Makes sense - Tons of teenagers driving around in M3’s and M4’s. 😆
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@steve_hanke Isn’t that the exact education Harvard is trying to provide: If you want to rule the world this is how you act….?
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Doctor Zerker retweetledi
Steve Hanke
Steve Hanke@steve_hanke·
Today, in a speech at Harvard, Fed Chair Powell claimed that QE (the explosion of the money supply) did not cause inflation, nor did it contribute to the massive increase in US income inequality post-COVID. Those statements are blatantly UNTRUE. THE FED = NO CREDIBILITY.
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@GuyDealership Looks like a $12k EV from China. Won’t have many Americans scrambling purchase it regardless of how many colors are available.
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Car Dealership Guy
Car Dealership Guy@GuyDealership·
[NEWS] Slate Auto is betting $7.8M on customization in Kentucky: The Jeff Bezos-backed EV startup is opening a vinyl-wrap facility in Louisville as the fulfillment center for its all-electric pickup. And buyers will have more than 100 color options to choose from. The truck is priced in the mid-$20,000 range, with production starting this year. For context, only two other EVs currently sell under $30,000. Bottom line: If the startup delivers on affordable EV pricing alongside extensive customization, it could spur other automakers to adopt similar out-of-the-box approaches. Read today’s top automotive stories, presented by @ReyReyTweets : carguymedia.com/4tf0N11 (Source: Yahoo News / CDG News)
Car Dealership Guy tweet media
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
Price increases since the start of the Iran war... Heating Oil: +77% European Natural Gas: +71% Brent Crude Oil: +58% WTI Crude Oil: +51% Urea: +48% Diesel: +44% Sulfur: +43% Gasoline: +42% Fertilizer: +29% Coal: +21% Palm Oil: +14% Iron Ore: +7% Rice: +7% US Natural Gas: +6%
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@CapitalMktGuy @DiMartinoBooth ZIRP and inflation created the environment where institutions/investors went looking for yield/return. Hard to blame many of these investors. The Fed giveth & taketh.
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Capital Markets Guy
Capital Markets Guy@CapitalMktGuy·
Have we reached the point of shouting fire in a crowded theater? “The accumulation of unsold private assets on investors’ balance sheets is a warning that some may be overvalued — and a spark could trigger a widespread markdown.” Credit on watch. Cc @DiMartinoBooth
Capital Markets Guy tweet media
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@DonDurrett To make this data useful it would be great if there was a column for 5 yr net new supply.
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@themarketsniper Thats why there was a question mark. There is a world where people find value in you and him and others…not sure if you are being defensive or highly passionate, but you are very much appreciated! Too much commie non-linear warfare obfuscating truth.
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TheMarketSniper - MBA, CMT. #HVFmethod
@DrZerker I don't know what to say anymore to people who frame the cabal as a specific 'geographical location'. It will be much better for you to unfollow me & better to follow Tom Luongo, and his female Trump campaigning friend who reads prepared presentations texts from her pc on YT. 1/
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TheMarketSniper - MBA, CMT. #HVFmethod
Allegations of deadlines for "Energy Blackmail deals?"
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: President Trump just told 450 million Europeans: sign my deal by Thursday or I cut your gas. And if you think this is impulsive, you are not paying attention. This is the most calculated energy play in American history. Qatar’s LNG is offline. Force Majeure. Ras Laffan shut after Iranian drones hit it on Day 3. Seventeen percent of global LNG capacity gone for 3 to 5 years. Russia’s pipeline gas to Europe was severed after Ukraine. Norway is maxed. Europe’s LNG prices have surged 35 to 50 percent since Hormuz closed. One supplier remains at scale: the United States. Trump’s ambassador to the EU just told the Parliament: ratify the $750 billion trade deal without amendments by Thursday March 26, or lose “favorable access” to American LNG. Now decode the strategic geopolitical chess game which is being played in realtime. Saturday night, Trump posted a 48-hour ultimatum threatening to obliterate Iranian power plants. That was not about Iran. That was about oil prices. He needed them high enough to terrify Europe into ratifying the LNG deal, but not so high that American consumers revolted before the midterms. The ultimatum spiked Brent past $113 and WTI past $100 on Sunday. Monday morning, Trump posted about “productive conversations” and paused the power plant strikes for five days. Oil crashed over 10 percent in hours. WTI hit $89. The S&P surged $2 trillion. He spiked oil to create the fear. Then crashed it to create the relief. The fear makes Europe sign. The relief makes American voters forgive the war. Both moves serve the same president. Both happened within 36 hours. Both were executed with social media posts, not missiles. The $750 billion deal is the permanent monetisation of Europe’s energy vulnerability. LNG. Oil. Civil nuclear. Locked in until 2028. The EU had been delaying ratification for months. Three wars removed every alternative: Iran removed Qatar, Ukraine removed Russia, Norway’s geology removed Norway. What remains is American LNG. Trump is not selling gas. He is selling the absence of alternatives. The 5-day power-plant pause expires Saturday March 28. The EU Parliament votes Thursday March 26. Europe must ratify American energy dependency two days before the war might escalate again. If the pause collapses Saturday and Iran executes Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” regional energy infrastructure, European LNG prices spike after the deal is already signed. Trump gets the $750 billion commitment at crisis pricing, then potentially triggers the next crisis 48 hours later. The deal locks in before the leverage expires. This is Trump Doctrine in its purest form. He does not separate trade from security from energy from markets. He operates them as one instrument. The war degrades Iran. The degradation closes Hormuz. The closure spikes energy. The spike terrifies Europe. The terror forces the deal. The deal locks in $750 billion. The pause crashes oil. The crash rallies stocks. The rally preserves midterm support. Every move funds the next move. He used the words “Department of War” in the pause announcement. Not Defence. The pre-1947 name. The name that tells Europe: the man offering you gas can resume bombing power plants on Saturday. Yesterday Russia signed a deal to build Vietnam’s first nuclear plant. Today Trump threatens to cut Europe’s gas. Two great powers selling energy security to two desperate continents during the same war. Both profit from the crisis. Both lock in decades of dependency. Both timed the offer to the moment the customer cannot refuse. The strait closed the alternatives. The ultimatum created the fear. The pause created the relief. The deal monetises both. Thursday is payday. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@kenmcelroy This is spot on. The office and multifamily markets are showing you what the rest and more -than-ever opaque markets are not: price discovery.
