EconTAI

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EconTAI

EconTAI

@Econ_TAI

Dedicated to understanding and shaping the economic implications of transformative artificial intelligence (TAI).

Katılım Eylül 2025
1 Takip Edilen233 Takipçiler
EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
🤖Does adopting AI have to mean layoffs? EconTAI Faculty Co-Director @akorinek featured in @nytimes on whether AI has to mean layoffs – or whether businesses can choose to use it to make workers more productive instead. nytimes.com/2026/05/29/bus…
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
📊 New from EconTAI Faculty Co-Director @akorinek and @PIIE on measuring AI's economic impact.
Anton Korinek@akorinek

1/🆕 My new @PIIE research with Patrick McKelvey on 𝗠𝗲𝗮𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗜 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆 finds the AI sector in the US 𝗴𝗿𝗼𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝟮,𝟬𝟬𝟬%+/𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 in quality-adjusted terms—yet it's nearly invisible in GDP. We can't let this measurement gap become a policy gap!🧵

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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
What policymakers can do now: • Sovereign wealth funds • Expand consumption tax infrastructure • Tax economic rents aggressively • Steer tech toward augmenting workers
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗧𝗔𝗜 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝗕𝗿𝗶𝗲𝗳: 𝗣𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗴𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗜 What happens when transformative AI erodes traditional tax bases like labor income? 🔗in 🧵
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
📰 New: EconTAI Faculty Director @akorinek featured in @WSJ on compute taxes as a potential policy response to AI's economic disruption. Read the full WSJ article: wsj.com/tech/ai/job-lo…
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
NGDP targeting as "eclectically-optimal" policy, AI's impact on national debt, potential sovereign debt crises in developing countries from higher US rates, and whether governments should subsidize flexible pricing technology.
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
🎙️EconTAI Faculty @BasilHalperin joins @DavidBeckworth on @Macro_Musings to discuss macroeconomic policy in the age of transformative AI. Bond markets aren't pricing in transformative AI yet—real rates remain modest despite Silicon Valley's growth expectations. Key topics:⬇️
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
📬 ICYMI: Our latest EconTAI newsletter is out! This quarter’s newsletter features new research on explosive AI growth and economic forecasting, news features, and key events including our TAI scenario planning workshop and interdisciplinary speaker series. 🔗 in 🧵
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
Under rapid AI scenarios, economists forecast 4% annualized GDP growth but labor force participation falling from 62% to 55% by 2050—with roughly half attributable to AI. Wealth inequality forecasts are particularly stark: top 10% holding 80% of U.S. wealth by 2050.
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EconTAI
EconTAI@Econ_TAI·
📊 New paper from EconTAI Faculty @BasilHalperin: Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI Surveyed 69 leading economists, 52 AI experts, 38 superforecasters, and 401 members of the general public about AI’s economic impact. The findings were surprising:
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Keşfet

@akorinek @nytimes @PIIE @WSJ @BasilHalperin @DavidBeckworth @Macro_Musings @ghadfield