Khawar Ghumman
37.2K posts

Khawar Ghumman
@Ghummans
B.Chief ARY, ISB, Analyst/columnist/ Ex-Dunya, Dawn, 92TV. Fellow @Harvard School of Public Health. Royal Holloway, College UK (2007-2008). Reporting since 2001
Islamabad Katılım Ocak 2010
699 Takip Edilen1.1M Takipçiler
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Roznama Dunya: کالم اور مضامین :- ایاز امیر e.dunya.com.pk/colum.php?date…
فارسی
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.@vali_nasr: "But Iran had been expecting war. It may have resumed sooner than anticipated, but Tehran sees advantage in that: if war is inevitable, Iran is better off waging it before the US has had time to regroup fully, and the global economy has had time to recover from energy and supply chain shocks."
ft.com/content/22fdb2…
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The US-Iran conflict is expanding beyond the Gulf. I asked @vali_nasr the key question: Who blinks first? Here's his take:
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Another blockade of Iran is doomed to fail - @BrettErickson28
"The new blockade of Iran would not erase the failure of the first campaign. It would repeat it under even less favorable conditions, at an even greater humanitarian cost, directly harming the very people Washington claims it wants to help."
thehill.com/opinion/nation…
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I write in @FT that Iran’s leaders suspected that the MoU was a temporary retreat by the US, intended to relieve pressure on the global economy and prepare for another round of war.
Iran’s current rulers believe that any display of restraint will only invite further American pressure. To deter the US, and to compel it to negotiate in earnest for an end to the war and a broader nuclear deal that would give Tehran the security and economic relief it craves, they believe Iran has to be aggressive and escalate the conflict beyond what the US is prepared to countenance. The one point of leverage Iran is not prepared to part with is its claim to the Strait of Hormuz and its ability to control access to it. Losing dominance in the strait would leave Iran without any leverage in future negotiations. Iran’s leaders have decided that retaining control of the strait is essential to securing future wins at the negotiating table and ensuring that the US implements the deal rather than walking away from it.
ft.com/content/22fdb2…
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Oil traders call Trump's Hormuz bluff at their peril reut.rs/4vy23x9 reut.rs/4vy23x9
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France manager Didier Deschamps claims Spain are favourites for semi-final clash
lbc.co.uk/article/didier…
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In recent years policies on homelessness in America have swung between extremes. One city has seen success with a pragmatic approach economist.com/united-states/…
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The world is changing fast.
Foreign Policy@ForeignPolicy
World Brief: U.S. President Donald Trump shifts his Strait of Hormuz strategy, Houthi rebels accuse Saudi Arabia of attacking Sanaa International Airport, and the European Union announces plans to impose age-based social media restrictions. foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/13/tru…
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