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Ken McElroy
Ken McElroy@kenmcelroy·
I need to tell you about something that's happening right now that almost nobody is paying attention to. You already know the multifamily market got hammered. Syndicators borrowed against fantasy numbers in 2021 and 2022. Rates spiked. Rents went flat. Expenses went through the roof. Now these properties are worth less than the debt on them. I'm buying some of these deals right now at 50-60 cents on the dollar. The equity is gone. The syndicator is gone. The lender is the one calling me. But here's the part most people aren't seeing. Where did those syndicators get their money? A lot of it came from private credit funds. Companies like Blue Owl, which is now in the news almost daily. These are the middlemen. They borrow from banks, then they lend to operators the banks wouldn't touch because the credit risk was too high. And now those borrowers are defaulting. So think about the chain: The multifamily operator blows up.  That blows up the private credit fund that lent to him. That private credit fund borrowed from a bank. Now the bank's balance sheet takes a hit. The bank tightens lending. Liquidity dries up across the entire system. And that makes everything worse, because the multifamily guys and the private credit guys who are drowning right now? The one thing they desperately need is liquidity. And it's gone. Even Blackstone came out publicly and said they're concerned. When Blackstone is worried enough to say it out loud, pay attention. Now here's what really keeps me up at night. In 2008, you could see it. Your neighbor's house had a foreclosure sign on the lawn. The flipper down the street went broke. It was Main Street. It was visible. This time? It's quiet. It's behind the scenes. It's debt funds. It's institutional equity. It's private credit facilities. It's the money that flows through retirement plans, insurance products, 401(k)s. You know where it ends up? With the person who opens their quarterly statement, sees a number they don't understand, and calls their financial planner to ask what happened. And here's the thing, I don't think we're even close to the end of this.  The multifamily repricing is chapter two. Chapter one was office buildings gutted by work-from-home. I don't know how many chapters are in this book, but I can tell you we're not in the final one. A lot of these lenders and debt funds are still holding distressed assets in their "asset management" column without marking them to market. The real repricing only happens when the asset gets sold. And those sales are just starting. So why am I telling you all this? Because I've been through this before. Multiple times in 35 years. And every single time, the people who understood what was happening BEFORE it was obvious, they're the ones who came out the other side wealthy. The people who waited got crushed. That's why I've put together a FREE one-day virtual event you can sign up here web.thelimitlessexpo.com/home-page
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Forbes
Forbes@Forbes·
In 1980, Eric Sprott used his savings to buy a seat on the Toronto Stock Exchange and started his own securities firm, Sprott Securities. He sold his entire interest in Sprott Securities, to the firm's employees in 2001. Today he manages his family office, holding stakes in 120-plus silver and gold companies. See where he lands on the 2026 #ForbesBillionaires list: forbes.com/billionaires/?… (Photo: Sprott)
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@jonbrooks Rich literally means high cash flow. Maybe you meant “wealthy” on paper?
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Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks@jonbrooks·
Spoke with a couple in Jacksonville, FL. In their 70's with: - $500K home equity - $450K rental equity - $300K in 401k/IRAs - $0 rental cash flow - $30K cash Rich AF on paper but with falling property values, no cash & rising maintenance. ...Millions are in this silent trap.
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Doctor Zerker
Doctor Zerker@DrZerker·
@kenmcelroy Was on a Zoom mtg Thursday evening where GP’s told LP’s that their $30mm in invested capital was gone in Class C project. Capital raised in 2021.
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Ken McElroy
Ken McElroy@kenmcelroy·
My team's data showed 968 Dallas apartments have a debt service coverage of 1.0 or less, meaning 100% of cashflow is used for payments with no room for error. This is a major concern for continued financing, especially as property values decline. #RealEstate #Dallas
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