@clhubes @ryanbeckwith This is me breastfeeding an 8 month old. If he sees me reading my phone he gets distracted and follows my gaze so I have to position the phone just behind his head so he thinks I’m staring at him.
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Louise
46 posts
Louise
@EconLou
Actuary. More of a spectator than a tweeter.
Europe Katılım Temmuz 2009
206 Takip Edilen35 Takipçiler
@Alex_Cameron I’m sure a gofundme for your legal fees (if you pursue that route) would be very successful!
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I was recently informed that they used ANOTHER of my images without licence or request in an online article LAST OCTOBER!
So I guess this ain’t over 🤡
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hey kids who learned their vocab from reading, what word that you mispronounced still haunts you
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@LawDavF @JohnSimpsonNews Just bought and is on the kindle! Looking forward to reading. @KevinSMader
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@E2Teacher Isn’t day 3 in bed when you upgrade it from “a cold” to “the flu”?
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@PaulMainwood 😂
Real actuary-speak would also have quotation marks around “weekend”, and probably “people”.
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This is exactly how I'd imagined actuaries would talk to one another about human behaviour.
COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group@COVID19actuary
At the weekend, people took advantage of the warm, sunny weather and spent time outdoors in "Parks" which includes places like public parks and beaches.
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@lizardbill I think this is a good example of someone finding the smartart feature in PowerPoint and thinking they MUST use it, even if totally inappropriate for the message.
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@PaulMainwood Couldn’t an issue here be that Moderna generally isn’t approved for under 18s? At least in U.S and CH, it’s Pfizer for the 16-18yr olds.
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PS: Oddly, offering 1st doses to - say 16-17 year old teens - is *easier* than accelerating second doses for adults.
The reason is Moderna. Moderna is flowing slowly, but there's no immediate limit: 17m doses on order. Makes possible 1st doses for ~16-17 year olds in July.
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Lots of questions about why - given Delta - the UK doesn't pull in vaccine second doses even closer than the 8 week gap? And why clinics that are quietly offering 3 or 4 week gaps are being slapped down by central NHS.
I think this really is a supply issue.
(1/4)
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@sailorrooscout Some family in the US have had J+J and are coming to visit the U.K. this summer. Given the prevalence of delta in the U.K., would you recommend an extra dose of an mRNA vaccine?
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@JaneyGodley I have a magician booked for our wedding this summer and my fiancé is convinced his going to be like this with the guests!
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@ActuaryByDay Similar experience with family member here - could pull it up by only one day (although to a more convenient time so worthwhile in this situation!), but still 12 week gap.
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This approach works for over 40s in England only.
A few people who had Moderna first dose are understandably nervous about the need to cancel before rebooking. If anyone chances it then please share your experience rebooking.
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Over 40s can now rebook earlier second jabs (from 8 weeks after first dose).
I just brought mine forward by 3 weeks (and moved it to a location I can walk to).
Via link below and “Manage my appointments”.
nhs.uk/conditions/cor…
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@PPaulCharles @ThePCAgency Thanks for your updates. Trying to plan a July wedding with family from abroad and so any info helps!
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I understand #UKGov will publish its traffic lights system and details of which countries are red, amber or green on 7th May. See my latest blog insight here ⬇️ @thepcagency #Covid19 #checkpoints 🚦
pc.agency/blog/checkpoin…
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@Nigella_Lawson @markchiv Our local supermarket here in Switzerland includes Ribena and Cadbury’s chocolate fingers in their “British” section.
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@markchiv Well, I can think of 5:
Marmite
English mustard
Lea&Perrins
Golden Syrup
Clotted cream
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Been asked by our local supermarket in France for suggestions for their international food aisle. What would be your top 10 essential British food items @Nigella_Lawson ?
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Why do I keep choosing hobbies that require you getting up before the crack of dawn (at the weekend)?
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@ActuaryByDay One of the things the pandemic seems to have inadvertently highlighted is how many people struggle with percentages.
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Appalling that easily disprovable disinformation like this continues to be spread during a pandemic.
If the IFR in the UK was 0.06% and EVERY SINGLE PERSON WAS INFECTED (67 million people) then there would have been just 40,000 COVID-19 deaths. Sadly there have been MANY more.
Michael Levitt@MLevitt_NP2013
Important addendum. From the number with antibodies and thus infected, the IFR in Sweden must be about 0.06%. Please remind me of the IFR for influenza? I think it is not much less than this.
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@PeterMatza @d_spiegel The further you go back the less representative the population is - you have to adjust for size and age (which can be done) it’s just easier to take a 5-year average. Some estimates just use ‘19 as the baseline as the flu season that year was v similar to how ‘20 was looking.
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Substantial excess deaths this winter. But fewer than might expect from Covid deaths, as non-Covid-caused deaths are still at low levels
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@ytc8438 @nineteenpointf1 @BioTurboNick @NateSilver538 It’s a modelled percentage taken from a random sample - not the same as the percentage of tests. It’s the estimated percentage of the population.
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@nineteenpointf1 @BioTurboNick @NateSilver538 OK.
That's still a very bad graph. They should have said the y-axis is % of tests. So 2% of tests are the new variant, 1% of tests are the other positive, 97% of tests are negative.
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@ytc8438 @NateSilver538 It’s just the % of the total population estimated to have the new variant or another strain. The other 97% are estimated to not have Covid.
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@NateSilver538 Super confusing graph.
If 2% cases are the new variant and 1% are other positives, what is the other 97%?
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@BioTurboNick @ytc8438 @NateSilver538 The figures come from samples of a large number of households. Modelling is required to allow for households dropping out of the study, and to fit the results to give a development over time that is reasonable. See here sec. 9 for the details: ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
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