Pedram

افشاگری مجله آتلانتیک در مورد تاثیرگذاری #یاسمین_پهلوی، #سعید_قاسمی‌نژاد و #امیرحسین_اعتمادی روی رضا پهلوی و تقویت جریان فاشیسم. برتری اوباش #سلطنت_طلب در زورگویی تاکتیک‌های MAGA-مانند و مشاوران سرسخت، باعث تفرقه در بین پیروان بالقوهه #رضا_پهلوی شده است. theatlantic.com/international/…

• جامعهٔ ایرانی که با جنبش زن زندگی آزادی بیدار شد • با انقلاب شیر و خورشید به خواب زمستانی رفت • ج‌ا که با جنبش زن زندگی آزادی ترس سقوط داشت • با انقلاب شیر و خورشید بقاء خودشو محکمتر کرد • تیم ملی فوتبالی که سرود ملی نمیخوند • امروز در مراسم حکومتی میثاق‌نامه میخونه • بیحجابی که شده بود اهرم فشار به حکومت •الان هر بیحجاب برای حکومت شده یه مهرهٔ تبلیغاتی • مردمی که جنبش زن زندگی ازادیش در دنیا شده بود نماد بیداری و آگاهی • انقلاب شیر و خورشیدش با درخواست بمب و موشک و سیرکهای تجمعات، شده نماد حماقت و ابتزال در دنیا • جنایت دیماه که میتونست به کابوس سرنگونی جمهوری اسلامی تبدیل بشه • با اتفاقات جنگ به حاشیه رفت و در پروپاگاندای اقتدار و مقاومت جمهوری اسلامی گم شد ملک الشعرا بهار میگه : شاه مست و شیخ مست و شحنه مست و میر مست مملکت رفته ز دست هر دم از دستانِ مستان، فتنه و غوغا به پاست کار ایران با خداست هرچه هست از قامتِ ناسازِ بی‌‌اندامِ ماست کار ایران با خداست

@Realneo101 @tparsi Fuck you Traitor, You'll never set foot in Iran.

@tparsi Every single word that comes out of your filthy mouth is a complete and utter lie. Nobody believes you. Shame on you for lobbying a terrorist regime that murders its people every single day.

A point of utter embarrassment and shame for many Iranians is the manner in which elements of the diaspora danced on the streets in Western capitals as bombs rained on Tehran. It is also a source for a lot of anger among Iranians in Iran who oppose the theocracy but nevertheless did not favor war and who are stunned to see some in the Diaspora being so indifferent to the suffering caused by the war. But there is another aspect that deserves closer scrutiny. These, almost exclusively pro-Shah elements of the Diaspora, did not dance to celebrate the downfall of the regime. They didn't dance because they had won. They simply danced because the war had started, nothing more. As if their goal was neither freedom nor democracy, but simply revenge and the pleasure they took from seeing Iran bombed. Had they danced after the theocracy had fallen (which it hasn't), it would be a bit different. It would be a moment where they could argue that the price was very high, but because the regime is defeated, it was worth it, and, as a result, a cause for celebration. But they didn't wait for the regime to fall. They danced right away. Signalling that the cost was worth it, EVEN IF the regime didn't fall. Because it was always about selfish revenge, not freedom.

رضا پهلوی:وقتی نیروهای رژیم در مدارس و بیمارستان‌ها پنهان میشن چنین تفکیکی خیلی دشوار هست و کشته شدن غیرنظامیان اجتناب ناپذیر. به هر حال جنگه و تلفات داره» شرم بر تو عمله‌ی موساد. تنها در منطق اسرائیل است که زدن مدرسه و بیمارستان توجیه می‌شود در قانون بین‌الملل این جنایت جنگی‌ست

جو روگان هم فهمید اما تو هنوز نفهمیدی ای ایرانی جنگ طلب: ‼️‼️‼️‼️‼️‼️‼️‼️‼️ جو روگان : بیشتر آمریکایی‌ها از جنگ با ایران حمایت نمی‌کنند. هیچ چشم‌انداز یا راه‌حل روشنی هم برای این جنگ وجود ندارد. سال‌هاست به ما می‌گویند ایران «فقط چند هفته» با ساخت سلاح هسته‌ای فاصله دارد، اما بنیامین نتانیاهو دهه‌هاست همین حرف را تکرار می‌کند. نتانیاهو به این جنگ نیاز دارد. او در اسرائیل با پرونده‌های فساد روبه‌روست. اگر جنگ متوقف شود، باید به دادگاه برود. اگر جنگ متوقف شود، قدرتش را از دست می‌دهد. برای همین به جنگ ادامه می‌دهد و آمریکا را هم با خودش وارد این مسیر می‌کند. …

@JayTrading_Loot @KobeissiLetter It won't change until at least mid terms. Iran wants to kill Trump's presidency.

