Frank

Ladies and gentlemen: We’re giving $1 million to the top article posted on X. You have 2 weeks. It's time to write.

Noticing a change in my AI use Growing: - Gemini - Claude Shrinking: - ChatGPT - Grok (never habituated) Basically disappeared: - Perplexity All of OpenAI’s product scaffolding hasn’t made it resilient to the threat of a smarter model. Bearish

World's first autonomous delivery of a car! This Tesla drove itself from Gigafactory Texas to its new owner's home ~30min away — crossing parking lots, highways & the city to reach its new owner

You Heard It Here First. Friedberg's Most Contrarian Belief for 2025: "A dramatic rise  in socialist movements in the US." According to Polymarket, Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani has closed a massive gap on Andrew Cuomo over the past month for the Democratic nomination for NYC Mayor. Mamdani's chances jumped from ~6% to 55%, while Cuomo fell from 93% to 45%. On June 23, Mamdani surged ahead of Cuomo after a surprise poll showed him ahead. This tracks Friedberg's 2025 prediction of a "dramatic rise  in socialist movements in the US." Here was his explanation in early January: " My contrarian belief is that we'll see a rise, a dramatic rise, in socialist movements in 2025 in the United States." "And I think that some industries and some companies are going to be huge winners and some companies are going to be huge losers." "There's gonna be some parts of the economy that are gonna be big winners and some parts of the economy that are gonna be big losers." "When you have this sort of a change this fast, there are often large contingents of people that are left behind." "And when that happens, I do think that the socialist policies and the socialist movements gain steam."

🚨Chamath on why the Fed could keep holding off rate cuts: "The only answer is political." The FOMC's June rate cut decision is happening this week. It is expected they will keep rates unchanged. The chances of a Summer rate cut are extremely small. According to Polymarket: -- June: ~98% chance of "No change" -- July: ~87% chance of "No change" Chamath's take: "Let's just scenario play. What happens if Powell rips in a 100 basis point cut right now?" "I'll tell you. So one part, which is mathematical, is the interest on the debt goes down. We save $300B." "But there's something else that happens, which is the Fed does control the front end of the curve." "Meaning how do people borrow money for small amounts of time from one day to about two years." "If you make that cheaper, it's a test as true as time, what happens is people borrow more money." "That fuels more growth. That will end up in GDP." "So what actually happens if you cut rates 100 basis points is not just the $300B, but you can get this reflexive positivity in the economy." "What that allows you to do is, even if that causes a little bit more inflation, you're actually growing yourself out of this whole thing." "If the numerical justification is there to lower rates and it has all of these other positive externalities for the United States economy, why don't (you) do it?" "The only answer is political."

Limiting caffeine intake is a luxury belief

this is why i hope there always be a major ai company or few that do not dive into ads.

You eat a credit card’s worth of plastic each week. This buildup shrinks your testicles, lowers sperm by 50% & literally clogs your arteries. The scary part? 8 in 10 people carry trillions inside them. Here are 7 hidden ways plastic is poisoning you (& how to stay safe): 🧵