Dr. Contango
10.1K posts
Dr. Contango
@Dr_Contango
Futures/Options trader, engineer, not RIA, no advice. Not a real doctor. Fix stuff, guitar, pilot, AI, and ex-Google. No crypto.
Katılım Haziran 2021
2.2K Takip Edilen704 Takipçiler
Tom Lee: The University of Michigan sentiment survey might be basically useless now.
The survey flipped to online-only and now gets roughly 66% Democratic vs 33% Republican responses - way off from actual U.S. party distribution.
"The only reason that overall number kept dropping is that it's reflecting a greater percentage of Democratic respondents."
FT @Fundstrat @MebFaber @BitMNR.
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Asked the wife today...Should I buy a new pedal today? she says "Save your money and buy a new guitar, it has been a while". What do you say to that? 😲
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Then the technician scrolled down and pointed at "Manage battery longevity."
This setting only appears on M2 chips and later.
What it does: caps the battery at 80% when the MacBook stays plugged in at the same location for long stretches, like a home desk or office.
This is the gold-standard recommendation from every lithium battery scientist on earth.
It's not turned on by default.
The technician said something the customer hadn't thought about:
"Most MacBooks now live their entire life plugged into a single desk. Apple knows this. The default settings are designed for the 2008 user who carried their laptop everywhere, not the 2026 user whose laptop never moves."
Turn it on. Same menu.
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A man took his macbook to a repair shop because the battery was at 78% after just 14 months.
"Is this normal?"
The technician ran every diagnostic. Everything came back clean.
No defects. No damage. No manufacturing issue.
Then the technician turned the screen toward him and said something he wasn't expecting:
"There's a setting Apple built in 2020 specifically to prevent this. They didn't turn it on for you. Your battery is dying twice as fast as it should and they make money when it does."
He asked the obvious question: "So Apple is wearing out my own laptop on purpose?"
The technician didn't answer.
He just opened System Settings and walked him through every hidden setting that was secretly killing his MacBook.
Here's everything he showed him in the next 8 minutes (save this if you own a Mac): 🧵
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@iam_elias1 Mine was not off. So I doubt that is the default since the battery was just replaced under warranty
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The first thing the technician pointed at: Optimized Battery Charging.
It was OFF.
He explained that the moment a MacBook is plugged in at a desk, it charges to 100% and holds it there for hours.
That is the worst possible state for a lithium battery.
Battery University data: a battery held at 80% lasts 3 times longer than one held at 100%.
Apple built Optimized Battery Charging in 2020 to fix this exact problem.
They did not turn it on by default for most users.
System Settings → Battery → click the small "i" next to Battery Health → toggle ON Optimized Battery Charging.
Twenty seconds. The single biggest battery-saver on the entire machine.
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I hate to admit this but Trump was right.
He said that if I vote for Kamala Harris gas prices, groceries prices and my utility bills will go through the roof.
I voted for Harris and my gas, groceries and utility bills have gone through the roof.
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@openshutter21 @elonmusk Aim for the stars man, aim for the stars
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Mostly true. What matters is securing the long-term future of consciousness, both on Earth and other heavenly bodies.
We cannot just focus on Earth, because there are irreducible external (eg massive meteor) and internal (eg global nuclear war) cataclysmic risks.
The Moon is faster to make self-growing, but is more susceptible to problems on Earth. Mars will take longer to make self-growing, because it is so hard to reach, but is more secure from Earth disasters for that same reason.
Both the Moon and Mars should have self-growing civilizations. Making this happen is the prime directive of SpaceX.
Jaynit@jaynitx
Former SpaceX astronaut Garrett Reisman reveals the single prism Elon Musk runs every major decision through "He measures pretty much every major decision by whether or not it brings the day when we have a self-sustainable colony on Mars sooner or later" "That's the prism by which he makes every single decision he makes" "He's got an idea and he'll keep pushing, and he gives us aggressive timelines that we have to work to" "We work really hard to try to meet them. It's hard when you're doing stuff that's this complicated to predict exactly how long it's going to take" "We end up falling a little bit behind, but we do our best"
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🇺🇸 THE U.S. STOCK MARKET IS ABOUT TO DO SOMETHING INSANE.
The S&P-500 has been running the same cycle for over 100 years.
Over 50% of traders believe the S&P-500 will hit $8,000 this year and historically, they are right.
But I think it's going to change this time.
Every previous 25 year bull run happened due to technology that took decades to price in.