@KobeissiLetter It’s oil dipshit. And that itself is a volatile special situation that could change soon.

BREAKING: Month-over-month US PPI Inflation officially rises +1.5% in April, marking the biggest monthly jump in inflation since March 2022. All of the data is very clear: consumers are about to face another wave serious pressure on spending power.

A BRAVE Iranian American Calls Out a Hegseth for the Illegal War on Iran REAL Iranians HATE this War on Iran.

بخشی از ناکامی‌ها و رسوایی های شاهزاده : رسوایی به رسمیت نشناختنش از سوی ترامپ بعنوان نماینده مردم رسوایی نه گفتن لیندزی گراهام به حمایت از پهلوی در کنفرانس مونیخ رسوایی حاضر نشدن نمایندگان پارلمان المان به دیدار با پهلوی رسوایی سس مال شدنش رسوایی تو آکواریوم رفتنش رسوایی پوشیدن لباس رزمش و ‌قهر کردنش رسوایی پیام منوچهر بختیار و انتقاد ازش رسوایی آنفالو کردن و تخریبهای منوچهر بختیاری رسوایی سخنرانی زیر پلهٔ پارلمان سوئد رسوایی عکس گرفتن با لات و لمپن‌های مجازی رسوایی گدایی برای محافظت ازش رسوایی عدم شفافیت مالی در صندوق اعتصابات رسوایی دروغهاش در کنفرانس خبری برلین در مورد توصیه به حفظ امنیت مردم در ۱۸ و ۱۹ دی رسوایی بهم خوردن صحبتهاش در نشست پولیتیکو رسوایی دیدارش با آدولف خیالی

President Trump today accused those who are honest about the Iran war as being guilty of "TREASON." What worries me is if the president believes all what he's writing in the below post. No one in America is "rooting for" Iran. Rather, like this post I’m writing, we are being *honest* in our evaluation and pointing out the fact that despite many Iranian ships "resting at the bottom of the sea", those aren't the ones that matter. It's the likely *thousands* of fast-attack boats that are still very much intact and patrolling Persian Gulf waters. But the single most important factor to point out: More than two months after we foolishly started this war, including about 40 days of bombing and now weeks of a naval blockade, Iran STILL remains in full control of the Strait of Hormuz. The president accuses those wiling to tell the truth as committing "virtual TREASON." To the contrary, I think a far more valid case can be made that the person who has most harmed America is the individual who: * CHOSE to take our country into war it couldn't win - a war that didn't need to be fought - which has cost us (thus far) the unnecessary deaths of 13 Americans the wounding of 400 more,  * the destruction of 16 U.S. military bases in the region * opened the path for Iran to seize control of the Strait, something it had nvr done in it’s 47 year history and would never have done short of us starting this war * has left our Middle Eastern allies all suffering significant damage to their countries * resulted in the skyrocketing of oil prices - which has directly led to a rise in U.S. gasoline and deisal prices, loss of fertilizers that is already suppressing food production well into this year, limits on helium exiting the gulf which has suppressed chip-making around the world * directly led to inflation rising to 3.8% * has us all in line to suffer a recession this summer.  If soon the president even more foolishly chooses to resume (instead of ending) this war, we could suffer an unthinkable depression. All of the above consequences are thanks to the irrational decision of the commander in chief to start an unnecessary war -- which, by the way, violated the U.S. Constitution, U.S. Law, and International law in the process You tell me who is guilty of treason...

