Football Gold

🚨 2026 Strength of Schedule is out. Arizona has the toughest slate in football (+1.58). Detroit gets the softest ride (-1.12). NFC West is brutal — LAR and SEA both land in the top 8 hardest.

@FanDuel @theblockspot Our model says, 1. BAL - AFC North champs 2. HOU - AFC South champs 3. KC - AFC West champs 4. BUF - AFC East champs 5. DEN 6. NE 7. CIN CIN, JAX, LAC all basically even for 7 seed. Strength of schedule (CIN 3rd easiest) is tiebreaker.

Thoughts on this AFC Playoff prediction? 👀 h/t @theblockspot

@SleeperNFL @SleeperGiants @GiantsLead Running a Monte Carlo simulation using our model, Giants expected record is very likely to be 3-2 or 2-3. Outcome of the Washington game in Week 5 will likely decide if New York is above or below .500. 4-2 thru 6 games is very possible given Saints in W6.

The NY Giants' first 5 games: vs Cowboys (SNF) @ Rams (MNF) vs Titans vs Cardinals @ Commanders What will their record be? 🤔

This stretch for the Cowboys between Week 3-Week 7 is genuinely insane. vs. Baltimore in Brazil at Houston vs. Tampa Bay on TNF at Green Bay on SNF at Philadelphia on MNF

@SleeperBroncos @BarstoolGruden Our projections are surprisingly high on KC and low on the Chargers. LAC is mostly due to the league's 3rd hardest schedule. In terms of pure power ratings, we have Chiefs 6, Broncos 7, Chargers 12 and Raiders 28.

Looks like @BarstoolGruden has the Broncos winning the division again and has it being: 1. Denver 2. LAC 3. KC 4. Raiders Says that the division can get 3 playoff teams, which I think ultimately happens

@PlayProphetX Our projections are in-line for the Packers, but a little lower on the Bills... GB: 9.6 wins, 54.5% for playoffs, +2693 for Super Bowl BUF: 10.0 wins, 84.2% for playoffs, +1531 for Super Bowl

50 Days until the NFL season kicks off 🏈 Top traded teams to win this years SB so far on ProphetX: 💰 Packers - Yes +2600 / No -2900 🎟️ Bills - Yes +1050 / No -1150 Who are you backing this season?

🏈 NFC North: The Best Division in Football? 🤔 All teams project winning seasons, but who will rise above? Dive into our preview! 📈 #NFL #NFCNorth footballgold.beehiiv.com/p/2026-nfc-nor…

This sucks. @TomPelissero is fantastic.

@LeBatardShow @Nate_Tice @Dameshek Our projections have the Texans as: - #4 in Power Ratings (+3.4) - 7th easiest schedule in NFL - 10.7 wins - 73.5% to win AFC South - 85% to make playoffs - 15.4% to win AFC - 7.9% to win Super Bowl

The Houston Texans = AFC Champions?! @Nate_Tice tells @Dameshek why he can see it happening

@Marcus_Mosher Our projections have Cowboys as: - #14 in Power Ratings (+1.5) - 5th hardest schedule - 8.9 wins - 32.5% to win NFC East - 51.8% to make playoffs

The 2026 win total for the Dallas Cowboys is set at 9.5. But not everyone thinks the Cowboys will approach that number. youtu.be/NyLK3tTWkbM

@gmfb @Commanders @JayD__5 Even with Daniels (QB11 per our QB Vegas metric), we project the Commanders as: - #24 in Power Ratings (-2.1), - 7th hardest schedule (avg. PR of +0.48), and - 7.05 wins this season - 4.2% chance to win NFC East - 14.9% to make playoffs

"If Jayden Daniels is healthy... don't sleep on the Washington @Commanders" @JayD__5 is Manti's most important player in the NFC East 🔥

Vegas prices Josh Allen as worth 6.8 points over a replacement-level QB — the highest in the league. Lamar's 2nd at 6.4. Justin Herbert over Drake Maye?! Full table of where the Top 10 QBs are 'worth' to the market:

@SleeperNFL @RiseUpReader We ran a Monte Carlo simulation for the Falcons first 5 games and expected them to start 2-3. Losing record after 5 games = 63.3% chance.

The Falcons' first 5 games: @ Steelers vs Panthers @ Packers (TNF) @ Saints (MNF) vs Ravens (SNF) What will Atlanta's record be? 🤔

@SleeperBills We ran a Monte Carlo simulation using our internal projections for the Bills first 5 games. 3-2 is the most likely outcome.

The Bills’ first 5 games: @ Texans vs Lions (TNF) vs Chargers vs Patriots @ Rams (MNF) What will Buffalo’s record be? 🤔 #BillsMafia

@pross1959 @SeifertESPN It’s based on a mix of Vegas over/under projections, internal power ratings and schedule factors (net rest, rolling net rest), etc. But fair, that’s why they play the games.

@Football__Gold @SeifertESPN Yeah, because relying on “ease of schedule” based on how teams perform a year later is just so reliable!🙄. Compare last year the Bears preseason strength of schedule to their actual strength of schedule for an example.

Chance of winning the NFC North, per ESPN Analytics: Lions: 38% Packers: 33% Bears: 19% Vikings: 10%

@VSiNLive @JLEWFifty @drosssports per our model, BAL is most likely team to win the Super Bowl.

"It's an all-in moment for me on Baltimore." Lamar Jackson to win the MVP at +650 is one of @JLEWFifty's favorite future bets this NFL season, and he told @drosssports about a possible path for the Ravens to make the Super Bowl if it happens. Miss any of VSiN By The Books? Check us out at: linktr.ee/VSiNByTheBooks…

@zacobson Easiest schedule in the league.

i do not get the lions hype at all. they might still be a playoff team, but i’d be pretty surprised if anyone other than the bears and packers are fighting for the division by december

@Clevta Prob just gonna bet Week 1 - Cam Ward INT yes.

Jets famously with 0 INTs last year and NFL record four total takeaways. The hopeful news for Jets fans is the four other defenses with single digit turnovers forced in a season over the last 25 years saw a complete flip in turnovers the next season

@nflrums There’s an upside case for Caleb (paired with Ben Johnson) that he could legit be MVP this season. It’s a stretch given his up and down play last season.

🚨🚨 Colin Cowherd ranked Chicago Bears Quarterback Caleb Williams as the third-best QB in the NFL, trailing only Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes: “He made two plays in the playoffs last year—one against Green Bay and one against the Rams—that broke football physics.” Cowherd compared Williams’ improvisational ability to an early-career Mahomes, while clarifying that he is not saying Williams has already reached that level. His ranking also considered age, health, coaching and late-game ability—not just career accomplishments. Via The Herd. #NFL #Bears #CalebWilliams