It didn't take AI decades, it literally took 2 years.
- Smart money is already exiting.
- Semi-conductors are insanely overheated.
- Yields are exploding.
- Buffet sitting on records of cash.
- Insiders are selling.
This cycle only works if the catalyst lasts 25 years.
The AI catalyst is already burning out at the peak.
This is not a definitive outcome.
But it is a possible outcome.
Kalshi@Kalshi
JUST IN: 55% chance S&P 500 hits 8,000 this year
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@GlenH325491 @ClayTravis Maybe, up only 25% this year so far. You should short TSLA with all your money, shit for brains.
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@Dr_Contango @ClayTravis They would tell you the same thing, shit for brains.
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The S&P 500 just hit another all time high. The stock market is now up over 50% since this past April when economic “experts” told you the economy was collapsing. And for “I can’t afford stocks,” guy in mentions. Stop being a pussy. Buy index funds. Start with $5 or $10 a week.
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@Shawn_Farash WTF is your mommy home? Seriously, you somehow think lying isn't the #1 thing politicians do? How did you make it this far in life? It's a job requirement.
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Thomas Massie said... and I quote:
"If I lose on May 19th, I am not doing any more government ever."
If that is the case, why is he filing to run for Federal Office in 2028?
Because Thomas Massie is a liar, and Thomas Massie is a grifter.
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@lmkifiwin No, what they proved is that "legit" non-doped athletes don't exist. The leaders are likely juicing in some form.
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DO YOU UNDERSTAND WHAT JUST HAPPENED AT THE ENHANCED GAMES..
Peter Thiel and Donald Trump Jr. spent millions to create a steroid Olympics.
They promised to "redefine human limits" and put up $25M in prize money.
After 5 hours in Las Vegas, here’s the scoreboard:
- 1 world record (not recognized by anyone)
- Thor Björnsson failed his 515kg deadlift (managed only 475kg)
- olympic sprinter Fred Kerley missed the 100m WR by 0.4s - without even taking drugs
- the only "record" came from a Greek swimmer who finished 5th at Paris 2024. He wore a supersuit banned since 2009 and beat the clean record by just 0.07s
the whole pitch was that drugs would shatter the limits of clean sport.
instead they proved the gap between juiced and clean is now 7 hundredths of a second - in a suit banned 17 years ago.
the only thing they actually proved was how good the clean athletes already are.
You think the Enhanced Games exposed anything or just embarrassed themselves?
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: The only world record broken at the Enhanced Games will reportedly not be recognized by official authorities.
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@mitchellvii Take money that doesn’t belong to them and spend it while lighting buildings on fire with street protests.
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Here we are mere months before the midterms and does anybody even know what the Democrats platform is?
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@futurist_lens You could drive a truck through the bid/ask spread on the options, if they even have them.
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Told you robotics and automation infrastructure would become one of the next big themes.
• $OUST → +20%
• $VPG → +6%
• $AMBA → +8%
This is what happens when capital starts flowing into disruptive trends before the broader market fully notices.
Research early.
Build conviction early.
Let the theme play out.
That’s where asymmetric returns come from.
Futurist | 10x Disruptive Stocks@futurist_lens
Humbled to see Serenity choose all 3 humanoid stocks I recommended: $VPG $OUST $AMBA
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@texasrunnerDFW @NancyMace Some states already freeze property taxes by age
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@NancyMace If you’re going to eliminate property taxes, you have to eliminate them across the board, not pick and choose select age groups to benefit while others carry the increased burden
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@Texas_jeep__guy @LynneBP_294 My graduation was cancelled when someone threw a firecracker. The principal that cancelled it was fired.
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According to this video the teacher that organized the graduation ceremony was fired. IMO more of the school administrators should have listed their jobs also. How do you have a graduation ceremony in the pouring rain. What do you think should happen?
LynneP@LynneBP_294
An unforgettable graduation in Franklin, Tennessee! It's okay! It's only water! I love this! 🤣🥳♥️
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200a service at the house.
Would like to run 240v/100a service to garage, underground.
Drop some Sch40 and run some 6 or 8ga wire, or is MC sufficient? (I'm under the impression it is not ideal for what I'm wanting to do)
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Dr. Contango retweetledi
Every year, I share this video of French caretakers who take sand from Omaha Beach in Normandy, and scrub them into the letters to give them the gold coloring.
They do this for all 9,386 US soldiers who died.
France also gave us this land as American soil. #MemorialDayWeekend
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