به جرات می‌تونم بگم یکی از مهمترین دلایل عدم همراهی جهانی با اعتراضات اخیر مردم ایران، علیرغم تعداد بی‌شمار قربانیان، همین حرکت‌های احمقانه این جماعت بیشعور، نفهم، رذل، پوچ، سطحی و زباله‌ی سلطنت‌طلب بود. این اراذل و اوباش با عَلَم کردن «پرچم اسرائیل» در کشورهای غربی، هم بهونه به جمهوری اسلامی دادن تا اعتراضات ر با بهانه‌ی «دخالت دولت خارجی» سرکوب و دستگیرشدگان ر اعدام کنه و هم این سیگنال ر به مردم جهان غرب بفرسته که این اعتراضات خودجوش نبوده و تحت تحریک یک دولت خارجی شکل گرفته و نه بخاطر کثافتکاری‌ها و جنایات آخوندها! همین مورد اخیر باعث شد تا تقریبا در هیچ کجای دنیا، سمپاتی‌ عمیقی با مردم ایران شکل نگیره. این در حالیه که در «انقلاب زن، زندگی، آزادی» تمام دنیای غرب با مردم ایران همراهی و همدلی کردن. این رعیت‌های احمق تا اونجایی که تونستن به مردم داخل کشور ضربه زدن و به انقلاب مردم ایران خیانت کردن! #اراذل_اوباش_سلطنت‌طلب #فرقه_اوباش

این روایت اشتباه جا افتاده که هر کسی با پهلوی مخالفت کنه طرف حکومته چون پهلوی تنها آلترناتیو حکومته. امیدوارم زمانی که به خودتون اومدید و متوجه شدید که پروژه پهلوی چه لطف بزرگی به جمهوری اسلامی بود، این خواب‌زدگی رو فراموش نکرده باشید.

We need to be honest with ourselves: so far, this campaign has been a major strategic failure. There were certainly important operational achievements, and the level of coordination between U.S. Central Command and the Israel Defense Forces was highly impressive. But wars are not judged by tactical successes alone, they are judged against their original strategic objectives. The Iranian regime did not fall, and at this stage there is no indication that it is close to collapsing. There was no regime change in Iran; instead, there was a change within the regime, and arguably for the worse. The crisis appears to have strengthened Mojtaba Khamenei and the more hardline elements of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, giving them greater influence over Iran’s decision-making process. On the conventional front, Iran still retains most of its military capabilities. Even where damage was inflicted, it has not fundamentally altered Tehran’s ability or willingness to resume military confrontation. On the nuclear front, Iran continues to possess a massive stockpile of enriched uranium, including the same roughly 440 kilograms enriched to near-weapons-grade levels. More importantly, the regime still possesses the scientific and technical expertise necessary to enrich to 90% if it chooses to do so. And beyond that, Iran still maintains leverage over the Strait of Hormuz — which remained open and stable before the war began. I do not know how this conflict will ultimately end. But if these are the conditions under which it concludes, then this will be remembered as a profound strategic failure — one that leaves behind a far worse regional reality than the one that existed before the campaign began. Ignoring that reality will not improve the situation; it will only deepen the problem. Iran built its national security doctrine around asymmetric capabilities. Damage to its navy or air force, however significant tactically, does not fundamentally undermine its ability to wage this kind of confrontation. That is the reality, whether policymakers are comfortable acknowledging it or not. A serious strategy for weakening the Iranian regime in the future has to begin with an honest recognition of this reality. It is possible that the United States is planning additional, more significant steps. But if we are assessing the campaign as it stands today, the outcome is deeply negative. Without acknowledging that, Washington risks building its next phase on a false premise — and that is exactly how tactical achievements turn into strategic failure. No wonder Iran is not surrendering at the negotiating table if this is indeed the reality. It is time to go back to the drawing board rather than keep insisting on an approach that has already failed. And it starts with one basic understanding: Iran is not Venezuela. Conventional cost-benefit calculations do not necessarily work against a regime that is willing to sacrifice its own population to preserve its rule. There is no textbook solution here. Not the Kurds, not arming the opposition, and not targeted killings. None of these, on their own, provides a strategic answer to the Iranian problem set. It is time to think seriously about a different strategy, because the current approach is not containing the threat. It is producing a security reality that is, almost by definition, worse than the one that existed before. If the objective is to weaken the Iranian regime over time, then repeating tools that have already failed is not strategy. #IranWar‌

@USA_Polling It's gonna be a bloodbath in November

Generic Ballot Polling: 🔵 Democrats: 55% 🔴 Republicans: 40% AtlasIntel / May 7, 2026

توهم در خودآگاهی، خود آگاهی کاذب است نه کامل...این درباره مفهوم و اما درباره مثال، خب چرا این آگاهی کامل به این پرسش نمی رسد که چرا راست چیزی تولید نمیکند؟! چرا همه چیز مثلا چپ است؟! میترسم ته فحاشی و ترور شخصیت را هم بگیرید ببینید محصول چپهاست، در سمت راست ماجرا اساسا چیزی وجود ندارد، سوال حداقل داخل جهان خودتان و با فرضیات خودتان این است که چرا ما راست ها این چنین ابتر و بی حاصلیم؟!

#BREAKING: Rep Ro Khanna: “The reality is when President Obama left…we had 97% of the enriched uranium out…we didn’t have 13 American service members dead…we never had gas go up from $2.30 to $4…you know why? Because Obama actually did his homework…All Trump did is listen to Netanyahu. That’s his entire foreign policy…I resent the fact that Israel is going to tell the United States what to do. The American president should call the shots in this country.”😳

There’s no overstating how extraordinary this Atlantic article is, given the author and the outlet. As a reminder Bob Kagan is: - The co-founder of Project for the New American Century, probably the single most imperialist Think Tank in Washington (which is quite a feat) - A man who spent his entire life advocating for American military interventions, especially in the Middle East, and a vocal advocate of the Iraq war. He started advocating for intervention in Iraq before 9/11, which speaks for itself... - The husband of Victoria Nuland, an extremely hawkish former senior U.S. official (a key architect of U.S. policy in Ukraine, with the consequences we all witness today) - The brother of Frederick Kagan, one of the key architects of the Iraq surge In other words, we ain’t exactly looking at some sort of anti-imperialist peacenik. This is quite literally the guy Dick Cheney called when he needed a pep talk. And the man is writing in The Atlantic, the most reliably pro-war mainstream media outlet in the U.S. (also quite a feat). So when HE writes that the U.S. “suffered a total defeat” in Iran that has no precedent in U.S. history and can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” it’s the functional equivalent of Ronald McDonald telling you the burgers aren’t great: it means the burgers really, really aren't great. Extraordinarily (and somewhat worryingly, for me), his arguments for why this is such a defeat are virtually the same as those I laid out in my article “The First Multipolar War” last month (open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…). Here they are 👇 1) Vietnam/Afghanistan were survivable, this isn't He agrees that this war - and the U.S. defeat - is fundamentally different in nature from previous U.S. interventions. Where I wrote that the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan didn’t change the equation much in terms of power dynamics (“in the grand scheme of things, the giant walked away with little more than a bruised ego”), Kagan writes that “the defeats in Vietnam and Afghanistan were costly but did not do lasting damage to America's overall position in the world.” And when I wrote that “it’s painfully obvious that the Iran war is of a qualitatively different nature” from these, he writes that “defeat in the present confrontation with Iran will be of an entirely different character.” Same point. 2) Iran will never relinquish Hormuz and uses it as selective leverage When I wrote that Iran has turned “freedom of navigation” on its head by establishing “a permission-based regime” through the Strait of Hormuz, Kagan arrives at the same conclusion: “Iran will be able not only to demand tolls for passage, but to limit transit to those nations with which it has good relations.” He also agrees that “Iran has no interest in returning to the status quo ante,” when I myself cited Iran’s parliament speaker Ghalibaf in my article, saying: “The Strait of Hormuz situation won’t return to its pre-war status.” Same point and virtually the same words. 3) Gulf states will have to accommodate Iran He agrees that most Gulf states will have no choice but to accommodate Iran, effectively making Iran into a, if not THE, dominant regional power. Kagan writes “the United States will have proved itself a paper tiger, forcing the Gulf and other Arab states to accommodate Iran.” On my end, I wrote that “the Gulf monarchies will eventually have to choose between two security propositions. One where they stay aligned with a distant superpower that [can’t protect them]. The other proposition being: make peace with the regional power that just proved it can hit [them] whenever it wants.” Which is not much of a choice… 4) Military impossibility to reopen Hormuz Kagan writes that “if the United States with its mighty Navy can't or won't open the strait, no coalition of forces with just a fraction of the Americans' capability will be able to, either.” On my end, in my article I cited Germany’s defense minister Boris Pistorius: “What does Trump expect a handful of European frigates to do that the powerful US Navy cannot?” The exact same argument. 5) Global chain reaction Kagan agrees that this is a global strategic failure that fundamentally changes the U.S.’s position in the world. As he puts it: “America's once-dominant position in the Gulf is just the first of many casualties… America's allies in East Asia and Europe must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.” You’ll have guessed it, I wrote essentially the same thing: “Think about what it says if you’re Saudi Arabia, quietly watching your American-built defenses fail to protect your own refineries. Or any European country now facing the worst energy shock since 1973, caused not by your enemy but by your ally, and realizing that said ‘ally,’ supposedly in charge of ‘protecting’ you, couldn’t even protect Israel’s most strategic sites - when it’s the country with which it’s joined at the hip. I’m not even speaking about China or Russia who are seeing their worldview being validated on almost every axis simultaneously.” 6) Weapons stocks depleted, credibility shattered Kagan: “just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power have reduced American weapons stocks to perilously low levels, with no quick remedy in sight.” Me: “America’s most advanced weapons systems are much more vulnerable than previously thought - not theoretically, but in actual combat.” Kagan: “America's allies… must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.” Me: “The U.S. security guarantee has been empirically falsified in real time.” ----------- So, yup, Bob Kagan and I agree on nearly everything. I need a shower 🤢 Reassuringly though, we still differ on a few fundamental aspects. First of all, arguably the most important one, the moral aspect. In typical neocon fashion, his article contains not a word about the human cost of this war - not the 165 schoolgirls, not the devastation inflicted on Iranians during 37 days of bombing, not the toll this war is taking on the entire world through its devastating economic consequences (the economic devastation on ordinary people worldwide is referenced only as a political problem for Trump). For him, this is purely a strategic chess problem, morality and people don’t figure in his mental map. For me, the moral bankruptcy of this war isn't separate from the strategic failure - it is the strategic failure. Much like Gaza can only be a failure because of its sheer abjectness. Secondly, there is not an instant of reflection in the article on how we got there. Which is unsurprising because he personally, alongside his wife, his brother, and every co-signatory of every PNAC letter, spent a generation pushing for exactly this kind of confrontation. The man spend 30 years advocating for military dominance in the Middle East and hostility towards Iran, thereby forging them as an adversary and facilitating this very war that he now says has “checkmated” America. I know introspection has never been the neocon forte but at some point you have to stop setting houses on fire and then writing op-eds about how surprising the smoke is. Last but not least, we differ on what should be done. This is the funniest part of Kagan’s article - showing that the man is decidedly beyond salvation. On one hand he calls this a “checkmate” by Iran, and a U.S. defeat that can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” yet an the other hand his solution for it is… surprise, surprise… a bigger war still! He writes that what’s to be done is “engage in a full-scale ground and naval war to remove the current Iranian regime, and then to occupy Iran until a new government can take hold.” The arsonist's solution to the fire is a bigger fire ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ For my end, this was the conclusion of my previous article: "There is almost a Greek tragedy quality to U.S. actions lately where every move taken to escape one’s fate becomes the mechanism that delivers it. The U.S. went to war to reassert dominance - and proved it could no longer dominate. It demanded allies send warships - and revealed it had no real allies. It waged forty years of maximum pressure to break Iran before this moment came - and instead forged the very adversary now capable of meeting it. It started the war in part to have additional leverage over China - and handed the world the spectacle of begging China for help. The prophecy was multipolarity. Every American action to prevent it reveals it instead." I wouldn’t change a word. The only thing that's changed since I wrote it is that even the arsonists now smell the smoke. Src for the Atlantic article: theatlantic.com/international/…

خرفهم‌ترین، اوباش‌ترین، مفت‌خورترین، نژادپرست‌ترین و خلاف‌کارترین دیاسپورای ایرانی در آلمان است. همه شرایط لازم برای عضویت در ساواک، گارد جاویدان و یگان‌های سیاه‌پوشان فرقه پهلوی!

Iranian supporters of Reza Pahlavi marching in Germany with the flag of SAVAK SAVAK was the Shah's secret service, trained by Israel and responsible for normalizing the widespread use of torture against dissidents in Iran Pahlavi's is a movement for fascism, not democracy:

ما خود خود جمهوری اسلامی هستیم. همین که می‌گوییم به عصر حجر برویم بهتر از ماندن این رژیم است همان فرهنگ شهید‌پرور و شور حسینی است که مرگ و خودکشی را بر زندگی و تلاش اولویت می‌دهد. بارها گفته‌ام دلیل بقای جمهوری اسلامی این است که بخش بزرگی از اپوزیسیون‌اش کپی خودش است.

هر وقت در عقل خود دچار تردید بودید و خواستید حرف‌های پهلوی و شبکه‌ها و رسانه‌های مرتبط را باور کنید این گاه‌شمار را از اول ببینید.

جریان پهلوی روز‌به‌روز داره به مجاهدینی‌شدن نزدیک‌تر میشه. احتمالن در آینده باید منتظر تشکیل کمپ‌هایی در لندن، کپنهاگ و تورنتو و … بود.